VillarrealReal Betis

Villarreal v Real Betis result

Full-time · Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis

La Liga · · Estadio de la Ceramica

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Villarreal · Real Betis · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis — Real Betis won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.62 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 505 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 927 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Betis: 4.16 to 1.75 in expected goals, from 26 shots to 14, ahead on xG from the 39th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Betis won 2–1 at Estadio de la Ceramica in La Liga on Monday 14 September. Real Betis have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Real Betis led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Villarreal: Gerard Moreno (29’, assisted by Renato Veiga); Real Betis: C. Hernández (39’) and Natan (43’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Natan’s goal on 43 minutes.

Discipline

Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain showed one yellow card — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Villarreal: Renato Veiga (84’).

What it changes

Villarreal move down from 16th to 18th (five league matches played). Villarreal have scored seven goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Villarreal have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Real Betis stay third after this result (five league matches played). Real Betis have scored seven goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Real Betis have conceded six goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Villarreal are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Real Betis have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Natan (Real Betis) 8.3, C. Hernández (Real Betis) 6.1 and Renato Veiga (Villarreal) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Villarreal next travel to Barcelona on 22 November 2026.

Real Betis next travel to Navalcarnero on 12 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Villarreal: Barcelona v Villarreal, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Real Betis: Navalcarnero v Real Betis, Thursday 12 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica · Villarreal
  • Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Villarreal 2 · draws 1 · Real Betis 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Villarreal 0W 2D 3L · Real Betis 4W 0D 1L

Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 9 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
7 / 5.13
Corners
against 5 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.88
Cards
against 2 / 2.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.89 yellows
Referee · Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
22.11 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVillarreal for / againstLineReal Betis for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
15.5 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain — 3.89 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 22.11 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Villarreal

Villarreal Goalkeeper

Villarreal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Luíz Júnior490360 min61.5 /9082 /9000 /90
P. Gulácsi19090 min44 /9033 /9000 /90
Villarreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luíz Júnior n 890
25/3

Villarreal Defensive

Villarreal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Renato Veiga590450 min10.2 /9081.6 /9071.4 /90112.2 /9061.2 /9000 /90
S. Mouriño483330 min164.4 /9020.5 /9030.8 /90267.1 /9082.2 /9030.8 /90
Carlos Romero390270 min62 /9010.3 /9000 /90206.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
J. Foyth390270 min62 /9072.3 /9072.3 /90175.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90
A. Freeman354163 min63.3 /9000 /9000 /90137.2 /9000 /9000 /90
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Villarreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Renato Veiga n 890
1.46/3
0.54/0
Héctor Bellerín
P. Gueye n 878.6
0.94/2
1.96/5
Pablo Fornals
G. Mikautadze n 868.5
0.31/1
1.15/2
—
N. Pépé n 868
0.32/0
1.36/2
Pablo Fornals
Santi Comesaña n 859.9
2.37/2
1.34/1
Pablo Fornals
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Villarreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Renato Veiga n 890
0.43/0
P. Gueye n 878.6
1.47/2
G. Mikautadze n 868.5
0.31/1
N. Pépé n 868
0.32/0
Santi Comesaña n 859.9
2.34/3
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Villarreal Attacking

Villarreal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Mikautadze574369 min10.2 /9020.5 /9092.2 /9041 /9071.7 /9092.2 /90
T. Buchanan546229 min00 /9000 /9062.4 /9052 /9052 /9041.6 /90
Gerard Moreno453211 min10.4 /9000 /9041.7 /9020.9 /9062.6 /9083.4 /90
Ayoze Pérez452207 min00 /9010.4 /9041.7 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9010.4 /90
P. Gueye584422 min10.2 /9000 /9040.9 /9020.4 /9071.5 /9000 /90
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Villarreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Renato Veiga n 890
0.42/1
00/0
P. Gueye n 878.6
0.96/0
0.43/0
G. Mikautadze n 868.5
2.16/3
1.34/3
N. Pépé n 868
1.86/4
1.36/2
Santi Comesaña n 859.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Villarreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Renato Veiga n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Gueye n 878.6
0.32/0
00/0
G. Mikautadze n 868.5
0.53/0
0.53/0
N. Pépé n 868
0.32/0
0.31/1
Santi Comesaña n 859.9
00/0
00/0
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Real Betis

Real Betis Goalkeeper

Real Betis — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Álvaro Vallés590450 min163.2 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90
Real Betis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álvaro Vallés n 890
3.46/6

Real Betis Defensive

Real Betis — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Héctor Bellerín576379 min81.9 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90133.1 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90
Natan483331 min61.6 /9000 /9030.8 /90164.4 /9020.5 /9030.8 /90
Marc Bartra480321 min92.5 /9041.1 /9041.1 /90236.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Fran García475301 min72.1 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90144.2 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
Junior Firpo270140 min42.6 /9010.6 /9000 /9095.8 /9021.3 /9010.6 /90
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Real Betis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Álvaro Vallés n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Antony n 887.8
1.36/3
1.36/4
—
Pablo Fornals n 876.8
0.74/1
0.73/1
Santi Comesaña
Héctor Bellerín n 881.1
0.73/1
0.11/0
Renato Veiga
Facundo Bernal n 571.4
2.33/2
14/0
—
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Real Betis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Antony n 887.8
1.97/6
Pablo Fornals n 876.8
16/1
Héctor Bellerín n 881.1
1.84/3
Facundo Bernal n 571.4
2.84/3
Isco n 845.9
1.24/1
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Real Betis Attacking

Real Betis — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Hernández463252 min00 /9010.4 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9041.4 /9031.1 /90
T. Parrott447188 min21 /9000 /9073.4 /9021 /9031.4 /9000 /90
Pablo García22040 min00 /9000 /9012.3 /9000 /9036.8 /9000 /90
A. Ezzalzouli11616 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015.6 /90
Antony587437 min00 /9000 /90142.9 /9071.4 /9091.9 /90102.1 /90
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Real Betis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Álvaro Vallés n 890
00/0
00/0
Antony n 887.8
2.78/7
16/2
Pablo Fornals n 876.8
1.67/4
0.32/0
Héctor Bellerín n 881.1
00/0
00/0
Facundo Bernal n 571.4
0.82/1
0.31/0
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Real Betis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álvaro Vallés n 890
00/0
00/0
Antony n 887.8
00/0
00/0
Pablo Fornals n 876.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
Héctor Bellerín n 881.1
00/0
00/0
Facundo Bernal n 571.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VillarrealReal Betis
62%Possession38%
1.89Expected goals (xG)3.52
14Shots26
8Shots on target12
4Shots off target3
2Blocked shots11
11Shots inside the box20
7Corners4
5Offsides2
7Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
10Saves7
623Passes378
89%Pass accuracy83%

Villarreal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Gulácsi9000000009.7
Santi Comesaña9000111207.2
G. Mikautadze9000442006.5
Pau Navarro9000000207.5
Carlos Romero9000000106.9
Renato Veiga90010011Y7.9
S. Mouriño7600000106.3
N. Pépé7600210107
Gerard Moreno6210113008
T. Buchanan5500211106.3
P. Gueye5400001006.9
N. Saliba sub3600000006.3
Alberto Moleiro sub3500102106.9
T. Oluwaseyi sub2800102306.9
Ayoze Pérez sub1400000106.7
A. Freeman sub1400000006.9

Real Betis Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Marc Roca9000001407.3
Natan9010110508.2
Fran García9000002406.9
Héctor Bellerín9000222107
Marc Bartra9000000206.9
Álvaro Vallés9000000009.9
C. Hernández8410431006.7
Pablo Fornals8400001006.7
Rodrigo Riquelme6700001006.3
A. Ezzalzouli6600213107.2
Isco5700004006.7
Dani Ceballos sub3300001407.3
Antony sub2400331007
N. Deossa sub2300322007
Facundo Bernal sub1000000006.3
G. Lo Celso sub1000000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Villarreal v Real Betis — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VillarrealDDLLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Real BetisWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Villarreal 2 · 1 draw · Real Betis 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-01-17 Real Betis 2–0 Villarreal
  • 2025-10-18 Villarreal 2–2 Real Betis
  • 2025-04-13 Real Betis 1–2 Villarreal
  • 2024-12-15 Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis
  • 2024-03-10 Real Betis 2–3 Villarreal
  • 2023-08-13 Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis
League standing · 2026/27
Villarreal#8 pos15 pts12 pl+2 GD
Real Betis#4 pos26 pts12 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Villarreal scored1.42
Real Betis scored1.67
Villarreal conceded1.25
Real Betis conceded1.25

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Villarreal 1.75 xG from 14 shots, Real Betis 4.16 from 26. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Juan Camilo Hernández 55' · 0.63 xGSantiago Comesaña 10' · 0.59 xGAntony 76' · 0.33 xGHéctor Bellerín 87' · 0.30 xGJuan Camilo Hernández 29' · 0.27 xGNelson Deossa 69' · 0.20 xGJuan Camilo Hernández 77' · 0.18 xGGeorges Mikautadze 10' · 0.13 xGPablo Fornals 12' · 0.13 xGNelson Deossa 84' · 0.11 xGRodrigo Riquelme 39' · 0.11 xGAntony 76' · 0.11 xGAntony 67' · 0.10 xGCarlos Romero 25' · 0.10 xGAlberto Moleiro 78' · 0.08 xGNicolas Pepe 36' · 0.08 xGHéctor Bellerín 9' · 0.07 xGIsco 16' · 0.07 xGGeorges Mikautadze 78' · 0.06 xGAbdessamad Ezzalzouli 38' · 0.06 xGIsco 39' · 0.05 xGGeorges Mikautadze 27' · 0.05 xGRodrigo Riquelme 52' · 0.05 xGTani Oluwaseyi 78' · 0.04 xGHéctor Bellerín 9' · 0.04 xGPablo Fornals 33' · 0.04 xGAntony 86' · 0.04 xGGeorges Mikautadze 64' · 0.03 xGTajon Buchanan 36' · 0.03 xGAbdessamad Ezzalzouli 42' · 0.03 xGAlberto Moleiro 57' · 0.03 xGAbdessamad Ezzalzouli 16' · 0.02 xGPablo Fornals 30' · 0.02 xGIsco 41' · 0.02 xGNelson Deossa 85' · 0.02 xGTajon Buchanan 51' · 0.02 xGNicolas Pepe 7' · 0.01 xGJuan Camilo Hernández 38' · 0.64 xG · goalNatan 42' · 0.51 xG · goalGerard Moreno 28' · 0.50 xG · goal
Villarreal (attacking right)Real Betis (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Villarreal1411.75
Real Betis2624.16

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Real Betis led on xG, 2.09 to 1.49. At full time, Real Betis led on xG, 4.16 to 1.75. The widest gap was 2.41 xG to Real Betis, in the 87th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
4.22.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Villarreal 28 minGoal - Real Betis 38 minGoal - Real Betis 42 min
Villarreal 1.75 xGReal Betis 4.16 xGdots = goals · 40 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Villarreal v Real Betis?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Villarreal v Real Betis was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Villarreal and Real Betis?
In their last 6 meetings, Villarreal won 2, Real Betis won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Villarreal and Real Betis?
Recent form — Villarreal 0W 2D 3L; Real Betis 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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