Real Madrid v Elche prediction

La Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Madrid v Elche, La Liga on Wed, 21 Apr 2027 16:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Real Madrid host Elche in La Liga on Wednesday 21 April (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Real Madrid have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Elche, every meeting checked. Real Madrid have won their last four matches in all competitions. Elche are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Real Madrid have nine wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 3.22 and conceding 0.78. Real Madrid have scored 23 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Real Madrid have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Elche’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Elche’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Elche have two wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.44. Elche have scored 11 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Elche have conceded 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Real Madrid (third) and Elche (18th) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Real Madrid the stronger side, 301 rating points above Elche (Real Madrid 1825, Elche 1524, after at least 161 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 September 2026, finished Elche 2–3 Real Madrid.

Team news

Predicted Real Madrid XI (4-2-3-1): T. Courtois, I. Konaté, M. Cucurella, D. Huijsen, D. Dumfries, J. Bellingham, F. Valverde, A. Güler, A. Tchouaméni, Y. Diomande, K. Mbappé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Kylian Mbappé (7.9 per match over 12 appearances, 12 goals and three assists) and Jude Bellingham (5.5 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Real Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kylian Mbappé averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 1981 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jude Bellingham averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1973 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Elche XI (5-4-1): M. Dituro, V. Chust, B. Sangaré, R. Revivo, G. Valera, F. Redondo, G. Villar, T. Lemar, T. Morente, J. Morcillo, F. Niño — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Fer Niño (4.1 per match over nine appearances, five goals) and David Affengruber (3.2 per match over three appearances) have been Elche’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Elche (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Fer Niño averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 566 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances. David Affengruber averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 779 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Real Madrid 4 · draws 2 · Elche 0 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L · Elche 1W 3D 1L

Real Madrid v Elche (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 23 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.88 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4.38
Corners
against 4 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.13 / 4
Shots on target
against 6 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameReal Madrid for / againstLineElche for / against
Goals scored
2.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
16 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 15.75 against n 8
Shots on target
7.13 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 14.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2 against n 8
Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Eduardo Camavinga n 842.3
2.12/2
3.75/4
—
Dean Huijsen n 885.3
1.67/4
0.53/1
—
I. Konaté n 890
1.58/3
0.42/1
—
Carlos Espí n 87.5
1.51/0
1.51/0
—
Bernardo Silva n 831.6
1.43/1
2.15/1
—
Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Carlos Espí n 87.5
10.55/2
64/0
Vinícius Júnior n 857.9
3.37/5
1.76/3
Kylian Mbappé n 885.1
3.27/7
2.17/5
Endrick n 835.4
2.55/3
12/1
A. Güler n 873.5
2.37/3
1.76/2
Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Carlos Espí n 87.5
4.53/0
00/0
Kylian Mbappé n 885.1
1.16/2
0.43/0
Y. Diomande n 860.3
0.63/0
0.74/0
Brahim Díaz n 846.9
00/0
13/1
Bernardo Silva n 831.6
0.41/0
0.41/0
Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Marc Cucurella n 874.1
3.37/6
Eduardo Camavinga n 842.3
3.26/2
Álvaro Fernández n 842.5
2.95/4
D. Dumfries n 864
2.36/5
Y. Diomande n 860.3
2.25/5
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 890
4.57/7
Elche
Elche — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tete Morente n 856.5
3.27/4
1.24/2
—
F. Buonanotte n 837.3
2.45/2
0.62/0
—
Gonzalo Villar n 880.5
2.17/5
2.27/5
—
Matia Barzic Gutiérrez n 866.4
27/4
0.32/0
—
T. Lemar n 845.4
26/2
0.72/1
—
Elche — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Osorio n 842.8
2.65/3
1.14/0
F. Buonanotte n 837.3
2.14/3
1.24/0
Fer Niño n 862.1
26/3
1.44/3
Ali Houary n 855.9
1.67/1
0.84/0
E. Ponce n 849
1.65/2
0.52/0
Elche — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Josan n 816.8
00/0
1.32/0
Fer Niño n 862.1
0.94/1
00/0
Tete Morente n 856.5
00/0
0.63/0
Roy Revivo n 887.5
00/0
0.31/1
A. Osorio n 842.8
0.31/0
00/0
Elche — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Lemar n 845.4
47/4
Josan n 816.8
3.43/2
F. Redondo n 851.6
3.36/3
L. Cepeda n 833.8
2.35/2
Gonzalo Villar n 880.5
2.27/6
Elche — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dituro n 890
2.87/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Real Madrid v Elche — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real MadridLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
ElcheDLWDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Real Madrid 4 · 2 draws · Elche 0 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-09-15 Elche 2–3 Real Madrid
  • 2026-03-14 Real Madrid 4–1 Elche
  • 2025-11-23 Elche 2–2 Real Madrid
  • 2023-02-15 Real Madrid 4–0 Elche
  • 2022-10-19 Elche 0–3 Real Madrid
  • 2022-01-23 Real Madrid 2–2 Elche
League standing · 2026/27
Real Madrid#3 pos21 pts9 pl+14 GD
Elche#18 pos7 pts9 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Real Madrid scored2.56
Elche scored1.22
Real Madrid conceded1
Elche conceded1.89

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Elche?
In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid won 4, Elche won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Elche?
Recent form — Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L; Elche 1W 3D 1L.

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