This Matchweek

SevillaAtletico Madrid

Sevilla v Atletico Madrid result

Full-time · Sevilla 1–3 Atletico Madrid

La Liga · · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sevilla · Atletico Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sevilla 1–3 Atletico Madrid — Atletico Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Atletico Madrid: 1.51 to 1.08 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 21, ahead on xG from the 89th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Atletico Madrid won 3–1 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in La Liga on Saturday 29 August. Atletico Madrid have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Atletico Madrid led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Atletico Madrid: Alex Baena (4’, assisted by Lee Kang-In; 33’, assisted by Marcos Llorente) and Ademola Lookman (26’, assisted by Pablo Barrios); Sevilla: M. Sierra (66’, assisted by Robbie Ure).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alex Baena’s goal on 4 minutes.

Discipline

Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain showed four yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sevilla: Isaac (89’) and G. Suazo (90+1’); Atletico Madrid: Marcos Llorente (45+4’) and Marc Pubill (90+5’).

What it changes

Sevilla move down from first to fifth (three league matches played). Sevilla have scored 17 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Sevilla have conceded 19 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Atletico Madrid move up from third to first (three league matches played). Atletico Madrid have scored 22 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Atletico Madrid have conceded eight goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs.

Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alex Baena (Atletico Madrid) 10.1, M. Sierra (Sevilla) 8.9 and Marcos Llorente (Atletico Madrid) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sevilla or Atletico Madrid (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Sevilla next host Alaves on 6 November 2026.

Atletico Madrid next host Barcelona on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sevilla: Sevilla v Alaves, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid v Barcelona, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sevilla 1–3 Atletico Madrid · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Sevilla
  • Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sevilla 2 · draws 0 · Atletico Madrid 4 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sevilla 3W 0D 2L · Atletico Madrid 3W 1D 1L

Sevilla 1–3 Atletico Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 6.5
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.1 yellows
Referee · Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
28.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSevilla for / againstLineAtletico Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain — 4.1 yellow cards a game, 0.3 red cards, 28.6 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sevilla

Sevilla Goalkeeper

Sevilla — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Vlachodimos290180 min84 /9021 /9000 /90
Sevilla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Vlachodimos n 890
2.54/3

Sevilla Defensive

Sevilla — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Suazo290180 min52.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90147 /9042 /9010.5 /90
Juan Iglesias290180 min42 /9000 /9010.5 /90115.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
A. Sangante279158 min21.1 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90105.7 /9031.7 /9000 /90
Andrés Castrín19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
Kike Salas18888 min33.1 /9011 /9000 /9077.2 /9011 /9000 /90
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Sevilla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Agoumé n 878.8
2.66/5
14/2
Ademola Lookman
G. Suazo n 886.8
1.76/4
0.85/1
Dávid Hancko
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Oso n 875.5
0.63/1
1.25/3
—
M. Sierra n 347.3
0.61/0
1.92/1
—
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Sevilla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Agoumé n 878.8
48/7
G. Suazo n 886.8
3.18/6
Oso n 875.5
2.16/5
M. Sierra n 347.3
2.53/1
Peque Fernández n 847.4
1.74/3
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Sevilla Attacking

Sevilla — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Robbie Ure268135 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /9021.3 /9000 /90
Isaac24590 min11 /9011 /9033 /9011 /9011 /9011 /90
C. Ejuke14545 min12 /9000 /9012 /9012 /9000 /9000 /90
Oso278156 min10.6 /9010.6 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
Jon Guridi264127 min10.7 /9000 /9021.4 /9021.4 /9000 /9000 /90
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Sevilla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Suazo n 886.8
0.11/0
00/0
L. Agoumé n 878.8
0.11/0
00/0
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
00/0
Oso n 875.5
1.36/3
0.74/1
M. Sierra n 347.3
1.92/1
00/0
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Sevilla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Agoumé n 878.8
00/0
0.11/0
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Suazo n 886.8
00/0
00/0
Oso n 875.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Sierra n 347.3
00/0
00/0
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Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Goalkeeper

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jan Oblak290180 min52.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 890
34/3

Atletico Madrid Defensive

Atletico Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dávid Hancko290180 min31.5 /9042 /9010.5 /90105 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
Robin Le Normand283166 min31.6 /9042.2 /9000 /9084.3 /9021.1 /9000 /90
Álex Grimaldo19090 min55 /9022 /9011 /9088 /9011 /9000 /90
Dani Martínez19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
Marc Pubill16666 min11.4 /9000 /9011.4 /9022.7 /9011.4 /9000 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
0.32/0
0.42/1
G. Suazo
Jan Oblak n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Ademola Lookman n 872.8
0.93/3
1.96/3
L. Agoumé
Robin Le Normand n 871.1
1.77/3
0.21/0
—
Koke n 876.4
0.94/1
1.95/4
—
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Atletico Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
0.94/2
Ademola Lookman n 872.8
1.15/2
Robin Le Normand n 871.1
2.46/4
Koke n 876.4
2.17/4
Giuliano Simeone n 851.9
3.57/4
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Atletico Madrid Attacking

Atletico Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ademola Lookman285169 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9000 /90
Lee Kang-In25099 min10.9 /9000 /9054.5 /9010.9 /9032.7 /9021.8 /90
Julián Alvarez12424 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.8 /9000 /90
Koke272144 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9031.9 /9010.6 /90
Giuliano Simeone262123 min10.7 /9010.7 /9021.5 /9010.7 /9032.2 /9000 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
0.74/1
00/0
Jan Oblak n 890
00/0
00/0
Ademola Lookman n 872.8
1.75/4
0.94/2
Robin Le Normand n 871.1
0.21/0
00/0
Koke n 876.4
0.31/1
00/0
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Atletico Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
Jan Oblak n 890
00/0
00/0
Ademola Lookman n 872.8
0.32/0
00/0
Robin Le Normand n 871.1
00/0
00/0
Koke n 876.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SevillaAtletico Madrid
42%Possession58%
0.90Expected goals (xG)0.93
20Shots12
5Shots on target5
9Shots off target3
6Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box9
4Corners2
1Offsides1
20Fouls16
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves4
371Passes532
81%Pass accuracy86%

Sevilla Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Juan Iglesias9000100206.5
O. Vlachodimos9000000005.6
Robbie Ure9001201106.3
L. Agoumé9000101206.9
G. Suazo90000050Y6.3
Kike Salas9000100106.9
Andrés Castrín9000002006.3
M. Sierra8010432107.7
Peque Fernández6800112106.7
Julio Díaz5500002106.2
Jon Guridi5500110106
Miguel Sierra4500220005.7
C. Ejuke sub3500101007.3
Giorgi Kochorashvili sub3500200206.9
Isaac sub22000000Y6.3
Alfon González sub1000001006.3

Atletico Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Pablo Barrios9001112107.7
Giuliano Simeone9000000306.2
Álex Grimaldo9000110206.3
Dávid Hancko9000000107.2
Marc Pubill90001000Y6.7
Jan Oblak9000000006.7
Alex Baena8520323009.3
Morten Hjulmand8500000307.2
Lee Kang-In7201001007.2
Ademola Lookman6610110107.7
Marcos Llorente66010012Y7.9
J. Giménez sub2400000006.7
Arnau Ortiz sub2400101106.7
Koke sub1800000006.7
Johnny Cardoso sub1200000106.9
Rodrigo Mendoza sub1200000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sevilla v Atletico Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SevillaWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Atletico MadridWWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sevilla 2 · 0 draws · Atletico Madrid 4 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 Sevilla 2–1 Atletico Madrid
  • 2025-11-01 Atletico Madrid 3–0 Sevilla
  • 2025-04-06 Sevilla 1–2 Atletico Madrid
  • 2024-12-08 Atletico Madrid 4–3 Sevilla
  • 2024-02-11 Sevilla 1–0 Atletico Madrid
  • 2024-01-25 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Sevilla
League standing · 2026/27
Sevilla#6 pos17 pts11 pl-2 GD
Atletico Madrid#2 pos28 pts11 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
Sevilla scored1.55
Atletico Madrid scored2
Sevilla conceded1.73
Atletico Madrid conceded0.73

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Sevilla 1.08 xG from 21 shots, Atletico Madrid 1.51 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Arnau Ortiz 89' · 0.47 xGRobbie Ure 5' · 0.33 xGAdemola Lookman 51' · 0.13 xGÁlex Baena 36' · 0.12 xGPeque 52' · 0.10 xGMarc Pubill 19' · 0.10 xGÁlex Baena 49' · 0.09 xGÁlex Grimaldo 49' · 0.08 xGAdemola Lookman 36' · 0.08 xGRobbie Ure 51' · 0.07 xGPeque 57' · 0.07 xGÁlex Grimaldo 89' · 0.06 xGPablo Barrios Rivas 72' · 0.06 xGGiorgi Kochorashvili 57' · 0.05 xGRobbie Ure 79' · 0.05 xGKike Salas 45' · 0.05 xGRobbie Ure 60' · 0.04 xGPeque 27' · 0.03 xGJon Guridi 45' · 0.03 xGLucien Agoume 70' · 0.03 xGKike Salas 22' · 0.02 xGGiorgi Kochorashvili 95' · 0.02 xGMiguel Sierra 78' · 0.02 xGChidera Ejuke 58' · 0.02 xGMiguel Sierra 38' · 0.02 xGMiguel Sierra 38' · 0.02 xGGabriel Suazo 34' · 0.01 xGJuan Iglesias 46' · 0.01 xGLucien Agoume 54' · 0.01 xGÁlex Baena 3' · 0.21 xG · goalMiguel Sierra 66' · 0.08 xG · goalAdemola Lookman 25' · 0.07 xG · goalÁlex Baena 32' · 0.05 xG · goal
Sevilla (attacking right)Atletico Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Sevilla2111.08
Atletico Madrid1231.51

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Sevilla 0.51, Atletico Madrid 0.64. At full time, Atletico Madrid led on xG, 1.51 to 1.08. The widest gap was 0.45 xG to Atletico Madrid, in the 89th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.50.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Atletico Madrid 3 minGoal - Atletico Madrid 25 minGoal - Atletico Madrid 32 minGoal - Sevilla 66 min
Sevilla 1.08 xGAtletico Madrid 1.51 xGdots = goals · 33 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sevilla v Atletico Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sevilla v Atletico Madrid was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Sevilla won 2, Atletico Madrid won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sevilla and Atletico Madrid?
Recent form — Sevilla 3W 0D 2L; Atletico Madrid 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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