SevillaValencia

Sevilla v Valencia result

Full-time · Sevilla 1–0 Valencia

La Liga · · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sevilla · Valencia · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sevilla 1–0 Valencia — Sevilla won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.34 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,997 of 2,670 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Sevilla: 1.38 to 0.08 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 3, ahead on xG from the 26th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Sevilla beat Valencia 1–0 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in La Liga on Friday 11 September. Valencia are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Sevilla: Juan Iglesias (81’, assisted by Giorgi Kochorashvili).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Juan Iglesias’s goal on 81 minutes.

Discipline

Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain showed three yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sevilla: Chidera Ejuke (67’); Valencia: Ryunosuke Sato (27’) and Pablo Maffeo (88’).

What it changes

Sevilla move up from sixth to third (five league matches played). Sevilla have scored eight goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Sevilla have conceded six goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Valencia stay 20th after this result (five league matches played). Valencia have scored one goal, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Valencia have conceded 10 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sevilla have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Juan Iglesias (Sevilla) 7.2, Aliou Dieng (Valencia) 5.9 and Youssouf Fofana (Sevilla) 5.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Valencia are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Sevilla, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sevilla or Valencia (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Sevilla next host Real Betis on 22 November 2026.

Valencia next travel to Tavernes on 10 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sevilla: Sevilla v Real Betis, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Valencia: Tavernes v Valencia, Tuesday 10 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sevilla 1–0 Valencia · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Sevilla
  • Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sevilla 0 · draws 3 · Valencia 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sevilla 2W 1D 2L · Valencia 1W 1D 3L

Sevilla 1–0 Valencia (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.38 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.25 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.57 yellows
Referee · Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain
21.29 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSevilla for / againstLineValencia for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.25our book
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
16 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.63 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
3.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain — 4.57 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 21.29 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sevilla

Sevilla Goalkeeper

Sevilla — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Vlachodimos490360 min123 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Sevilla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Vlachodimos n 890
2.35/2

Sevilla Defensive

Sevilla — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Suazo490360 min92.3 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90225.5 /9092.3 /9020.5 /90
Juan Iglesias490360 min71.8 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90194.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Kike Salas389268 min51.7 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90237.7 /9031 /9000 /90
A. Sangante371214 min20.8 /9041.7 /9020.8 /90125 /9041.7 /9000 /90
Andrés Castrín370210 min20.9 /9031.3 /9020.9 /9073 /9000 /9000 /90
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Sevilla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Agoumé n 878.8
2.16/4
13/3
—
G. Suazo n 886.8
1.95/4
0.64/1
César Tárrega
Juan Iglesias n 490
0.52/0
2.34/4
Pepelu
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Robbie Ure n 469.8
1.93/2
2.64/2
—
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Sevilla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Agoumé n 878.8
3.48/7
G. Suazo n 886.8
2.27/5
Juan Iglesias n 490
1.84/3
Robbie Ure n 469.8
0.31/0
M. Sierra n 558.6
1.85/1
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Sevilla Attacking

Sevilla — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Robbie Ure470279 min00 /9010.3 /9031 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /90
C. Ejuke347140 min10.6 /9000 /9021.3 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9074.5 /90
Isaac337112 min10.8 /9010.8 /9032.4 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
Miguel Sierra258116 min00 /9000 /9032.3 /9021.6 /9000 /9021.6 /90
L. Stassin13636 min12.5 /9000 /9025 /9025 /9000 /9012.5 /90
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Sevilla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Juan Iglesias n 490
0.83/0
0.52/0
L. Agoumé n 878.8
0.11/0
00/0
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Suazo n 886.8
00/0
00/0
Robbie Ure n 469.8
12/1
00/0
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Sevilla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Agoumé n 878.8
00/0
0.11/0
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
00/0
Juan Iglesias n 490
00/0
00/0
G. Suazo n 886.8
00/0
00/0
Robbie Ure n 469.8
00/0
0.31/0
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Valencia

Valencia Goalkeeper

Valencia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Dimitrievski490360 min133.3 /9092.3 /9000 /90
Valencia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Dimitrievski n 890
2.97/5

Valencia Defensive

Valencia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jesús Vázquez481324 min71.9 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90195.3 /9061.7 /9000 /90
César Tárrega477306 min92.6 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90164.7 /9061.8 /9000 /90
Pepelu475298 min51.5 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9082.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90
M. Diakhaby472287 min20.6 /9061.9 /9020.6 /90113.4 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
Pablo Maffeo343130 min10.7 /9010.7 /9000 /9064.2 /9000 /9000 /90
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Valencia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Dimitrievski n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Jesús Vázquez n 867.3
1.24/2
1.75/2
—
César Tárrega n 883.3
1.46/3
0.85/1
G. Suazo
Javi Guerra n 878.1
0.11/0
1.25/2
—
Pepelu n 866.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
Juan Iglesias
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Valencia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jesús Vázquez n 867.3
1.87/4
César Tárrega n 883.3
2.36/4
Javi Guerra n 878.1
1.36/2
Pepelu n 866.9
1.25/2
M. Diakhaby n 875.3
13/2
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Valencia Attacking

Valencia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Danjuma465258 min00 /9000 /9093.1 /9041.4 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90
U. Sadiq353158 min10.6 /9000 /9031.7 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9021.1 /90
Hugo Duro24385 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022.1 /9000 /90
Javi Guerra476302 min00 /9000 /9030.9 /9000 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
F. Ugrinic471284 min00 /9000 /9041.3 /9020.6 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
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Valencia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Dimitrievski n 890
00/0
00/0
Jesús Vázquez n 867.3
0.21/0
00/0
César Tárrega n 883.3
0.32/0
00/0
Javi Guerra n 878.1
26/4
0.93/2
Pepelu n 866.9
00/0
00/0
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Valencia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Dimitrievski n 890
00/0
00/0
Jesús Vázquez n 867.3
00/0
00/0
César Tárrega n 883.3
00/0
00/0
Javi Guerra n 878.1
0.42/1
0.11/0
Pepelu n 866.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SevillaValencia
46%Possession54%
0.93Expected goals (xG)0.10
13Shots3
4Shots on target0
5Shots off target2
4Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box1
6Corners4
2Offsides1
8Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves3
348Passes427
79%Pass accuracy82%

Sevilla Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Vlachodimos9000000006.6
Juan Iglesias9010110208.3
Andrés Castrín9000110208
Kike Salas9000210307.2
G. Suazo9000002407.9
L. Agoumé9000100107.5
Félix Correia8300003006.6
L. Stassin8300101006.5
Y. Fofana7100110307.2
M. Sierra6300000006.3
Isaac6300101206.7
Robbie Ure sub2700001006.5
C. Ejuke sub27000000Y6.3
Giorgi Kochorashvili sub1901101006.9
Jon Guridi sub1500000106.7
Julio Díaz sub1500000006.6

Valencia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Dimitrievski9000000006.9
Pepelu9000000306.3
David Otorbi9000100106.6
A. Dieng9000001707.3
F. Ugrinic9000000206.6
A. Danjuma9000100006.3
José Gayà8300000506.7
Javi Guerra8300001006.7
Arnau Martínez6200000006.6
R. Sato62000000Y6.2
César Tárrega2400000106.6
Iker Córdoba sub6600000006.6
Harvey Elliott sub2800000006.3
Pablo Maffeo sub28000001Y6.2
Hugo Duro sub1500000006.7
Jesús Vázquez sub1500000206.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sevilla v Valencia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SevillaLWWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
ValenciaWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sevilla 0 · 3 draws · Valencia 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 Sevilla 0–2 Valencia
  • 2025-12-07 Valencia 1–1 Sevilla
  • 2025-04-11 Valencia 1–0 Sevilla
  • 2025-01-11 Sevilla 1–1 Valencia
  • 2024-02-17 Valencia 0–0 Sevilla
  • 2023-08-11 Sevilla 1–2 Valencia
League standing · 2026/27
Sevilla#6 pos18 pts12 pl-2 GD
Valencia#19 pos9 pts11 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Sevilla scored1.42
Valencia scored0.73
Sevilla conceded1.58
Valencia conceded1.55

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Sevilla 1.38 xG from 13 shots, Valencia 0.08 from 3. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Andrés Castrín 50' · 0.54 xGKike Salas 49' · 0.10 xGYoussouf Fofana 60' · 0.07 xGIsaac Romero 46' · 0.06 xGLucien Agoume 26' · 0.04 xGKike Salas 42' · 0.04 xGLucas Stassin 50' · 0.04 xGDavid Otorbi 77' · 0.04 xGYoussouf Fofana 69' · 0.03 xGArnau Martinez 12' · 0.02 xGMiguel Sierra 25' · 0.02 xGYoussouf Fofana 58' · 0.02 xGArnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 97' · 0.02 xGGiorgi Kochorashvili 76' · 0.02 xGLucien Agoume 58' · 0.01 xGJuan Iglesias 80' · 0.38 xG · goal
Sevilla (attacking right)Valencia (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Sevilla1311.38
Valencia300.08

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Sevilla 0.10, Valencia 0.02. At full time, Sevilla led on xG, 1.38 to 0.08. The widest gap was 1.32 xG to Sevilla, in the 80th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.40.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Sevilla 80 min
Sevilla 1.38 xGValencia 0.08 xGdots = goals · 16 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sevilla v Valencia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sevilla v Valencia was Home or Away (best price 1.34 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Sevilla and Valencia?
In their last 6 meetings, Sevilla won 0, Valencia won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sevilla and Valencia?
Recent form — Sevilla 2W 1D 2L; Valencia 1W 1D 3L.

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