Accrington STDoncaster

Accrington ST v Doncaster result

Full-time · Accrington ST 0–2 Doncaster

League Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Accrington ST · Doncaster · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Accrington ST 0–2 Doncaster — Doncaster won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Doncaster won 2–0 at Accrington ST in the League Cup on Tuesday 26 August. Doncaster are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Accrington ST, every meeting checked.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Doncaster: Owen Bailey (75’, assisted by Glenn Middleton) and B. Close (82’, assisted by Owen Bailey). Josh Woods (71’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Owen Bailey’s goal on 75 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Accrington ST 0.00, Doncaster 0.00, from 6 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Accrington ST: Josh Woods (65’) and Josh Woods (71’).

What it changes

Accrington ST sit 11th on six points from three games with a goal difference of +1 (2025/26 so far).

Doncaster sit first on six points from two games with a goal difference of +6 (2025/26 so far).

Accrington ST are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, B. Close (Doncaster) 8.6, Owen Bailey (Doncaster) 7.7 and Seán Grehan (Doncaster) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Doncaster, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Accrington ST next travel to Port Vale on 14 November 2026.

Doncaster next host Leyton Orient on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Accrington ST: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Doncaster: Doncaster v Leyton Orient, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Accrington ST 0–2 Doncaster · League Cup
  • Referee: Zac Kennard-Kettle
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Accrington ST 0 · draws 2 · Doncaster 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Accrington ST 2W 1D 2L · Doncaster 3W 1D 1L

Accrington ST 0–2 Doncaster (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.86 / 4.86
Corners
against 5.14 / 4.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.71 / 2.71
Shots on target
against 2.71 / 3.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.43 / 1.86
Cards
against 1.43 / 1.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAccrington ST for / againstLineDoncaster for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
2.86 for · 5.14 against n 7
9.5standard
4.86 for · 4.86 against n 7
Shots
10.14 for · 12.29 against n 7
19.5standard
11.71 for · 10 against n 7
Shots on target
3.71 for · 2.71 against n 7
8.5standard
2.71 for · 3.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.57 for · 13.86 against n 7
21.5standard
12.71 for · 12.43 against n 7
Cards shown
3.43 for · 1.43 against n 7
3.5standard
1.86 for · 1.29 against n 7

Accrington ST

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Devon Matthews n 890
1.87/3
27/6
—
F. Rawson n 887.8
1.36/3
16/2
—
J. Woods n 855.5
0.84/0
1.85/2
—
F. Sass n 590
2.25/3
0.21/0
—
I. Sinclair n 582
0.73/0
2.44/3
—
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Devon Matthews n 890
15/3
F. Rawson n 887.8
15/2
J. Woods n 855.5
1.83/3
F. Sass n 590
1.44/2
I. Sinclair n 582
1.34/2
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Devon Matthews n 890
0.85/1
0.11/0
F. Rawson n 887.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Woods n 855.5
2.46/4
1.45/2
F. Sass n 590
00/0
00/0
I. Sinclair n 582
1.34/1
0.73/0
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Devon Matthews n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Rawson n 887.8
00/0
0.11/0
J. Woods n 855.5
0.21/0
00/0
F. Sass n 590
00/0
00/0
I. Sinclair n 582
00/0
00/0
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Doncaster

Doncaster Defensive

Doncaster — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Bailey n 882
0.72/2
1.26/3
—
L. Molyneux n 876.1
0.32/0
1.55/5
—
B. Sharp n 856.1
1.45/1
2.65/4
—
J. Senior n 863.9
1.15/1
1.45/2
—
G. Middleton n 657.3
0.83/0
0.31/0
—
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Doncaster — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Bailey n 882
1.14/1
L. Molyneux n 876.1
0.93/1
B. Sharp n 856.1
0.21/0
J. Senior n 863.9
1.24/1
G. Middleton n 657.3
0.52/0
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Doncaster Attacking

Doncaster — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Bailey n 882
1.15/2
0.42/1
L. Molyneux n 876.1
14/2
0.31/1
B. Sharp n 856.1
1.25/1
0.42/0
J. Senior n 863.9
0.52/1
0.21/0
G. Middleton n 657.3
0.52/0
0.31/0
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Doncaster — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Bailey n 882
0.42/1
00/0
L. Molyneux n 876.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
B. Sharp n 856.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
J. Senior n 863.9
00/0
00/0
G. Middleton n 657.3
00/0
0.31/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Accrington STDoncaster
35%Possession65%
6Shots14
3Shots on target5
0Shots off target7
3Blocked shots2
2Shots inside the box7
1Corners12
3Offsides1
6Fouls6
2Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
3Saves3
284Passes511
65%Pass accuracy80%

Accrington ST Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Kelly9000000007.7
Devon Matthews9000000407.2
Benn David Ward9000000206.7
F. Sass9000000006.3
J. Bauress9000001007
K. Mooney9000001006.3
C. Caton9000110206.9
Alex Henderson8500000006.3
Logan Pye7800000106.3
J. Woods71001102RY5.9
A. Popoola6100000105.9
I. Sinclair sub2900000106.3
P. Madden sub1200110006.7
Finlay Tunstall sub1100000006.3

Doncaster Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Lawlor9000000007
T. Nixon9000111106.9
S. Grehan9000001508.2
M. Pearson9000100107.3
J. Maxwell9000100507
C. Crew9000200107.2
B. Close9010214308.5
D. Ajayi6800102107
J. Gibson6800211106.7
J. Sbarra6700001006.5
B. Hanlan6700110006
O. Bailey sub2311111108.5
J. Ironside sub2300000006.2
G. Middleton sub2201001006.7
H. Clifton sub1300000006.2
L. Molyneux sub900000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Accrington ST v Doncaster — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Accrington STWLWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
DoncasterWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Accrington ST 0 · 2 draws · Doncaster 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-02-22 Accrington ST 1–2 Doncaster
  • 2024-08-10 Doncaster 4–1 Accrington ST
  • 2024-04-13 Doncaster 4–0 Accrington ST
  • 2023-12-09 Accrington ST 0–0 Doncaster
  • 2023-11-14 Accrington ST 1–2 Doncaster
  • 2023-11-04 Doncaster 2–2 Accrington ST
Goals per game
Accrington ST scored1.4
Doncaster scored1.6
Accrington ST conceded1.4
Doncaster conceded0.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Accrington ST v Doncaster?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Accrington ST v Doncaster was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Accrington ST and Doncaster?
In their last 6 meetings, Accrington ST won 0, Doncaster won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Accrington ST and Doncaster?
Recent form — Accrington ST 2W 1D 2L; Doncaster 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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