CharltonStevenage

Charlton v Stevenage result

Full-time · Charlton 3–1 Stevenage

League Cup · · The Valley

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Charlton 3–1 Stevenage — Charlton won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Charlton beat Stevenage 3–1 at The Valley in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August. Charlton are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Charlton led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Charlton: Miles Leaburn (27’, assisted by Isaac Olaofe), Ibrahim Fullah (36’, assisted by Miles Leaburn) and L. Berry (77’, assisted by Daniel Kanu); Stevenage: Lewis Freestone (86’, assisted by Jasper Pattenden).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Miles Leaburn’s goal on 27 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Charlton 1.49, Stevenage 0.68, from 11 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Craig Hicks, England showed no yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Charlton sit 25th on three points from two games with a goal difference of 0 (2025/26 so far).

Stevenage sit 71st on no points from one game with a goal difference of -2 (2025/26 so far).

Stevenage have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Miles Leaburn (Charlton) 8.2, Ibrahim Fullah (Charlton) 7.3 and Jasper Pattenden (Stevenage) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).

Next up

Charlton next travel to Wolves on 21 November 2026.

Stevenage next host Mansfield Town on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Charlton: Wolves v Charlton, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Mansfield Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Charlton 3–1 Stevenage · League Cup
  • Venue: The Valley · London
  • Referee: Craig Hicks, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Charlton 1 · draws 3 · Stevenage 1 · 1.4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Charlton 4W 1D 0L · Stevenage 2W 2D 1L

Charlton 3–1 Stevenage (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.57 / 4.33
Corners
against 4.29 / 4 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.29 / 3
Shots on target
against 1.71 / 3.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.14 / 2.33
Cards
against 1.29 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCharlton for / againstLineStevenage for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
2.57 for · 4.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.33 for · 4 against n 6
Shots
10.14 for · 9.57 against n 7
19.5standard
9.67 for · 10 against n 6
Shots on target
4.29 for · 1.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3 for · 3.5 against n 6
Fouls committed
11.14 for · 11 against n 7
21.5standard
13.17 for · 12.67 against n 6
Cards shown
2.14 for · 1.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2.33 for · 1 against n 6

Charlton

Charlton Defensive

Charlton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Conor Coventry n 887.6
1.37/2
0.53/1
—
G. Docherty n 887.4
0.94/3
0.84/1
—
L. Jones n 883.9
0.54/0
1.27/1
—
K. Ramsay n 890
0.43/0
1.16/2
—
J. Edwards n 888.5
0.84/2
2.48/5
—
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Charlton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Conor Coventry n 887.6
3.17/6
K. Ramsay n 890
1.97/3
G. Docherty n 887.4
1.85/4
L. Jones n 883.9
1.56/4
J. Edwards n 888.5
2.76/4
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Charlton Attacking

Charlton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jones n 883.9
1.14/3
0.53/1
G. Docherty n 887.4
0.85/1
0.32/0
K. Ramsay n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Conor Coventry n 887.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Tyreece Campbell n 362.3
1.92/1
0.51/0
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Charlton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Conor Coventry n 887.6
00/0
0.11/0
G. Docherty n 887.4
00/0
0.11/0
L. Jones n 883.9
0.11/0
00/0
K. Ramsay n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Edwards n 888.5
00/0
0.11/0
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Stevenage

Stevenage Defensive

Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Piergianni n 889.6
1.36/2
1.56/4
—
L. James-Wildin n 890
0.85/1
0.53/1
—
C. Goode n 890
0.85/1
1.35/4
—
D. Butler n 886.8
0.86/0
0.63/1
—
D. Kemp n 888.5
28/5
1.46/3
—
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Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. James-Wildin n 890
37/7
D. Butler n 886.8
1.76/3
C. Piergianni n 889.6
1.67/6
C. Goode n 890
1.43/3
D. Kemp n 888.5
15/3
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Stevenage Attacking

Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Piergianni n 889.6
0.65/0
0.32/0
C. Goode n 890
0.42/1
00/0
D. Butler n 886.8
0.32/0
00/0
L. James-Wildin n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Kemp n 888.5
1.16/2
0.65/0
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Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Piergianni n 889.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Butler n 886.8
00/0
0.11/0
L. James-Wildin n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Goode n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Kemp n 888.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CharltonStevenage
42%Possession58%
1.49Expected goals (xG)0.68
11Shots8
4Shots on target2
2Shots off target2
5Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box7
4Corners2
1Offsides0
15Fouls11
1Saves1
302Passes417
73%Pass accuracy76%

Charlton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Mannion9000000007.2
Z. Mitchell9000000006.3
A. Mitchell9000000006.9
M. Gillesphey9000000407.2
J. Rankin-Costello9000002106.9
Karoy Anderson9000001207.2
I. Fullah8210210108.7
Henry Rylah7600002106.9
M. Leaburn6511211008.6
I. Olaofe6501001007.3
H. Knibbs4500001106.7
L. Berry sub4510221007.9
C. Kelman sub2600000006.6
D. Kanu sub2601001106.9
A. Mwamba sub1500000106.2
Kai Enslin sub900000006.5

Stevenage Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Ashby-Hammond9000000006.6
J. Pattenden9001002106.7
D. Sweeney9000000206.6
L. Freestone9010110007.3
D. Phillips9000000005.5
P. Patterson9000211006.7
H. White7300001207
D. Butler6000000006.9
C. Campbell6000000006.3
D. Kemp6000101106.3
J. Malcolm6000001006.3
C. Goode sub3100000106.3
M. Roberts sub3100000006
J. Houghton sub3100000006.7
J. Reid sub3100000006.3
Ryan Doherty sub1800000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Charlton v Stevenage — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CharltonWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
StevenageLDDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Charlton 1 · 3 draws · Stevenage 1 · 1.4 goals/game
  • 2025-02-08 Charlton 2–0 Stevenage
  • 2024-09-28 Stevenage 1–0 Charlton
  • 2024-04-01 Charlton 0–0 Stevenage
  • 2023-09-16 Stevenage 1–1 Charlton
  • 2022-11-08 Stevenage 1–1 Charlton
Goals per game
Charlton scored1.2
Stevenage scored1.2
Charlton conceded0.2
Stevenage conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Charlton v Stevenage?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Charlton v Stevenage was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Charlton and Stevenage?
In their last 5 meetings, Charlton won 1, Stevenage won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Charlton and Stevenage?
Recent form — Charlton 4W 1D 0L; Stevenage 2W 2D 1L.

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