Real Madrid v Celta Vigo prediction

La Liga · Sat, 21 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT

Updated 10 Nov 2026, 20:01 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Madrid · Celta Vigo · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Madrid v Celta Vigo, La Liga on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Real Madrid host Celta Vigo in La Liga on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 20:00 UK).

The key numbers

13 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Real Madrid have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Real Madrid have won their last eight matches in all competitions. Celta Vigo are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Real Madrid have seven wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 3.29 and conceding 0.71. Real Madrid have scored 31 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Real Madrid have conceded 10 goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Celta Vigo have one win, three draws and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 1.00. Celta Vigo have scored 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Celta Vigo have conceded 10 goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Real Madrid (second) and Celta Vigo (11th) are 17 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Real Madrid the stronger side, 433 rating points above Celta Vigo (Real Madrid 1928, Celta Vigo 1495, after at least 354 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Celta Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid.

Team news

Predicted Real Madrid XI (4-2-3-1): T. Courtois, M. Cucurella, I. Konaté, D. Huijsen, F. Valverde, J. Bellingham, Y. Diomande, B. Silva, A. Tchouaméni, A. Güler, K. Mbappé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kylian Mbappé (7.9 per match over 16 appearances, 17 goals and three assists) and Jude Bellingham (6.1 per match over 16 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Real Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kylian Mbappé averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 2340 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jude Bellingham averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 2328 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Celta Vigo XI (3-4-3): I. Radu, J. Rodríguez, M. Alonso, Y. Lago, I. Moriba, J. Rueda, S. Carreira, A. Febas, P. Durán, H. Álvarez, I. Aspas — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Ionuț Radu (3.5 per match over 16 appearances) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances. Ionuț Radu averages 3.1 saves per 90 over 1620 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · La Liga
Head-to-head (last 6): Real Madrid 5 · draws 0 · Celta Vigo 1 · 4 goals/game
Recent form: Real Madrid 5W 0D 0L · Celta Vigo 1W 2D 2L

Real Madrid v Celta Vigo (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 10 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3 / 0.75

Goals

against 1 / 1.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.25 / 4.13

Corners

against 2.88 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

7.75 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.38

Cards

against 2.5 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Real Madrid for / against	Line	Celta Vigo for / against
Goals scored	3 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.88 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.88 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.75 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Thibaut Courtois	15	901350 min	513.4 /90	110.7 /90	00 /90
A. Lunin	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	3.5 7/6
A. Lunin n 8	90	3.1 6/6

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Marc Cucurella	15	741103 min	393.2 /90	121 /90	60.5 /90	604.9 /90	191.6 /90	10.1 /90
I. Konaté	13	901170 min	181.4 /90	70.5 /90	70.5 /90	382.9 /90	151.2 /90	40.3 /90
Dean Huijsen	12	871042 min	151.3 /90	262.2 /90	60.5 /90	423.6 /90	121 /90	20.2 /90
D. Dumfries	9	76681 min	131.7 /90	40.5 /90	20.3 /90	233 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90
A. Rüdiger	7	82576 min	30.5 /90	30.5 /90	60.9 /90	142.2 /90	40.6 /90	10.2 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Kylian Mbappé n 8	88.9	0.1 1/0	2.3 7/5	—
J. Bellingham n 8	86.5	0.5 3/1	3 8/5	—
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
F. Valverde n 8	77.5	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0	—
Marc Cucurella n 8	73	2.9 7/5	0.8 2/1	—
See more players · Pro

Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	88.9	0 0/0
J. Bellingham n 8	86.5	2 7/5
F. Valverde n 8	77.5	1.6 6/2
Marc Cucurella n 8	73	3.9 7/7
Y. Diomande n 8	74.9	2.6 7/7
See more players · Pro

Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Kylian Mbappé	16	891430 min	171.1 /90	30.2 /90	684.3 /90	473 /90	251.6 /90	392.5 /90
Endrick	3	41123 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	53.7 /90	32.2 /90	21.5 /90	32.2 /90
J. Bellingham	16	821311 min	50.3 /90	30.2 /90	281.9 /90	151 /90	292 /90	342.3 /90
F. Valverde	15	791184 min	30.2 /90	20.2 /90	120.9 /90	60.5 /90	141.1 /90	30.2 /90
Y. Diomande	14	62873 min	40.4 /90	40.4 /90	151.5 /90	50.5 /90	161.6 /90	474.8 /90
See more players · Pro

Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	88.9	4.2 8/8	2.7 8/7
J. Bellingham n 8	86.5	1.8 6/5	0.8 3/2
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Valverde n 8	77.5	1 5/2	0.6 4/0
Marc Cucurella n 8	73	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	88.9	1.1 7/2	0.1 1/0
J. Bellingham n 8	86.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Valverde n 8	77.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Marc Cucurella n 8	73	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo Goalkeeper

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
I. Radu	16	901440 min	503.1 /90	70.4 /90	00 /90

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Radu n 8	90	3.2 6/4

Celta Vigo Defensive

Celta Vigo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Yoel Lago	13	871125 min	191.5 /90	181.4 /90	90.7 /90	493.9 /90	221.8 /90	40.3 /90
Marcos Alonso	12	871041 min	171.5 /90	171.5 /90	40.3 /90	443.8 /90	121 /90	20.2 /90
Javi Rodríguez	11	82900 min	131.3 /90	101 /90	20.2 /90	333.3 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
S. Cáceres	6	83498 min	101.8 /90	50.9 /90	30.5 /90	305.4 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
Álvaro Núñez	5	86431 min	71.5 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	132.7 /90	51 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Sergio Carreira n 8	65	0.9 5/0	1.6 6/3	—
Javi Rueda n 8	73.6	1.5 5/3	1.2 5/2	—
I. Moriba n 8	69	2 6/3	2 6/3	—
Hugo Álvarez n 8	71	0.5 3/0	1.6 7/1	—
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Sergio Carreira n 8	65	0.7 2/2
Javi Rueda n 8	73.6	0.5 2/1
I. Moriba n 8	69	2.9 7/4
Hugo Álvarez n 8	71	0.5 2/1
W. Swedberg n 8	43.6	2.3 5/2
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo Attacking

Celta Vigo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Hugo Álvarez	14	62865 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	60.6 /90	10.1 /90	141.5 /90	70.7 /90
W. Swedberg	14	45629 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	71 /90	40.6 /90	142 /90	30.4 /90
Ferran Jutglà	12	69833 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	192.1 /90	50.5 /90	91 /90	50.5 /90
Iago Aspas	12	39469 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	142.7 /90	40.8 /90	142.7 /90	61.2 /90
Pablo Durán	11	61673 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	233.1 /90	141.9 /90	60.8 /90	91.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sergio Carreira n 8	65	1 5/1	0 0/0
Javi Rueda n 8	73.6	0.8 5/0	0 0/0
I. Moriba n 8	69	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Hugo Álvarez n 8	71	0.8 4/1	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sergio Carreira n 8	65	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Javi Rueda n 8	73.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Moriba n 8	69	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hugo Álvarez n 8	71	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Madrid v Celta Vigo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Real MadridWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Celta VigoWDLLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Real Madrid 5 · 0 draws · Celta Vigo 1 · 4 goals/game

2026-03-06 Celta Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid
2025-12-07 Real Madrid 0–2 Celta Vigo
2025-05-04 Real Madrid 3–2 Celta Vigo
2025-01-16 Real Madrid 5–2 Celta Vigo
2024-10-19 Celta Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid
2024-03-10 Real Madrid 4–0 Celta Vigo

League standing · 2026/27

Real Madrid#2 pos30 pts12 pl+21 GD

Celta Vigo#11 pos13 pts12 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Real Madrid scored2.58

Celta Vigo scored0.83

Real Madrid conceded0.83

Celta Vigo conceded0.83

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo?: In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid won 5, Celta Vigo won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Celta Vigo?: Recent form — Real Madrid 5W 0D 0L; Celta Vigo 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 10 Nov 2026, 20:01 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.