Sevilla v Real Madrid result

Full-time · Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid

La Liga · Sun, 17 May 2026 18:00 BST · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sevilla · Real Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid — Real Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Madrid: 1.48 to 0.68 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 14, ahead on xG from the 14th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Madrid won 1–0 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in La Liga on Sunday 17 May. Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Sevilla, every meeting checked.

The goals

Real Madrid led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Madrid: Vinícius Júnior (15’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Vinícius Júnior’s goal on 15 minutes.

Discipline

J. Sanchez showed four yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sevilla: Nemanja Gudelj (48’), A. Sánchez (80’), Juanlu Sánchez (84’) and Lucien Agoumé (90+4’).

What it changes

Sevilla have scored seven goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Sevilla have conceded eight goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Real Madrid have scored eight goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Real Madrid have conceded four goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kike Salas (Sevilla) 7.1, Andrés Castrín (Sevilla) 6.4 and Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Sevilla next host Real Betis on 21 November 2026.

Real Madrid next host Celta Vigo on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sevilla: Sevilla v Real Betis, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Real Madrid: Real Madrid v Celta Vigo, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid · La Liga
Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Sevilla
Referee: J. Sanchez
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Sevilla 0 · draws 1 · Real Madrid 5 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Sevilla 3W 0D 2L · Real Madrid 3W 1D 1L

Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.63 / 6.63

Corners

against 4.5 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 6.5

Shots on target

against 3.63 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3 / 2.75

Cards

against 2.88 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.73 yellows

Referee · J. Sanchez

27 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 15 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Sevilla for / against	Line	Real Madrid for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.63 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.63 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.5 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.75 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.88 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.88 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: J. Sanchez — 4.73 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 27 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sevilla

Sevilla Goalkeeper

Sevilla — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
O. Vlachodimos	33	902976 min	932.8 /90	521.6 /90	10 /90
Ø. Nyland	5	90450 min	122.4 /90	81.6 /90	00 /90

Sevilla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Vlachodimos n 8	90	2.1 4/3

Sevilla Defensive

Sevilla — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
José Ángel Carmona	35	732556 min	682.4 /90	411.4 /90	90.3 /90	1746.1 /90	511.8 /90	140.5 /90
N. Gudelj	32	772469 min	351.3 /90	281 /90	190.7 /90	923.4 /90	421.5 /90	90.3 /90
G. Suazo	26	741915 min	833.9 /90	251.2 /90	50.2 /90	1245.8 /90	281.3 /90	70.3 /90
Kike Salas	24	882107 min	532.3 /90	361.5 /90	160.7 /90	1687.2 /90	301.3 /90	10 /90
Oso	20	721439 min	301.9 /90	100.6 /90	40.3 /90	805 /90	130.8 /90	00 /90
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Sevilla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
José Ángel Carmona n 8	61.8	2 7/4	1.3 6/1	—
L. Agoumé n 8	78.9	1.6 6/3	0.3 2/0	—
O. Vlachodimos n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
N. Gudelj n 8	86.6	1.3 5/2	0.1 1/0	A. Tchouaméni
D. Sow n 8	55.4	1.8 4/3	1.4 5/1	A. Tchouaméni
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Sevilla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
José Ángel Carmona n 8	61.8	2.2 6/5
L. Agoumé n 8	78.9	3.4 7/7
N. Gudelj n 8	86.6	1 6/2
D. Sow n 8	55.4	2.6 5/3
Juanlu Sánchez n 8	55.4	3.5 6/6
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Sevilla Attacking

Sevilla — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Adams	29	671940 min	100.5 /90	30.1 /90	462.1 /90	291.3 /90	110.5 /90	130.6 /90
Isaac	27	591586 min	50.3 /90	00 /90	362 /90	160.9 /90	140.8 /90	100.6 /90
A. Sánchez	25	511277 min	40.3 /90	20.1 /90	191.3 /90	80.6 /90	261.8 /90	70.5 /90
Peque Fernández	18	53958 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	90.8 /90	50.5 /90	171.6 /90	171.6 /90
C. Ejuke	18	47843 min	00 /90	00 /90	101.1 /90	20.2 /90	111.2 /90	444.7 /90
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Sevilla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
José Ángel Carmona n 8	61.8	0.4 1/1	0 0/0
L. Agoumé n 8	78.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
O. Vlachodimos n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Gudelj n 8	86.6	1.4 6/3	0.4 3/0
D. Sow n 8	55.4	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
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Sevilla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
José Ángel Carmona n 8	61.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Agoumé n 8	78.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
O. Vlachodimos n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Gudelj n 8	86.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Sow n 8	55.4	0.2 1/0	0.6 3/0
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Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Thibaut Courtois	49	894365 min	1483.1 /90	481 /90	00 /90
A. Lunin	12	871042 min	383.3 /90	211.8 /90	00 /90

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 8	84.4	3.2 6/5
A. Lunin n 8	90	3.1 6/6

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Dean Huijsen	42	803366 min	571.5 /90	350.9 /90	250.7 /90	1724.6 /90	340.9 /90	90.2 /90
Álvaro Fernández	37	893307 min	711.9 /90	481.3 /90	160.4 /90	1835 /90	441.2 /90	90.2 /90
Raúl Asencio	35	732540 min	250.9 /90	160.6 /90	200.7 /90	893.2 /90	260.9 /90	90.3 /90
A. Rüdiger	29	842438 min	160.6 /90	100.4 /90	150.6 /90	562.1 /90	190.7 /90	20.1 /90
Trent Alexander-Arnold	28	762123 min	381.6 /90	231 /90	60.3 /90	612.6 /90	130.6 /90	50.2 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Vinícius Júnior n 8	89.3	1.6 7/4	3 7/6	—
F. Valverde n 8	88.4	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0	—
A. Güler n 8	62	0.9 4/1	1.6 6/2	—
A. Tchouaméni n 8	82.6	1.2 7/2	0.7 3/2	D. Sow
Thibaut Courtois n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 8	89.3	0.4 2/1
F. Valverde n 8	88.4	1.5 7/3
A. Güler n 8	62	2.7 7/4
A. Tchouaméni n 8	82.6	2 7/5
Kylian Mbappé n 8	72.3	0.6 4/0
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Vinícius Júnior	58	804634 min	220.4 /90	110.2 /90	1342.6 /90	751.5 /90	1032 /90	1332.6 /90
Kylian Mbappé	44	813561 min	421.1 /90	60.2 /90	1553.9 /90	982.5 /90	1002.5 /90	982.5 /90
Gonzalo García	29	601750 min	110.6 /90	30.2 /90	331.7 /90	211.1 /90	180.9 /90	60.3 /90
Franco Mastantuono	22	591303 min	30.2 /90	00 /90	342.3 /90	130.9 /90	181.2 /90	281.9 /90
Rodrygo	22	511125 min	30.2 /90	50.4 /90	312.5 /90	191.5 /90	302.4 /90	312.5 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 8	89.3	2.8 8/6	1.6 6/5
F. Valverde n 8	88.4	1.5 7/3	1.3 6/3
A. Güler n 8	62	1.3 4/3	0.9 4/1
A. Tchouaméni n 8	82.6	1.2 6/3	0.4 2/1
Thibaut Courtois n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 8	89.3	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
F. Valverde n 8	88.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
A. Güler n 8	62	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
A. Tchouaméni n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Thibaut Courtois n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sevilla		Real Madrid
41%	Possession	59%
0.72	Expected goals (xG)	1.00
14	Shots	12
6	Shots on target	1
5	Shots off target	6
3	Blocked shots	5
7	Shots inside the box	9
4	Corners	4
1	Offsides	3
18	Fouls	12
4	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	6
359	Passes	531
80%	Pass accuracy	88%

Sevilla Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
O. Vlachodimos	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Andrés Castrín	90	1	1	0	4	0	7.9
Kike Salas	90	2	1	0	6	0	7.3
G. Suazo	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
D. Sow	90	0	0	1	5	0	7.3
A. Adams	90	2	1	2	1	0	6.9
Oso	78	2	1	1	0	0	6.9
José Ángel Carmona	70	0	0	2	1	0	7
R. Vargas	54	1	0	3	2	0	6.6
N. Gudelj	54	0	0	1	1	Y	6.3
N. Maupay	53	2	1	0	0	0	6.3
A. Sánchez sub	37	0	0	2	0	Y	6.3
L. Agoumé sub	36	0	0	0	3	Y	7.2
C. Ejuke sub	36	0	0	1	1	0	7
Juanlu Sánchez sub	20	0	0	1	0	Y	6.7
Isaac sub	12	1	1	0	0	0	6.6

Real Madrid Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Thibaut Courtois	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
Dani Carvajal	90	0	0	0	1	1	7.3
A. Rüdiger	90	0	0	0	0	2	7.2
Dean Huijsen	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Fran García	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Kylian Mbappé	90	0	3	0	1	0	5.9
J. Bellingham	87	0	0	0	0	5	7.2
Brahim Díaz	77	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
Vinícius Júnior	77	1	2	1	2	0	7.3
A. Tchouaméni	70	0	0	0	1	3	7.5
Thiago Pitarch	70	0	1	0	2	0	6.2
Eduardo Camavinga sub	20	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
Franco Mastantuono sub	20	0	1	0	0	0	6.7
Trent Alexander-Arnold sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Gonzalo García sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Ávaro Leiva sub	3	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sevilla v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SevillaLLWWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Real MadridWDWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Sevilla 0 · 1 draw · Real Madrid 5 · 2.67 goals/game

2025-12-20 Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla
2025-05-18 Sevilla 0–2 Real Madrid
2024-12-22 Real Madrid 4–2 Sevilla
2024-02-25 Real Madrid 1–0 Sevilla
2023-10-21 Sevilla 1–1 Real Madrid
2023-05-27 Sevilla 1–2 Real Madrid

League standing · 2025/26

Sevilla#13 pos43 pts38 pl-14 GD

Real Madrid#2 pos86 pts38 pl+42 GD

Goals per game

Sevilla scored1.21

Real Madrid scored2.03

Sevilla conceded1.58

Real Madrid conceded0.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Sevilla 0.68 xG from 14 shots, Real Madrid 1.48 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Sevilla (attacking right)Real Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Sevilla	14	0	0.68
Real Madrid	12	1	1.48

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Sevilla 0.30, Real Madrid 0.33. At full time, Real Madrid led on xG, 1.48 to 0.68. The widest gap was 0.92 xG to Real Madrid, in the 86th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Sevilla 0.68 xGReal Madrid 1.48 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sevilla v Real Madrid?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Sevilla v Real Madrid was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Sevilla and Real Madrid?: In their last 6 meetings, Sevilla won 0, Real Madrid won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sevilla and Real Madrid?: Recent form — Sevilla 3W 0D 2L; Real Madrid 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.