Real MadridOviedo

Real Madrid v Oviedo result

Full-time · Real Madrid 2–0 Oviedo

La Liga · · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Madrid · Oviedo

The model’s pre-match pick

Real Madrid 2–0 Oviedo — Real Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Madrid: 1.75 to 1.24 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 43rd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Madrid beat Oviedo 2–0 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in La Liga on Thursday 14 May. Oviedo are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Real Madrid led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Madrid: Gonzalo García (44’, assisted by Brahim Díaz) and Jude Bellingham (80’, assisted by Kylian Mbappé).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gonzalo García’s goal on 44 minutes.

Discipline

R. De Burgos showed no yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Real Madrid stay second after this result (36 league matches played). Real Madrid have scored seven goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games). Real Madrid have conceded four goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Oviedo stay 20th after this result (36 league matches played). Oviedo have scored two goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games). Oviedo have conceded eight goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Oviedo have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid) 7.0, Gonzalo García (Real Madrid) 5.9 and Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Real Madrid or Oviedo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Next up

Real Madrid next host Celta Vigo on 21 November 2026.

Oviedo next host Girona on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Real Madrid: Real Madrid v Celta Vigo, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Oviedo: Oviedo v Girona, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Real Madrid 2–0 Oviedo · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid
  • Referee: R. De Burgos
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Real Madrid 1 · draws 0 · Oviedo 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Real Madrid 2W 1D 2L · Oviedo 1W 2D 2L

Real Madrid 2–0 Oviedo (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.63 / 3.63
Corners
against 6.13 / 4.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.93 yellows
Referee · R. De Burgos
23.07 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameReal Madrid for / againstLineOviedo for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.25our book
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
16 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
6.38 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: R. De Burgos — 3.93 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 23.07 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thibaut Courtois48894275 min1473.1 /90481 /9000 /90
A. Lunin12871042 min383.3 /90211.8 /9000 /90
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
3.26/5
A. Lunin n 890
3.16/6

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dean Huijsen42803366 min571.5 /90350.9 /90250.7 /901724.6 /90340.9 /9090.2 /90
Álvaro Fernández36893217 min702 /90481.3 /90160.4 /901815.1 /90401.1 /9090.3 /90
Raúl Asencio34722450 min230.8 /90150.6 /90190.7 /90853.1 /90261 /9090.3 /90
A. Rüdiger29842438 min160.6 /90100.4 /90150.6 /90562.1 /90190.7 /9020.1 /90
Trent Alexander-Arnold27762059 min381.7 /90231 /9060.3 /90592.6 /90130.6 /9050.2 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Vinícius Júnior n 881.9
1.66/4
3.47/7
F. Viñas
F. Valverde n 888.4
0.65/0
0.32/0
—
A. Güler n 862
0.94/1
1.66/2
—
A. Tchouaméni n 881.9
1.27/2
0.84/2
Alberto Reina
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 881.9
0.31/1
F. Valverde n 888.4
1.57/3
A. Güler n 862
2.77/4
A. Tchouaméni n 881.9
2.17/5
Kylian Mbappé n 872.3
0.64/0
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Vinícius Júnior57804544 min220.4 /90110.2 /901332.6 /90751.5 /901012 /901332.6 /90
Kylian Mbappé43823540 min421.1 /9050.1 /901533.9 /90982.5 /90992.5 /90982.5 /90
Gonzalo García28601681 min100.5 /9030.2 /90321.7 /90201.1 /90150.8 /9050.3 /90
Rodrygo22511125 min30.2 /9050.4 /90312.5 /90191.5 /90302.4 /90312.5 /90
Franco Mastantuono21581226 min30.2 /9000 /90322.3 /90120.9 /90151.1 /90241.8 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 881.9
38/6
1.86/5
F. Valverde n 888.4
1.57/3
1.36/3
A. Güler n 862
1.34/3
0.94/1
A. Tchouaméni n 881.9
1.47/3
0.42/1
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 881.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
F. Valverde n 888.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Güler n 862
0.52/1
0.21/0
A. Tchouaméni n 881.9
00/0
0.11/0
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
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Oviedo

Oviedo Goalkeeper

Oviedo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Aarón Escandell35903150 min1434.1 /90541.5 /9020.1 /90
Oviedo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oviedo before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Aarón Escandell n 890
2.87/3

Oviedo Defensive

Oviedo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Nacho Vidal26812111 min441.9 /90311.3 /9070.3 /901014.3 /90241 /9040.2 /90
David Costas22861882 min261.2 /90251.2 /90170.8 /90803.8 /90160.8 /9030.1 /90
David Carmo21851775 min341.7 /90211.1 /90180.9 /901015.1 /90201 /9080.4 /90
Javi López21761599 min422.4 /90181 /9010.1 /90975.5 /90362 /9030.2 /90
R. Alhassane20761512 min321.9 /90261.5 /9060.4 /90633.8 /9080.5 /9010.1 /90
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Oviedo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oviedo before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Aarón Escandell n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
H. Hassan n 831
0.41/0
2.54/2
—
I. Chaira n 880.4
26/4
2.27/5
—
F. Viñas n 883.4
1.26/2
37/5
Vinícius Júnior
Alberto Reina n 881.6
1.24/3
1.56/4
A. Tchouaméni
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Oviedo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oviedo before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Hassan n 831
3.65/3
I. Chaira n 880.4
1.57/4
F. Viñas n 883.4
1.35/3
Alberto Reina n 881.6
1.54/2
S. Colombatto n 842
3.87/4
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Oviedo Attacking

Oviedo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Hassan34531798 min00 /9030.2 /90211.1 /9070.4 /90201 /90562.8 /90
F. Viñas31742282 min90.4 /9010 /90461.8 /90210.8 /90261 /90481.9 /90
S. Rondón14731015 min10.1 /9000 /90191.7 /9040.4 /9050.4 /9080.7 /90
Álex Forés735244 min00 /9010.4 /9041.5 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9031.1 /90
T. Borbas522109 min00 /9000 /9032.5 /9021.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Oviedo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oviedo before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Aarón Escandell n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Hassan n 831
0.41/0
0.41/0
I. Chaira n 880.4
3.48/6
28/4
F. Viñas n 883.4
1.87/4
0.74/1
Alberto Reina n 881.6
0.74/1
0.63/1
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Oviedo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oviedo before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Aarón Escandell n 890
00/0
0.11/0
H. Hassan n 831
00/0
00/0
I. Chaira n 880.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
F. Viñas n 883.4
0.53/1
00/0
Alberto Reina n 881.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real MadridOviedo
65%Possession35%
1.36Expected goals (xG)1.04
19Shots9
7Shots on target1
7Shots off target5
5Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box7
4Corners5
2Offsides1
7Fouls14
1Saves5
616Passes326
93%Pass accuracy85%

Real Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Thibaut Courtois9000000007.2
Raúl Asencio9000000207.5
D. Alaba9000000007.3
Álvaro Fernández9000111106.7
Eduardo Camavinga9000101307.9
Vinícius Júnior9000102107.2
Franco Mastantuono7700213007
Brahim Díaz7701323007.3
Gonzalo García6910113008.2
Trent Alexander-Arnold6400211007.2
A. Tchouaméni6400001107.3
Dani Carvajal sub2600000206.9
J. Bellingham sub2610110007.9
Kylian Mbappé sub2101201006.6
Daniel Yañez sub1300000006.7
César Palacios sub1300000006.5

Oviedo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Aarón Escandell9000000006.9
E. Bailly9000001106.9
David Costas9000000006.2
R. Alhassane9000001106.2
S. Colombatto9000001006
Alberto Reina9000101106.7
F. Viñas9000101206.7
Nacho Vidal7900201006.7
N. Fonseca7900000307
T. Fernández6900000106.6
I. Chaira5400001206.5
Santi Cazorla sub3600000006.7
H. Hassan sub2100210107
Lucas Ahijado sub1100000106.2
P. Agudin sub1100000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Madrid v Oviedo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real MadridLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
OviedoWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Real Madrid 1 · 0 draws · Oviedo 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-08-24 Oviedo 0–3 Real Madrid
League standing · 2025/26
Real Madrid#2 pos86 pts38 pl+42 GD
Oviedo#20 pos29 pts38 pl-34 GD
Goals per game
Real Madrid scored2.03
Oviedo scored0.68
Real Madrid conceded0.92
Oviedo conceded1.58

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Real Madrid 1.75 xG from 19 shots, Oviedo 1.24 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nacho Vidal 37' · 0.54 xGÁlvaro Fernández 57' · 0.36 xGNacho Vidal 62' · 0.35 xGFranco Mastantuono 5' · 0.14 xGVinícius Júnior 41' · 0.11 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 90' · 0.11 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 75' · 0.10 xGFederico Viñas 37' · 0.10 xGBrahim Diaz 23' · 0.09 xGVinícius Júnior 41' · 0.08 xGBrahim Diaz 32' · 0.07 xGAlberto Reina 56' · 0.07 xGAlberto Reina 7' · 0.06 xGTrent Alexander-Arnold 53' · 0.05 xGHaissem Hassan 83' · 0.05 xGIlyas Chaira 24' · 0.05 xGBrahim Diaz 45' · 0.05 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 74' · 0.03 xGAurelien Tchouameni 48' · 0.03 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 70' · 0.03 xGFranco Mastantuono 49' · 0.03 xGSantiago Colombatto 68' · 0.02 xGGonzalo García 30' · 0.02 xGTrent Alexander-Arnold 20' · 0.02 xGEduardo Camavinga 34' · 0.02 xGHaissem Hassan 83' · 0.01 xGGonzalo García 43' · 0.30 xG · goalJude Bellingham 79' · 0.12 xG · goal
Real Madrid (attacking right)Oviedo (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Real Madrid1921.75
Oviedo901.24

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Real Madrid 0.89, Oviedo 0.74. At full time, Real Madrid led on xG, 1.75 to 1.24. The widest gap was 0.54 xG to Real Madrid, in the 57th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.80.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Real Madrid 43 minGoal - Real Madrid 79 min
Real Madrid 1.75 xGOviedo 1.24 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Real Madrid v Oviedo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Madrid v Oviedo was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Oviedo?
In their last 1 meetings, Real Madrid won 1, Oviedo won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Oviedo?
Recent form — Real Madrid 2W 1D 2L; Oviedo 1W 2D 2L.

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