Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday prediction

FA Cup · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 17:15 GMT · Boundary Park

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 03:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Oldham · Sheffield Wednesday

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday, FA Cup on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 17:15 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.9% of 577 landed (95% range 63–70.6%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Oldham host Sheffield Wednesday in the FA Cup on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 17:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Seven of Oldham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Oldham’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Oldham have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.00.

Seven of Sheffield Wednesday’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Sheffield Wednesday’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Sheffield Wednesday have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.50.

Oldham are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Sheffield Wednesday are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sheffield Wednesday the stronger side, 1 rating points above Oldham (Sheffield Wednesday 1583, Oldham 1582, after at least 22 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Oldham XI (4-2-3-1): M. Hudson, E. Monthe, J. Robson, D. Daniels, W. Sutton, O. Norburn, K. Appiah-Forson, F. Fawunmi, T. Pett, K. Drummond, M. Fondop-Talum — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jamie Robson (4.1 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and two assists) and Calum Kavanagh (4.0 per match over 14 appearances, five goals and four assists) have been Oldham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Oldham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jamie Robson averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 1267 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Calum Kavanagh averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 1058 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sheffield Wednesday XI (3-4-2-1): A. Maynard-Brewer, Y. Valery, R. James, L. Cooper, B. Bannan, D. Keillor-Dunn, B. Mitchell, C. Slattery, H. Gray, K. Morrison, M. Burstow — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Callum Slattery (4.7 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Yan Valery (4.0 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been Sheffield Wednesday’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sheffield Wednesday (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Callum Slattery averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1009 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Yan Valery averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1382 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 17:15 GMT · FA Cup · Boundary Park
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Oldham 1W 2D 2L · Sheffield Wednesday 1W 2D 2L

Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.75 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 5.25

Corners

against 5.88 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.13 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 4 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 2.38

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Oldham for / against	Line	Sheffield Wednesday for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.25 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.63 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.25 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.38 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Oldham

Oldham Goalkeeper

Oldham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Hudson	14	911267 min	312.2 /90	110.8 /90	20.1 /90

Oldham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Hudson n 8	90	2.3 5/4

Oldham Defensive

Oldham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Robson	14	911267 min	261.8 /90	171.2 /90	40.3 /90	846 /90	130.9 /90	30.2 /90
D. Daniels	13	841088 min	100.8 /90	90.7 /90	80.7 /90	463.8 /90	50.4 /90	20.2 /90
G. Scott-Morriss	11	80884 min	191.9 /90	111.1 /90	20.2 /90	464.7 /90	141.4 /90	00 /90
E. Monthe	10	71708 min	81 /90	70.9 /90	30.4 /90	384.8 /90	60.8 /90	00 /90
R. Delaney	8	82656 min	101.4 /90	81.1 /90	71 /90	466.3 /90	40.5 /90	20.3 /90
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Oldham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Robson n 8	90	1.3 6/4	0.8 4/1	—
M. Hudson n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
O. Norburn n 8	82.5	1.2 7/2	2.2 8/6	—
C. Kavanagh n 8	80.6	1.7 5/4	1.1 4/3	—
K. Drummond n 8	60.3	2.1 6/3	1.3 4/1	—
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Oldham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Robson n 8	90	1.3 5/4
O. Norburn n 8	82.5	1.2 5/3
C. Kavanagh n 8	80.6	0.7 4/1
K. Drummond n 8	60.3	2.6 7/5
K. Appiah-Forson n 8	84.4	1.7 7/4
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Oldham Attacking

Oldham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Kavanagh	14	761058 min	50.4 /90	40.3 /90	413.5 /90	131.1 /90	171.4 /90	60.5 /90
M. Fondop-Talum	13	63821 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	283.1 /90	91 /90	141.5 /90	30.3 /90
E. Nevitt	6	40238 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.5 /90	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90
O. Hammond	1	5656 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
O. Norburn	14	851195 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	50.4 /90	00 /90	201.5 /90	70.5 /90
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Oldham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Robson n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 1/1
M. Hudson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Norburn n 8	82.5	0.7 3/1	0 0/0
C. Kavanagh n 8	80.6	3.3 6/6	0.7 5/0
K. Drummond n 8	60.3	2.6 5/4	0.9 2/2
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Oldham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Robson n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
M. Hudson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Norburn n 8	82.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
C. Kavanagh n 8	80.6	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
K. Drummond n 8	60.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday Goalkeeper

Sheffield Wednesday — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Lumley	10	91907 min	232.3 /90	101 /90	00 /90
A. Maynard-Brewer	4	90360 min	123 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90

Sheffield Wednesday — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Lumley n 8	90	2.5 6/3
A. Maynard-Brewer n 4	90	3 3/2

Sheffield Wednesday Defensive

Sheffield Wednesday — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Y. Valery	12	861036 min	292.5 /90	161.4 /90	00 /90	685.9 /90	90.8 /90	10.1 /90
G. Otegbayo	11	59646 min	60.8 /90	40.6 /90	40.6 /90	334.6 /90	121.7 /90	10.1 /90
R. James	10	87866 min	151.6 /90	121.2 /90	50.5 /90	293 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
L. Cooper	10	78781 min	40.5 /90	212.4 /90	141.6 /90	708.1 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90
M. Lowe	8	66527 min	152.6 /90	101.7 /90	30.5 /90	396.7 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90
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Sheffield Wednesday — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Bannan n 8	80.6	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0	—
Y. Valery n 8	85.1	0.5 3/1	0.8 5/1	—
C. Slattery n 8	80.3	2.2 7/4	2.9 8/7	—
B. Mitchell n 8	65.6	0.5 2/1	0.7 2/1	—
J. Lowe n 8	76	2.4 7/5	0.7 4/1	—
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Sheffield Wednesday — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Bannan n 8	80.6	1.1 4/2
Y. Valery n 8	85.1	2.6 7/7
C. Slattery n 8	80.3	2.2 7/5
B. Mitchell n 8	65.6	2.4 8/5
J. Lowe n 8	76	0.6 3/1
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Sheffield Wednesday Attacking

Sheffield Wednesday — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Lowe	11	75822 min	60.7 /90	20.2 /90	222.4 /90	141.5 /90	111.2 /90	20.2 /90
Mason Paul James Burstow	11	57632 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	202.8 /90	121.7 /90	71 /90	10.1 /90
Ali Al Hamadi	5	42212 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	20.8 /90	31.3 /90	10.4 /90
B. Bannan	14	771075 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	121 /90	60.5 /90	131.1 /90	60.5 /90
C. Slattery	12	841009 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	161.4 /90	50.4 /90	181.6 /90	80.7 /90
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Sheffield Wednesday — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Bannan n 8	80.6	1.1 6/2	0.6 3/1
Y. Valery n 8	85.1	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
C. Slattery n 8	80.3	1.3 5/2	0.4 2/1
B. Mitchell n 8	65.6	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
J. Lowe n 8	76	2.1 4/3	1.3 3/3
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Sheffield Wednesday — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Bannan n 8	80.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Y. Valery n 8	85.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
C. Slattery n 8	80.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
B. Mitchell n 8	65.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Lowe n 8	76	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

OldhamDWLDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Sheffield WednesdayDWLLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Goals per game

Oldham scored1

Sheffield Wednesday scored1.6

Oldham conceded1.2

Sheffield Wednesday conceded1.4

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Oldham and Sheffield Wednesday?: Recent form — Oldham 1W 2D 2L; Sheffield Wednesday 1W 2D 2L.

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