Charlton v Stevenage result
Team pages: Charlton · Stevenage · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Charlton 3–1 Stevenage — Charlton won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
The result
Charlton beat Stevenage 3–1 at The Valley in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August. Charlton are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.
The goals
Charlton led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Charlton: Miles Leaburn (27’, assisted by Isaac Olaofe), Ibrahim Fullah (36’, assisted by Miles Leaburn) and L. Berry (77’, assisted by Daniel Kanu); Stevenage: Lewis Freestone (86’, assisted by Jasper Pattenden).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Miles Leaburn’s goal on 27 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Charlton 1.49, Stevenage 0.68, from 11 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Craig Hicks, England showed no yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions).
What it changes
Charlton sit 25th on three points from two games with a goal difference of 0 (2025/26 so far).
Stevenage sit 71st on no points from one game with a goal difference of -2 (2025/26 so far).
Stevenage have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Miles Leaburn (Charlton) 8.2, Ibrahim Fullah (Charlton) 7.3 and Jasper Pattenden (Stevenage) 6.1 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).
Next up
Charlton next travel to Wolves on 21 November 2026.
Stevenage next host Mansfield Town on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Charlton: Wolves v Charlton, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Mansfield Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Charlton 3–1 Stevenage · League Cup
- Venue: The Valley · London
- Referee: Craig Hicks, England
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 5): Charlton 1 · draws 3 · Stevenage 1 · 1.4 goals/game
- Recent form: Charlton 4W 1D 0L · Stevenage 2W 2D 1L
Charlton 3–1 Stevenage (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Charlton for / against | Line | Stevenage for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.57 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.33 for · 4 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.14 for · 9.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.67 for · 10 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.29 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3 for · 3.5 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.14 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.17 for · 12.67 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.14 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.33 for · 1 against n 6 Last 5 |
Charlton
Charlton Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Coventry n 8 | 87.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | — |
| G. Docherty n 8 | 87.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | — |
| L. Jones n 8 | 83.9 | 0.5 | 1.2 | — |
| K. Ramsay n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 1.1 | — |
| J. Edwards n 8 | 88.5 | 0.8 | 2.4 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Conor Coventry n 8 | 87.6 | 3.1 |
| K. Ramsay n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| G. Docherty n 8 | 87.4 | 1.8 |
| L. Jones n 8 | 83.9 | 1.5 |
| J. Edwards n 8 | 88.5 | 2.7 |
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Charlton Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jones n 8 | 83.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| G. Docherty n 8 | 87.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| K. Ramsay n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Conor Coventry n 8 | 87.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Tyreece Campbell n 3 | 62.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Coventry n 8 | 87.6 | 0 | 0.1 |
| G. Docherty n 8 | 87.4 | 0 | 0.1 |
| L. Jones n 8 | 83.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
| K. Ramsay n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Edwards n 8 | 88.5 | 0 | 0.1 |
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Stevenage
Stevenage Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 89.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | — |
| L. James-Wildin n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.5 | — |
| C. Goode n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 1.3 | — |
| D. Butler n 8 | 86.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | — |
| D. Kemp n 8 | 88.5 | 2 | 1.4 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. James-Wildin n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| D. Butler n 8 | 86.8 | 1.7 |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 89.6 | 1.6 |
| C. Goode n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
| D. Kemp n 8 | 88.5 | 1 |
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Stevenage Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 89.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| C. Goode n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0 |
| D. Butler n 8 | 86.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| L. James-Wildin n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| D. Kemp n 8 | 88.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 89.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| D. Butler n 8 | 86.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
| L. James-Wildin n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Goode n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Kemp n 8 | 88.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Charlton | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | Possession | 58% |
| 1.49 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.68 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 2 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 302 | Passes | 417 |
| 73% | Pass accuracy | 76% |
Charlton Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Mannion | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Z. Mitchell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Mitchell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Gillesphey | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Rankin-Costello | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Karoy Anderson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| I. Fullah | 82 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.7 |
| Henry Rylah | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Leaburn | 65 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.6 |
| I. Olaofe | 65 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| H. Knibbs | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Berry sub | 45 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| C. Kelman sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Kanu sub | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Mwamba sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Kai Enslin sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Stevenage Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ashby-Hammond | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Pattenden | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Sweeney | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Freestone | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Phillips | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.5 |
| P. Patterson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| H. White | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| D. Butler | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Campbell | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Kemp | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Malcolm | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Goode sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Roberts sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| J. Houghton sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Reid sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Ryan Doherty sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Charlton v Stevenage — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-02-08 Charlton 2–0 Stevenage
- 2024-09-28 Stevenage 1–0 Charlton
- 2024-04-01 Charlton 0–0 Stevenage
- 2023-09-16 Stevenage 1–1 Charlton
- 2022-11-08 Stevenage 1–1 Charlton
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Charlton v Stevenage?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Charlton v Stevenage was Under 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Charlton and Stevenage?
- In their last 5 meetings, Charlton won 1, Stevenage won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Charlton and Stevenage?
- Recent form — Charlton 4W 1D 0L; Stevenage 2W 2D 1L.
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