BoltonSheffield Wednesday

Bolton v Sheffield Wednesday result

Full-time · Bolton 3–3 Sheffield Wednesday

League Cup · · Toughsheet Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bolton · Sheffield Wednesday · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bolton 3–3 Sheffield Wednesday — this League Cup match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bolton and Sheffield Wednesday drew 3–3 at Toughsheet Community Stadium in the League Cup on Wednesday 13 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Bolton out-shot Sheffield Wednesday 10 to 8 and created the better chances, 1.30 xG to 0.80 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Sheffield Wednesday led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Sheffield Wednesday: Guilherme Siqueira (8’), I. Ugbo (37’) and Reece Johnson (80’, assisted by O. Kobacki); Bolton: Jordi Osei-Tutu (36’, assisted by Joshua Dacres-Cogley), Thierry Gale (77’, assisted by Ethan Erhahon) and Amario Cozier-Duberry (90’, assisted by Max Conway). Sam Inwood (27’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Amario Cozier-Duberry’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Oliver Langford, England showed two yellow cards and one red — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Bolton: Chris Forino-Joseph (45’); Sheffield Wednesday: Jarvis Thornton (70’).

What it changes

Bolton sit 37th on one point from one game with a goal difference of 0 (2025/26 so far).

Sheffield Wednesday sit 34th on two points from two games with a goal difference of 0 (2025/26 so far).

Sheffield Wednesday are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Sheffield Wednesday have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, O. Kobacki (Sheffield Wednesday) 10.6, Jordi Osei-Tutu (Bolton) 9.1 and Ethan Erhahon (Bolton) 8.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Sheffield Wednesday are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Bolton, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).

Next up

Bolton next host Portsmouth on 21 November 2026.

Sheffield Wednesday next travel to Oldham on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bolton: Bolton v Portsmouth, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Sheffield Wednesday: Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bolton 3–3 Sheffield Wednesday · League Cup
  • Venue: Toughsheet Community Stadium · Bolton
  • Referee: Oliver Langford, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bolton 0 · draws 2 · Sheffield Wednesday 4 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bolton 1W 2D 2L · Sheffield Wednesday 1W 2D 2L

Bolton 3–3 Sheffield Wednesday (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4
Corners
against 3.75 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBolton for / againstLineSheffield Wednesday for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
16.75 for · 9.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8

Bolton

Bolton Defensive

Bolton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Toal n 880.9
0.73/1
0.43/0
—
J. Sheehan n 868.8
15/1
1.66/3
—
J. Randall n 861.3
0.94/1
0.74/0
—
J. Dacres-Cogley n 861.4
28/2
1.55/2
—
J. McAtee n 867
1.87/3
0.85/0
—
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Bolton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Toal n 880.9
1.86/4
J. Sheehan n 868.8
1.86/4
J. Randall n 861.3
0.94/1
J. Dacres-Cogley n 861.4
0.94/1
J. McAtee n 867
14/2
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Bolton Attacking

Bolton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Toal n 880.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Sheehan n 868.8
1.15/2
0.32/0
J. Randall n 861.3
0.72/1
0.21/0
J. Dacres-Cogley n 861.4
0.93/1
0.52/1
J. McAtee n 867
1.85/4
0.32/0
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Bolton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Toal n 880.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Sheehan n 868.8
00/0
0.21/0
J. Randall n 861.3
00/0
0.21/0
J. Dacres-Cogley n 861.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. McAtee n 867
00/0
00/0
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Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday Defensive

Sheffield Wednesday — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Cadamarteri n 850.4
25/3
1.34/1
—
S. Ingelsson n 860.1
1.56/2
0.62/1
—
D. Iorfa n 878.6
1.44/3
0.64/0
—
M. Lowe n 877.6
1.26/1
0.11/0
—
L. Palmer n 841
0.82/1
0.83/0
—
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Sheffield Wednesday — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Ingelsson n 860.1
2.87/6
M. Lowe n 877.6
2.67/5
L. Palmer n 841
2.23/2
D. Iorfa n 878.6
1.15/1
B. Cadamarteri n 850.4
1.14/1
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Sheffield Wednesday Attacking

Sheffield Wednesday — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Cadamarteri n 850.4
0.93/1
0.21/0
S. Ingelsson n 860.1
0.63/0
00/0
L. Palmer n 841
0.31/0
00/0
D. Iorfa n 878.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
P. Charles n 890
00/0
00/0
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Sheffield Wednesday — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Ingelsson n 860.1
00/0
0.21/0
B. Cadamarteri n 850.4
0.21/0
00/0
P. Charles n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Iorfa n 878.6
00/0
00/0
M. Lowe n 877.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BoltonSheffield Wednesday
53%Possession47%
1.30Expected goals (xG)0.80
10Shots8
8Shots on target4
2Shots off target2
0Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box4
4Corners0
0Offsides5
12Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
1Saves4
511Passes466
80%Pass accuracy86%

Bolton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Miller9000000005.2
C. Forino-Joseph90001004Y6.3
J. Dacres-Cogley9001002507.7
A. Morley9000101105.6
E. Erhahon9001222207.5
Carlos Gomes7400001006.6
C. Warren6200110106.3
J. McAtee6200110005.6
J. Osei-Tutu4510110506.2
Daeshon Lawrence3000000106.7
Sam Inwood27000000R4.5
G. Johnston sub6100001006
M. Conway sub4501001105.7
Mason Paul James Burstow sub2900000007.2
T. Gale sub2910110007.3
A. Cozier-Duberry sub1710220008.3

Sheffield Wednesday Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Charles90000000010
Ernie Weaver9000001207.7
Reece Johnson9010110507.2
Jarvis Thornton90000002Y6.3
R. Shipston9000000106.2
C. McNeill9000100007.3
O. Kobacki8101212806.9
I. Ugbo8110111007.9
J. Emery6900000006.5
Guilherme Siqueira4510110107.7
Bruno Fernandes4400000006.5
S. Fusire sub4500001306.9
L. Palmer sub4500000006.3
M. Lowe sub2200000006.5
Y. Alao sub1000000006.3
J. Lowe sub1000000007

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bolton v Sheffield Wednesday — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BoltonLDDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Sheffield WednesdayLWDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bolton 0 · 2 draws · Sheffield Wednesday 4 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2023-03-17 Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Bolton
  • 2022-08-20 Bolton 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday
  • 2022-04-09 Bolton 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday
  • 2021-10-09 Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Bolton
  • 2019-03-12 Bolton 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday
  • 2018-11-27 Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Bolton
Goals per game
Bolton scored1.2
Sheffield Wednesday scored1
Bolton conceded1.6
Sheffield Wednesday conceded1.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bolton v Sheffield Wednesday?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bolton v Sheffield Wednesday was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Bolton and Sheffield Wednesday?
In their last 6 meetings, Bolton won 0, Sheffield Wednesday won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bolton and Sheffield Wednesday?
Recent form — Bolton 1W 2D 2L; Sheffield Wednesday 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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