BradfordRochdale

Bradford v Rochdale result

Full-time · Bradford 2–0 Rochdale

League Cup · · Valley Parade

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Bradford 2–0 Rochdale — Bradford won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bradford beat Rochdale 2–0 at Valley Parade in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August.

The goals

Bradford led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bradford: Will Swan (45’) and Aden Baldwin (67’, assisted by Callum Connolly).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Will Swan’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bradford 0.00, Rochdale 0.00, from 23 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Brown showed two yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Rochdale: Devante Rodney (22’) and Dajaune Brown (77’).

What it changes

Bradford sit second on three points from one game with a goal difference of +2 (2026/27 so far).

Rochdale sit 19th on one point from two games with a goal difference of -2 (2026/27 so far).

Rochdale are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aden Baldwin (Bradford) 7.7, Callum Connolly (Bradford) 6.9 and Matthew Pennington (Bradford) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bradford next host Marine on 7 November 2026.

Rochdale next travel to Fleetwood Town on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bradford: Bradford v Marine, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Rochdale: Fleetwood Town v Rochdale, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bradford 2–0 Rochdale · League Cup
  • Venue: Valley Parade · Bradford
  • Referee: D. Brown
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bradford 3 · draws 1 · Rochdale 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bradford 1W 2D 2L · Rochdale 2W 3D 0L

Bradford 2–0 Rochdale (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BradfordRochdale
52%Possession48%
23Shots9
10Shots on target2
8Shots off target4
5Blocked shots3
14Shots inside the box8
10Corners2
1Offsides0
10Fouls6
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves8
401Passes380
78%Pass accuracy77%

Bradford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jon McCracken9000000007
M. Pennington9000210407.9
M. Gillesphey9000201407
J. Neufville9000002308.3
A. Sarcevic9000111307.6
C. Connolly9001112307.9
A. Baldwin8910111208.5
T. Wright8000201006.6
K. Jackson7200112106.5
W. Swan7210111107.3
J. Beesley7200321106.3
A. Phillips sub1800001006.9
N. Powell sub1800420006.3
B. Pointon sub1800000106.7
I. Touray sub1000001106.9
R. Welch sub10000000–

Rochdale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Nils Ramming9000000007.3
O. Adebayo-Rowling9000001206.2
E. Ebanks-Landell9000101006.5
R. East9000000106.7
H. Gilmour9000001206.9
Z. Silcott-Duberry9000101306.5
L. Hannant9000003006.3
B. Bilongo7800000406.2
S. Sherring6300000106.3
E. Dieseruvwe6300200006.6
D. Rodney62000000Y6.2
E. Francis sub2800000006.5
Kaiden Wilson sub2700000006.2
D. Brown sub27002200Y6.5
D. Moss sub1200000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bradford v Rochdale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BradfordDDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
RochdaleWDWDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bradford 3 · 1 draw · Rochdale 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2023-04-15 Rochdale 0–3 Bradford
  • 2023-01-10 Bradford 1–2 Rochdale
  • 2022-01-22 Rochdale 0–0 Bradford
  • 2021-10-02 Bradford 2–0 Rochdale
  • 2018-12-29 Rochdale 0–4 Bradford
  • 2018-10-20 Bradford 0–2 Rochdale
Goals per game
Bradford scored0.8
Rochdale scored1.8
Bradford conceded1
Rochdale conceded1.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bradford v Rochdale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bradford v Rochdale was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Bradford and Rochdale?
In their last 6 meetings, Bradford won 3, Rochdale won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bradford and Rochdale?
Recent form — Bradford 1W 2D 2L; Rochdale 2W 3D 0L.

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