Accrington STPeterborough

Accrington ST v Peterborough result

Full-time · Accrington ST 2–1 Peterborough

League Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Accrington ST · Peterborough · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Accrington ST 2–1 Peterborough — Accrington ST won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Accrington ST beat Peterborough 2–1 in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August. Peterborough are winless in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Accrington ST led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Accrington ST: Alex Henderson (1’) and K. Mooney (25’, assisted by Alex Henderson); Peterborough: Archie Collins (79’, assisted by Cian Hayes).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alex Henderson’s goal on 1 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Accrington ST 1.46, Peterborough 0.68, from 10 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Accrington ST: Logan Pye (21’), D. Martin (31’), Alex Henderson (35’), Charlie Brown (45’), Donald Love (66’) and Freddie Sass (90+2’); Peterborough: K. Lolos (45’) and Kyrell Lisbie (56’).

What it changes

Accrington ST sit 11th on six points from three games with a goal difference of +1 (2025/26 so far).

Peterborough sit 57th on no points from one game with a goal difference of -1 (2025/26 so far).

It is Accrington ST’s first win over Peterborough since 12 September 2020, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Archie Collins (Peterborough) 7.5, K. Mooney (Accrington ST) 7.4 and O. Wallin (Peterborough) 6.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Peterborough are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Accrington ST.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Accrington ST next travel to Port Vale on 14 November 2026.

Peterborough next host Oxford United on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Accrington ST: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Peterborough: Peterborough v Oxford United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Accrington ST 2–1 Peterborough · League Cup
  • Referee: Aaron Bannister,
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Accrington ST 1 · draws 0 · Peterborough 5 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Accrington ST 2W 1D 2L · Peterborough 0W 1D 4L

Accrington ST 2–1 Peterborough (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.17 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.83 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.67 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 4.63 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.5 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.17 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAccrington ST for / againstLinePeterborough for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.17 for · 5.83 against n 6
9.5standard
3.75 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 12 against n 6
19.5standard
8 for · 16.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.67 for · 2.5 against n 6
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 12.67 against n 6
21.5standard
10.5 for · 15 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.17 against n 6
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8

Accrington ST

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Rawson n 889.3
1.36/3
1.16/3
Harley Mills
Devon Matthews n 890
1.17/1
1.67/5
—
J. Woods n 868.6
14/1
1.86/3
—
C. Caton n 853.6
00/0
0.42/0
—
L. Coyle n 878.8
1.45/2
1.35/2
—
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Rawson n 889.3
15/2
Devon Matthews n 890
0.95/2
J. Woods n 868.6
1.84/4
C. Caton n 853.6
15/0
D. Love n 889.3
2.97/5
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Devon Matthews n 890
0.85/1
0.32/0
F. Rawson n 889.3
0.11/0
00/0
J. Woods n 868.6
1.86/3
15/1
C. Caton n 853.6
0.63/0
0.21/0
D. Love n 889.3
0.11/0
00/0
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Rawson n 889.3
00/0
0.11/0
Devon Matthews n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Woods n 868.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
C. Caton n 853.6
00/0
0.21/0
D. Love n 889.3
00/0
0.11/0
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Peterborough

Peterborough Defensive

Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Collins n 869.3
1.15/2
0.84/1
—
N. Bilokapić n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
C. Johnston n 868.4
1.26/1
0.84/1
—
Harley Mills n 875.4
0.73/1
1.65/4
F. Rawson
B. Ihionvien n 868.5
2.17/5
2.38/3
—
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Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Collins n 869.3
1.86/3
N. Bilokapić n 890
00/0
C. Johnston n 868.4
2.36/6
Harley Mills n 875.4
36/5
Donay O'Brien-Brady n 872.1
3.15/5
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Peterborough Attacking

Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Collins n 869.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
N. Bilokapić n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Johnston n 868.4
00/0
00/0
Harley Mills n 875.4
0.75/0
00/0
B. Ihionvien n 868.5
1.35/2
0.52/1
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Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Bilokapić n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Collins n 869.3
00/0
00/0
C. Johnston n 868.4
00/0
00/0
Harley Mills n 875.4
00/0
0.11/0
B. Ihionvien n 868.5
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Accrington STPeterborough
28%Possession72%
1.46Expected goals (xG)0.68
10Shots14
7Shots on target3
1Shots off target5
2Blocked shots6
9Shots inside the box8
2Corners8
17Fouls18
6Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves6
221Passes575
59%Pass accuracy82%

Accrington ST Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Oliver Wright9000000006.5
Devon Matthews9000101207.9
F. Rawson9000110106.6
F. Sass90000011Y6.9
S. Conneely9000000407
K. Mooney9010220107.9
C. Brown77000023Y7.3
D. Martin60000003Y6.6
Logan Pye59000001Y6.3
A. Popoola5900000006.5
Alex Henderson41111110Y8
I. Sinclair sub5000000206.7
D. Love sub32000010Y6.2
J. Woods sub3200220206.7
L. Coyle sub3100000106.6
Finlay Tunstall sub1400111106.9

Peterborough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Reyes9000000107.7
D. Okagbue9000100206.2
O. Wallin9000000307.3
Harley Mills9000216106.6
A. Collins9010210108.7
Donay O'Brien-Brady9000000206.5
Gustav Lindgren9000110005.9
B. Khela8900001206.6
James Dornelly7000100106.3
K. Lisbie63001001Y6.6
K. Lolos45000000Y6
A. Odoh sub4500001006.5
C. Hayes sub2801001007.3
Lucca Mendonça sub2100001106.9
Bolu Shofowoke sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Accrington ST v Peterborough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Accrington STWLDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
PeterboroughDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Accrington ST 1 · 0 draws · Peterborough 5 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2023-04-18 Accrington ST 1–2 Peterborough
  • 2022-10-25 Peterborough 3–1 Accrington ST
  • 2021-03-27 Peterborough 7–0 Accrington ST
  • 2020-09-12 Accrington ST 2–0 Peterborough
  • 2020-01-28 Accrington ST 0–2 Peterborough
  • 2019-10-23 Peterborough 4–0 Accrington ST
Goals per game
Accrington ST scored1
Peterborough scored1
Accrington ST conceded1
Peterborough conceded2.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Accrington ST v Peterborough?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Accrington ST v Peterborough was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Accrington ST and Peterborough?
In their last 6 meetings, Accrington ST won 1, Peterborough won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Accrington ST and Peterborough?
Recent form — Accrington ST 2W 1D 2L; Peterborough 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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