AFC WimbledonNewport County

AFC Wimbledon v Newport County result

Full-time · AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Newport County

League Cup · · The Cherry Red Records Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Newport County — this League Cup match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

AFC Wimbledon and Newport County drew 1–1 at The Cherry Red Records Stadium in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Newport County: Y. Bamba (71’, assisted by Shaquille Gwengwe); AFC Wimbledon: Callum Maycock (90’, assisted by Isaac Ogundere).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Callum Maycock’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: AFC Wimbledon 0.00, Newport County 0.00, from 15 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

P. Howard showed three yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — AFC Wimbledon: Daniel Sweeney (16’) and Myles Hippolyte (64’); Newport County: Moses Alexander-Walker (78’).

What it changes

AFC Wimbledon sit 25th on one point from one game with a goal difference of 0 (2026/27 so far).

Newport County sit 25th on one point from one game with a goal difference of 0 (2026/27 so far).

Newport County are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nathan Bishop (AFC Wimbledon) 6.6, Cameron Evans (Newport County) 6.4 and Y. Bamba (Newport County) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Newport County, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

AFC Wimbledon next host Blackpool on 14 November 2026.

Newport County next travel to Crewe on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AFC Wimbledon: AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Newport County: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Newport County · League Cup
  • Venue: The Cherry Red Records Stadium · London
  • Referee: P. Howard
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AFC Wimbledon 1 · draws 4 · Newport County 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: AFC Wimbledon 1W 0D 4L · Newport County 3W 0D 2L

AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Newport County (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.63 / 6
Corners
against 5 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAFC Wimbledon for / againstLineNewport County for / against
Goals scored
0.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
8 for · 15.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.38 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
2.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: P. Howard.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AFC WimbledonNewport County
61%Possession39%
15Shots14
5Shots on target4
8Shots off target4
2Blocked shots6
11Shots inside the box7
7Corners5
2Offsides0
11Fouls15
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves3
365Passes226
72%Pass accuracy62%

AFC Wimbledon Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Bishop10000001007.6
I. Ogundere10001101106.3
S. Seddon10000104207.2
M. Hippolyte100002005Y6.5
R. Johnson10000210406.9
J. Tilley10000111007.7
M. Browne10000001106.5
A. Smith8200101006.6
D. Sweeney66000000Y6.9
Z. Nelson6600001006.7
A. Sasu6600211006.2
S. Sessegnon sub3400100106.2
C. Maycock sub3410220107.5
J. Stockley sub3400001006.7
A. Hackford sub1800000006.6

Newport County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Wright10000000006.6
C. Norman10000001106.5
L. Jenkins10000110007
K. Cameron10000001206.6
C. Brennan10000001206.7
H. Biggins10000103006.5
T. Davies8600001006.6
C. Evans8600110407.3
Y. Bamba7610111007.3
C. Doidge7300100006.6
Shaquille Gwengwe7301211105.9
G. Garner sub2700000107
Moses Alexander-Walker sub27000001Y6.7
D. Sassi sub2400000006.9
M. Smith sub1400100006.5
Alfie Merritt sub1400000106.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AFC Wimbledon v Newport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AFC WimbledonLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Newport CountyLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AFC Wimbledon 1 · 4 draws · Newport County 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-01-02 Newport County 1–2 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2024-12-03 AFC Wimbledon 2–2 Newport County
  • 2024-03-16 AFC Wimbledon 0–2 Newport County
  • 2023-09-02 Newport County 2–2 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2023-03-14 Newport County 1–1 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2022-12-26 AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Newport County
Goals per game
AFC Wimbledon scored0.4
Newport County scored1.6
AFC Wimbledon conceded2
Newport County conceded1.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AFC Wimbledon v Newport County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for AFC Wimbledon v Newport County was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between AFC Wimbledon and Newport County?
In their last 6 meetings, AFC Wimbledon won 1, Newport County won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AFC Wimbledon and Newport County?
Recent form — AFC Wimbledon 1W 0D 4L; Newport County 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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