Villarreal v Oviedo result

Full-time · Villarreal 2–0 Oviedo

La Liga · Fri, 15 Aug 2025 20:30 BST · Estadio de la Ceramica

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Villarreal 2–0 Oviedo — Villarreal won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 391 of 597 times (65.5%), against an average rating of 68.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Villarreal: 2.62 to 0.86 in expected goals, from 25 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 21st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Villarreal beat Oviedo 2–0 at Estadio de la Ceramica in La Liga on Friday 15 August. Villarreal have won their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Villarreal led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Villarreal: Etta Eyong (29’) and Pape Gueye (36’, assisted by Nicolas Pépé). Alberto Reina (27’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Etta Eyong’s goal on 29 minutes.

Discipline

Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain showed three yellow cards and one red — against 5.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Villarreal: Luíz Júnior (13’); Oviedo: Alberto Reina (18’) and Alberto Reina (27’).

What it changes

Villarreal are second after this result (one league match played).

Oviedo are 20th after this result (one league match played).

Villarreal have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pape Gueye (Villarreal) 9.4, Nicolas Pépé (Villarreal) 9.0 and Luíz Júnior (Villarreal) 7.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Villarreal next travel to Liverpool on 20 October 2026.

Oviedo next travel to Almeria on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Villarreal: Liverpool v Villarreal, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Oviedo: Almeria v Oviedo, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Villarreal 2–0 Oviedo · La Liga
Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica · Villarreal
Referee: Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Villarreal 5W 0D 0L · Oviedo 3W 1D 1L

Villarreal 2–0 Oviedo (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.38 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 3

Corners

against 6.38 / 3.6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 5 matches

4.75 / 2.8

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 3.2 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 5 matches

2.25 / 2.4

Cards

against 1.25 / 2.2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 5 matches

5.8 yellows

Referee · Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain

2.6 home / 3.2 away

over 5 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 June 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 June 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Villarreal for / against	Line	Oviedo for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3 for · 3.6 against n 5 Last 5
Shots	12.88 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9 for · 8.8 against n 5 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.8 for · 3.2 against n 5 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.38 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.8 for · 15.6 against n 5 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.4 for · 2.2 against n 5 Last 5

Referee: Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain — 5.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 27.4 fouls over 5 matches (2.6 to the home side, 3.2 to the away side).

Home 2.6Away 3.2

Villarreal

Villarreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Reque n 8	48.4	2.8 7/4	0.9 4/0	—
Yeremy Pino n 8	60.9	2.6 6/5	1.3 3/3	—
T. Buchanan n 8	37.4	2.4 7/1	5.4 7/4	—
Alex Baena n 8	67.1	2 6/3	2.5 7/4	—
T. Barry n 8	78.6	1.7 7/5	2 7/3	—

Villarreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ayoze Pérez n 8	71.3	2.5 7/6	1.6 7/3
Etta Eyong n 6	12.3	2.4 2/0	2.4 2/0
T. Barry n 8	78.6	2.1 5/4	1 5/1
Alex Baena n 8	67.1	2 6/4	0.5 3/0
P. Gueye n 8	55.4	1.8 4/3	1 3/1

Villarreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ayoze Pérez n 8	71.3	1.1 5/2	0.2 1/0
Yeremy Pino n 8	60.9	0.6 3/0	0.6 3/0
Etta Eyong n 6	12.3	1.2 1/0	0 0/0
N. Pépé n 8	71.9	0.3 2/0	0.6 3/1
T. Buchanan n 8	37.4	0.3 1/0	0.6 2/0

Villarreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Yeremy Pino n 8	60.9	3.1 7/5
Reque n 8	48.4	3 4/4
Santi Comesaña n 8	78.8	2.9 7/4
Sergi Cardona n 8	74.1	2.4 7/5
Denis Suárez n 8	33.3	2.4 3/3

Villarreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Luíz Júnior n 8	90	3.8 7/5
Diego Conde n 8	87.9	2.8 7/4

Oviedo

Oviedo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alemão n 8	52.3	3.2 7/4	2.6 7/4	—
I. Chaira n 8	63.6	2.7 7/3	0.9 4/1	—
Sebas Moyano n 8	37.5	2.4 6/2	3.3 6/2	—
S. Colombatto n 8	89.3	2.1 7/5	1.8 8/3	—
Lucas Ahijado n 8	33.3	1.7 5/0	1 2/1	—

Oviedo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Paulino n 8	13.3	2.5 2/1	1.7 2/0
F. Viñas n 8	38.3	2.4 4/2	0.6 2/0
I. Chaira n 8	63.6	2.3 6/5	1.1 4/1
Alemão n 8	52.3	1.7 6/1	0.9 4/0
Sebas Moyano n 8	37.5	1.2 3/1	0 0/0

Oviedo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Paulino n 8	13.3	0.8 1/0	0 0/0
Santi Cazorla n 8	61.5	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
Jaime Seoane n 8	49.1	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
D. Paraschiv n 8	24.6	0 0/0	0.5 1/0
I. Chaira n 8	63.6	0.4 1/1	0 0/0

Oviedo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Chaira n 8	63.6	3.4 7/6
César de la Hoz n 8	42.8	3.2 6/4
Jaime Seoane n 8	49.1	3 4/3
Oier Luengo n 8	72.3	2.8 6/4
Lucas Ahijado n 8	33.3	2.7 3/2

Oviedo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Aarón Escandell n 8	90	2.9 7/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Villarreal		Oviedo
68%	Possession	32%
2.44	Expected goals (xG)	0.93
25	Shots	5
10	Shots on target	4
11	Shots off target	1
4	Blocked shots	0
17	Shots inside the box	3
10	Corners	1
0	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	8
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	1
4	Saves	8
668	Passes	326
92%	Pass accuracy	82%

Villarreal player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Luíz Júnior	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	7.2
S. Mouriño	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	8
Rafa Marín	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Sergi Cardona	90	0	0	3	0	1	3	0	7.3
Yeremy Pino	90	0	0	2	1	5	0	0	7.2
Etta Eyong	90	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.3
N. Pépé	82	0	1	4	4	6	2	0	8.3
Santi Comesaña	82	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	6.9
J. Foyth	70	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
P. Gueye	70	1	0	3	2	1	4	0	9.2
Gerard Moreno	47	0	0	2	2	5	0	0	7.2
T. Buchanan sub	43	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
Dani Parejo sub	20	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
Alberto Moleiro sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Pedraza sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
T. Partey sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Oviedo player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Aarón Escandell	90	0	0	0	0	0	8.7
Nacho Vidal	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Oier Luengo	90	0	0	0	4	0	6.6
Dani Calvo	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
K. Sibo	90	0	0	1	2	0	6.7
R. Alhassane	85	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
L. Ilić	77	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
I. Chaira	77	2	2	0	1	0	7.3
S. Rondón	63	2	1	0	0	0	6
H. Hassan	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Alberto Reina	27	0	0	1	0	RY	4.7
Marco Esteban sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
F. Viñas sub	27	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
Omar Falah sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
B. Sanchez sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Santi Cazorla sub	12	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Villarreal v Oviedo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

VillarrealWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

OviedoWWDLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

League standing · 2025/26

Villarreal#3 pos72 pts38 pl+26 GD

Oviedo#20 pos29 pts38 pl-34 GD

Goals per game

Villarreal scored1.89

Oviedo scored0.68

Villarreal conceded1.21

Oviedo conceded1.58

Shot map and expected goals

Villarreal 2.62 xG from 25 shots, Oviedo 0.86 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Villarreal (attacking right)Oviedo (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Villarreal	25	2	2.62
Oviedo	5	0	0.86

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Villarreal v Oviedo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Villarreal v Oviedo was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Villarreal and Oviedo?: Recent form — Villarreal 5W 0D 0L; Oviedo 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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