This Matchweek

VillarrealDeportivo La Coruna

Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna result

Full-time · Villarreal 2–3 Deportivo La Coruna

La Liga · · Estadio de la Ceramica

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Villarreal 2–3 Deportivo La Coruna — Deportivo La Coruna won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Villarreal: 3.64 to 2.44 in expected goals, from 31 shots to 18, ahead on xG from the seventh minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Deportivo La Coruna won 3–2 at Estadio de la Ceramica in La Liga on Saturday 5 September. Deportivo La Coruna have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Villarreal: Nicolas Pépé (19’, assisted by Ayoze Pérez); Deportivo La Coruna: Luismi Cruz (43’, assisted by Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang), an own goal by Adama Traoré (76’), Zakaria Eddahchouri (79’, assisted by Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (88’).

Discipline

Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain showed four yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Villarreal: Santi Comesaña (81’) and Tajon Buchanan (87’); Deportivo La Coruna: Lorenzo Amatucci (90+1’) and Peke (90+3’).

What it changes

Villarreal move down from 12th to 16th (four league matches played). Villarreal have scored 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Villarreal have conceded 15 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Deportivo La Coruna move up from seventh to fourth (four league matches played). Deportivo La Coruna have scored 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Deportivo La Coruna have conceded 14 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Villarreal are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Deportivo La Coruna are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Deportivo La Coruna) 11.2, Nathan-Dylan Saliba (Villarreal) 7.5 and Nicolas Pépé (Villarreal) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Villarreal next host Getafe on 8 November 2026.

Deportivo La Coruna next travel to Espanyol on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Villarreal: Villarreal v Getafe, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Deportivo La Coruna: Espanyol v Deportivo La Coruna, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Villarreal 2–3 Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica · Villarreal
  • Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Villarreal 1 · draws 1 · Deportivo La Coruna 0 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Villarreal 1W 2D 2L · Deportivo La Coruna 2W 2D 1L

Villarreal 2–3 Deportivo La Coruna (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.63 / 4.38
Corners
against 4.75 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.5
Cards
against 2 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.22 yellows
Referee · Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
25.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVillarreal for / againstLineDeportivo La Coruna for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
11.13 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain — 5.22 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.33 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Villarreal

Villarreal Goalkeeper

Villarreal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Luíz Júnior390270 min62 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Villarreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luíz Júnior n 890
2.86/4

Villarreal Defensive

Villarreal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Carlos Romero390270 min62 /9010.3 /9000 /90206.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
J. Foyth390270 min62 /9072.3 /9072.3 /90175.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90
Renato Veiga390270 min10.3 /9051.7 /9051.7 /9082.7 /9031 /9000 /90
S. Mouriño380240 min124.5 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90207.5 /9062.3 /9020.8 /90
A. Freeman12828 min26.4 /9000 /9000 /9039.6 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Villarreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Renato Veiga n 890
1.47/3
0.43/0
G. Quagliata
P. Gueye n 880.6
15/2
2.16/6
L. Amatucci
J. Foyth n 877.5
0.95/1
0.42/1
—
Carlos Romero n 858.3
0.83/1
2.35/4
—
Luíz Júnior n 890
00/0
00/0
—
See more players · Pro
Villarreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Carlos Romero n 858.3
2.97/4
J. Foyth n 877.5
2.26/4
P. Gueye n 880.6
1.17/1
Renato Veiga n 890
0.54/0
G. Mikautadze n 873.6
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

Villarreal Attacking

Villarreal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Mikautadze384251 min10.4 /9010.4 /9072.5 /9041.4 /9041.4 /9062.2 /90
Ayoze Pérez348145 min00 /9000 /9042.5 /9031.9 /9021.2 /9010.6 /90
Gerard Moreno345134 min10.7 /9000 /9042.7 /9021.3 /9053.4 /9064 /90
T. Buchanan342126 min00 /9000 /9032.1 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9021.4 /90
P. Gueye390270 min10.3 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9051.7 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Villarreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Gueye n 880.6
1.16/1
0.43/0
Renato Veiga n 890
0.42/1
00/0
J. Foyth n 877.5
0.41/1
0.11/0
Carlos Romero n 858.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
Luíz Júnior n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Villarreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Gueye n 880.6
0.32/0
00/0
Luíz Júnior n 890
00/0
00/0
Renato Veiga n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Foyth n 877.5
00/0
00/0
Carlos Romero n 858.3
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Deportivo La Coruna

Deportivo La Coruna Goalkeeper

Deportivo La Coruna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Leo Román390270 min93 /9031 /9000 /90
Deportivo La Coruna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Deportivo La Coruna before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Leo Román n 390
32/2

Deportivo La Coruna Defensive

Deportivo La Coruna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Quagliata390270 min20.7 /9031 /9010.3 /90103.3 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
L. Noubi390270 min31 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90103.3 /9031 /9000 /90
Ximo Navarro388263 min51.7 /9041.4 /9000 /90103.4 /9031 /9020.7 /90
B. Ede365196 min41.8 /9031.4 /9010.5 /90104.6 /9000 /9000 /90
Miguel Loureiro17474 min11.2 /9033.6 /9000 /9022.4 /9011.2 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Deportivo La Coruna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Deportivo La Coruna before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Amatucci n 390
1.72/1
0.31/0
P. Gueye
L. Noubi n 884.4
1.55/4
0.94/2
—
G. Quagliata n 878.4
1.37/2
1.13/3
Renato Veiga
Leo Román n 390
00/0
00/0
—
P. Aubameyang n 388.3
0.71/1
0.31/0
—
See more players · Pro
Deportivo La Coruna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Deportivo La Coruna before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Amatucci n 390
2.73/2
G. Quagliata n 878.4
1.66/2
L. Noubi n 884.4
1.55/4
P. Aubameyang n 388.3
00/0
Ximo Navarro n 885.1
1.77/5
See more players · Pro

Deportivo La Coruna Attacking

Deportivo La Coruna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Aubameyang388265 min31 /9000 /9093.1 /9072.4 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
Bil Nsongo272143 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9010.6 /9021.3 /9010.6 /90
Z. Eddahchouri13030 min00 /9000 /9013 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Amatucci390270 min00 /9010.3 /9000 /9000 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
Mario Soriano376229 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9000 /9031.2 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Deportivo La Coruna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Deportivo La Coruna before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Quagliata n 878.4
0.94/2
0.43/0
L. Noubi n 884.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Leo Román n 390
00/0
00/0
L. Amatucci n 390
00/0
00/0
P. Aubameyang n 388.3
3.13/3
2.43/3
See more players · Pro
Deportivo La Coruna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Deportivo La Coruna before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Amatucci n 390
00/0
0.31/0
Leo Román n 390
00/0
00/0
L. Noubi n 884.4
00/0
00/0
G. Quagliata n 878.4
00/0
00/0
P. Aubameyang n 388.3
13/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VillarrealDeportivo La Coruna
62%Possession38%
1.14Expected goals (xG)0.79
17Shots8
5Shots on target3
6Shots off target3
6Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box6
7Corners1
2Offsides1
14Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves4
643Passes387
90%Pass accuracy85%

Villarreal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Freeman9000210306.9
Luíz Júnior9000000005.2
N. Saliba9000001507.6
N. Pépé9010314007.9
Sergi Cardona9000000205.9
Renato Veiga9000000006.5
Logan Costa8300100006.7
Gerard Moreno7700001007.5
Ayoze Pérez6201001106.6
Alberto Moleiro6200221107.5
P. Gueye6200112007.2
G. Mikautadze sub2800100006.6
Santi Comesaña sub28000020Y6.2
T. Buchanan sub28000010Y6.7
T. Oluwaseyi sub1300000006.5
Ilias Akhomach sub1300100106.2

Deportivo La Coruna Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Aubameyang9012212209.2
L. Amatucci90000025Y6.9
G. Quagliata9000100006.2
L. Noubi9000000106.7
Ximo Navarro9000000506.9
Leo Román9000000006.9
Luismi Cruz7710110307.6
Bil Nsongo6600100307.3
Mario Soriano6600000006.3
J. Giménez6600001007.3
Riki Rodríguez5400000006.2
Peke sub36000001Y6.9
Marc Casadó sub2400000006.9
Miguel Loureiro sub2400000006.5
Adama Traoré sub2400000006.2
Z. Eddahchouri sub1310111007.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VillarrealLWDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Deportivo La CorunaWLDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Villarreal 1 · 1 draw · Deportivo La Coruna 0 · 4 goals/game
  • 2018-05-12 Deportivo La Coruna 2–4 Villarreal
  • 2018-01-07 Villarreal 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna
League standing · 2026/27
Villarreal#9 pos12 pts11 pl0 GD
Deportivo La Coruna#8 pos14 pts11 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Villarreal scored1.36
Deportivo La Coruna scored1.36
Villarreal conceded1.36
Deportivo La Coruna conceded1.27

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Villarreal 3.64 xG from 31 shots, Deportivo La Coruna 2.44 from 18. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Gerard Moreno 33' · 0.54 xGGerard Moreno 33' · 0.54 xGAlberto Moleiro 46' · 0.34 xGAlberto Moleiro 46' · 0.34 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 22' · 0.20 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 22' · 0.20 xGAyoze Pérez 15' · 0.12 xGAyoze Pérez 15' · 0.12 xGNathan Saliba 68' · 0.10 xGNathan Saliba 68' · 0.10 xGNicolas Pepe 54' · 0.10 xGNicolas Pepe 54' · 0.10 xGYeremay Hernández 84' · 0.10 xGYeremay Hernández 84' · 0.10 xGLogan Costa 69' · 0.09 xGGeorges Mikautadze 63' · 0.09 xGGeorges Mikautadze 63' · 0.09 xGAlberto Moleiro 37' · 0.06 xGAlberto Moleiro 37' · 0.06 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 39' · 0.06 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 39' · 0.06 xGNicolas Pepe 60' · 0.05 xGNicolas Pepe 60' · 0.05 xGAlexander Freeman 21' · 0.05 xGNicolas Pepe 55' · 0.04 xGNicolas Pepe 55' · 0.04 xGGeorges Mikautadze 80' · 0.03 xGGeorges Mikautadze 80' · 0.03 xGBil Nsongo 23' · 0.03 xGBil Nsongo 23' · 0.03 xGPape Alassane Gueye 51' · 0.03 xGPape Alassane Gueye 51' · 0.03 xGNicolas Pepe 83' · 0.03 xGNicolas Pepe 83' · 0.03 xGIlias Akhomach 94' · 0.01 xGIlias Akhomach 94' · 0.01 xGAlexander Freeman 7' · 0.01 xGGiacomo Quagliata 26' · 0.01 xGGiacomo Quagliata 26' · 0.01 xGAdama Traoré 75' · 0.00 xGAdama Traoré 75' · 0.00 xGLuismi Cruz 42' · 0.41 xG · goalLuismi Cruz 42' · 0.41 xG · goalPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 87' · 0.36 xG · goalPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 87' · 0.36 xG · goalNicolas Pepe 18' · 0.21 xG · goalNicolas Pepe 18' · 0.21 xG · goalZakaria Eddahchouri 78' · 0.06 xG · goalZakaria Eddahchouri 78' · 0.06 xG · goal
Villarreal (attacking right)Deportivo La Coruna (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Villarreal3123.64
Deportivo La Coruna1862.44

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Villarreal led on xG, 1.93 to 1.42. At full time, Villarreal led on xG, 3.64 to 2.44. The widest gap was 2.08 xG to Villarreal, in the 69th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.61.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Villarreal 18 minGoal - Villarreal 18 minGoal - Deportivo La Coruna 42 minGoal - Deportivo La Coruna 42 minGoal - Deportivo La Coruna 78 minGoal - Deportivo La Coruna 78 minGoal - Deportivo La Coruna 87 minGoal - Deportivo La Coruna 87 min
Villarreal 3.64 xGDeportivo La Coruna 2.44 xGdots = goals · 49 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Villarreal and Deportivo La Coruna?
In their last 2 meetings, Villarreal won 1, Deportivo La Coruna won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Villarreal and Deportivo La Coruna?
Recent form — Villarreal 1W 2D 2L; Deportivo La Coruna 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+