Birmingham v Sheffield Utd result

Full-time · Birmingham 2–1 Sheffield Utd

League Cup · · St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Birmingham · Sheffield Utd · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Birmingham 2–1 Sheffield Utd — Birmingham won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4579 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Birmingham beat Sheffield Utd 2–1 at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park in the League Cup on Wednesday 13 August. Birmingham are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Sheffield Utd have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Birmingham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Birmingham: K. Furuhashi (5’, assisted by Demarai Gray) and Jay Stansfield (87’, assisted by Willum Willumsson); Sheffield Utd: Gustavo Hamer (72’, assisted by Sydie Peck).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jay Stansfield’s goal on 87 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Birmingham 2.30, Sheffield Utd 0.43, from 20 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Gavin Ward, England showed four yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Birmingham: Jay Stansfield (73’) and Christoph Klarer (90+3’); Sheffield Utd: J. Robinson (14’) and Gustavo Hamer (90+6’).

What it changes

It is Birmingham’s first win over Sheffield Utd since 7 August 2021, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Birmingham have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Sheffield Utd have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sam McCallum (Sheffield Utd) 5.8, Demarai Gray (Birmingham) 5.6 and Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Birmingham or Sheffield Utd (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3544 of 4579).

Next up

Birmingham next travel to Cardiff on 24 October 2026.

Sheffield Utd next host Derby on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Birmingham: Cardiff v Birmingham, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Sheffield Utd: Sheffield Utd v Derby, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Birmingham 2–1 Sheffield Utd · League Cup
  • Venue: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park · Birmingham
  • Referee: Gavin Ward, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Birmingham 1 · draws 3 · Sheffield Utd 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Birmingham 4W 1D 0L · Sheffield Utd 2W 1D 2L

Birmingham 2–1 Sheffield Utd (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.86 / 5.71
Corners
against 4.14 / 4.29 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4 / 4.71
Shots on target
against 2.57 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.57 / 1.43
Cards
against 2 / 1.29 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBirmingham for / againstLineSheffield Utd for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.86 for · 4.14 against n 7
9.5standard
5.71 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
11.71 for · 6.29 against n 7
19.5standard
15 for · 8.57 against n 7
Shots on target
4 for · 2.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4.71 for · 3.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.57 for · 11.86 against n 7
21.5standard
11 for · 10 against n 7
Cards shown
1.57 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
1.43 for · 1.29 against n 7

Referee: Gavin Ward, England.

Birmingham
Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Anderson n 856.8
2.66/4
3.26/4
—
K. Furuhashi n 834.6
2.66/1
1.64/1
—
L. Harris n 841.8
2.45/3
0.31/0
—
A. Sampsted n 848.8
2.36/3
1.45/1
—
J. Stansfield n 861
2.25/4
1.77/2
—
Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jutkiewicz n 815.1
3.73/2
1.51/1
J. Stansfield n 861
2.47/4
0.95/0
E. Laird n 846.5
1.94/3
0.72/1
A. May n 859.8
1.74/3
1.14/1
K. Furuhashi n 834.6
1.33/1
00/0
Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Jutkiewicz n 815.1
0.71/0
00/0
J. Stansfield n 861
0.42/0
0.21/0
Lee Myung-Jae n 879
0.11/0
0.32/0
W. Willumsson n 862.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. May n 859.8
0.42/0
00/0
Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Sampsted n 848.8
35/4
M. Leonard n 850.3
2.98/3
K. Anderson n 856.8
2.25/2
L. Harris n 841.8
2.25/2
T. Gardner-Hickman n 849.3
2.15/2
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Vinicius Souza n 883.1
27/5
1.28/1
—
A. Gilchrist n 860.5
1.95/4
0.95/0
—
K. Moore n 865.4
1.75/3
1.97/2
—
B. Brereton n 847.5
1.75/2
0.72/1
—
G. Hamer n 880.5
1.47/3
0.85/1
—
Sheffield Utd — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Barry n 858.5
2.55/5
1.24/1
K. Moore n 865.4
2.15/4
15/1
S. McCallum n 826.4
2.14/1
0.92/0
Sydie Peck n 877.8
1.75/4
14/3
T. Cannon n 846.1
1.55/1
0.73/0
Sheffield Utd — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Hamer n 880.5
0.32/0
0.43/0
H. Burrows n 870.6
0.21/0
0.52/1
L. Barry n 858.5
0.21/0
0.41/1
C. O'Hare n 857.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
T. Campbell n 853
0.42/0
0.21/0
Sheffield Utd — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Davies n 832.3
4.55/4
Vinicius Souza n 883.1
3.78/6
A. Brooks n 841.9
3.56/4
H. Choudhury n 879.1
38/5
S. McCallum n 826.4
2.65/1

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BirminghamSheffield Utd
54%Possession46%
2.30Expected goals (xG)0.43
20Shots5
5Shots on target1
10Shots off target3
5Blocked shots1
19Shots inside the box1
5Corners2
3Offsides1
9Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves3
433Passes387
78%Pass accuracy73%

Birmingham player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Beadle9000001006.2
C. Klarer90001013Y7.9
E. Cashin9000000106
A. Cochrane9000111408.3
T. Iwata9000001407.3
W. Willumsson9001003106.6
M. Leonard7700000207.2
E. Laird6800101007
T. Doyle6700112007.2
K. Furuhashi5710711106.9
D. Gray4501211307.5
K. Anderson sub4500000106.6
J. Stansfield sub34102110Y8
Paik Seung-Ho sub2400000006.3
B. Osayi-Samuel sub2300001006.3
L. Dykes sub1400000006.3

Sheffield Utd player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Davies9000000006.9
S. Curtis9000000306.6
D. Sasnauskas9000000105.9
S. McCallum9000001406.9
L. Marsh9000001207
T. Cannon9000000105.9
E. Ukaki8200200006
J. Robinson56000003Y7.3
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré5600000107.3
R. Oné5600001005.9
C. O'Hare4500000006.2
Sydie Peck sub4501001106.7
Tyler Bindon sub3500000006.2
G. Hamer sub35102101Y8.2
T. Campbell sub3500000006.5
A. Brooks sub900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Birmingham v Sheffield Utd — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BirminghamWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Sheffield UtdDWWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Birmingham 1 · 3 draws · Sheffield Utd 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2023-05-08 Birmingham 1–2 Sheffield Utd
  • 2022-10-01 Sheffield Utd 1–1 Birmingham
  • 2022-02-04 Birmingham 1–2 Sheffield Utd
  • 2021-08-07 Sheffield Utd 0–1 Birmingham
  • 2019-04-10 Birmingham 1–1 Sheffield Utd
  • 2018-09-19 Sheffield Utd 0–0 Birmingham
Goals per game
Birmingham scored2
Sheffield Utd scored1.8
Birmingham conceded0.4
Sheffield Utd conceded1.4

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Birmingham v Sheffield Utd?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Sheffield Utd was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Sheffield Utd?
In their last 6 meetings, Birmingham won 1, Sheffield Utd won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Birmingham and Sheffield Utd?
Recent form — Birmingham 4W 1D 0L; Sheffield Utd 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →