CardiffCheltenham

Cardiff v Cheltenham result

Full-time · Cardiff 3–0 Cheltenham

League Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cardiff · Cheltenham

The model’s pre-match pick

Cardiff 3–0 Cheltenham — Cardiff won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 277 landed (95% range 73.9–83.4%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cardiff beat Cheltenham 3–0 in the League Cup on Tuesday 26 August. Cardiff are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Cheltenham have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Cardiff led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Cardiff: Isaak Davies (11’, assisted by D. Mafico), C. Chambers (32’, assisted by Isaak Davies) and Joel Colwill (51’, assisted by Rubin Colwill).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Isaak Davies’s goal on 11 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Cardiff 0.00, Cheltenham 0.00, from 23 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Cardiff: Callum Robinson (26’) and Perry Ng (56’); Cheltenham: L. Angol (45+3’) and J. Mažionis (90+1’).

What it changes

Cardiff sit second on six points from two games with a goal difference of +4 (2025/26 so far).

Cheltenham sit 31st on three points from two games with a goal difference of -1 (2025/26 so far).

Cardiff have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Cardiff have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joel Colwill (Cardiff) 8.7, Isaak Davies (Cardiff) 7.8 and Matthew Turner (Cardiff) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cardiff to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.

Cheltenham next travel to Exeter City on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Cheltenham: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cardiff 3–0 Cheltenham · League Cup
  • Referee: Edward Duckworth
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Cardiff 4W 1D 0L · Cheltenham 1W 0D 4L

Cardiff 3–0 Cheltenham (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.75
Goals
against 0.75 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 4
Corners
against 3.75 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.75
Cards
against 2 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCardiff for / againstLineCheltenham for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
15.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
15.13 for · 15.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Cardiff

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Wintle n 881.5
0.73/1
0.74/1
—
R. Kpakio n 881.5
1.25/3
1.97/5
—
R. Colwill n 873.4
1.55/3
0.62/2
—
Joel Bagan n 876.4
15/2
0.43/0
—
W. Fish n 882.4
0.53/1
0.74/1
—
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Wintle n 881.5
0.84/1
R. Kpakio n 881.5
1.86/4
R. Colwill n 873.4
1.44/1
Joel Bagan n 876.4
2.26/5
W. Fish n 882.4
0.32/0
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Wintle n 881.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
R. Kpakio n 881.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Colwill n 873.4
2.35/4
1.24/3
Joel Bagan n 876.4
0.31/1
0.31/1
W. Fish n 882.4
0.32/0
00/0
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Wintle n 881.5
00/0
00/0
R. Kpakio n 881.5
0.11/0
00/0
R. Colwill n 873.4
0.53/0
00/0
Joel Bagan n 876.4
00/0
00/0
W. Fish n 882.4
00/0
00/0
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Cheltenham

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Archer n 890
1.35/3
2.17/4
—
J. Day n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Young n 880
1.45/4
1.77/3
—
J. Thomas n 878.4
1.37/2
1.36/2
—
G. Miller n 862.6
2.37/3
1.43/2
—
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Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Archer n 890
3.27/6
J. Day n 890
00/0
L. Young n 880
1.76/5
J. Thomas n 878.4
25/4
G. Miller n 862.6
0.42/0
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Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Archer n 890
1.66/4
0.51/1
J. Day n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Young n 880
0.84/1
0.32/0
J. Thomas n 878.4
1.46/3
0.32/0
G. Miller n 862.6
0.94/1
0.42/0
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Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Archer n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Day n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Young n 880
00/0
00/0
J. Thomas n 878.4
0.11/0
00/0
G. Miller n 862.6
0.21/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CardiffCheltenham
62%Possession38%
23Shots15
10Shots on target4
6Shots off target9
7Blocked shots2
17Shots inside the box11
7Corners3
0Offsides1
15Fouls18
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves7
439Passes278
84%Pass accuracy74%

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Turner9400000007.9
D. Lawlor9400100007.2
C. Chambers9410111108
D. Mafico9401001207.2
J. Colwill9410221408.2
T. Nyakuhwa9400321007.2
Y. Salech7100213105.6
P. Ng65000012Y7.2
Joel Bagan6500000107.2
C. Robinson45000011Y6.7
I. Davies4511311108.3
R. Colwill sub4901323007.5
C. Willock sub4900111106.9
L. Giles sub2900001006.6
R. Kpakio sub2900000006.6
Cian Ashford sub2300001007.3

Cheltenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Day9400000007.7
J. Mažionis94000012Y5.6
H. Sohna9400111306.2
L. Kinsella9400100407.3
J. Martin9400203106.7
E. Archer9400201306.7
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd7200200106.5
L. Angol72003203Y6.3
G. Harmon5800111105.9
R. Broom5800001006.2
D. Power5100001006
I. Bakare sub4300000006.2
F. Willcox sub3600000006.3
Tommy Backwell sub3600101206.9
M. Barber sub2200000006.3
G. Miller sub2200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cardiff v Cheltenham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CardiffDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
CheltenhamLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Goals per game
Cardiff scored1.4
Cheltenham scored0.6
Cardiff conceded0.2
Cheltenham conceded2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cardiff v Cheltenham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v Cheltenham was Home win.
What is the recent form of Cardiff and Cheltenham?
Recent form — Cardiff 4W 1D 0L; Cheltenham 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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