Grimsby v Manchester United result

Full-time · Grimsby 2–2 Manchester United

League Cup · Wed, 27 Aug 2025 20:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Grimsby 2–2 Manchester United — this League Cup match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby and Manchester United drew 2–2 in the League Cup on Wednesday 27 August. Grimsby are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Manchester United are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Grimsby led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Grimsby: Charles Vernam (22’, assisted by Darragh Burns) and T. Warren (30’, assisted by Charles Vernam); Manchester United: Bryan Mbeumo (75’, assisted by Kobbie Mainoo) and H. Maguire (89’, assisted by Mason Mount).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with H. Maguire’s goal on 89 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Grimsby 0.00, Manchester United 0.00, from 10 shots to 28 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Tony Harrington, England showed four yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Grimsby: E. Khouri (87’) and Cameron McJannet (88’); Manchester United: T. Fredricson (36’) and Joshua Zirkzee (87’).

What it changes

Grimsby have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Charles Vernam (Grimsby) 9.2, T. Warren (Grimsby) 8.3 and H. Maguire (Manchester United) 7.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Grimsby next travel to Rochdale on 20 October 2026.

Manchester United next travel to Como on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Grimsby: Rochdale v Grimsby, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Manchester United: Como v Manchester United, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Grimsby 2–2 Manchester United · League Cup
Referee: Tony Harrington, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Grimsby 3W 2D 0L · Manchester United 1W 1D 3L

Grimsby 2–2 Manchester United (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.25

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.88 / 3.88

Corners

against 3.88 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 2.75 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

0.88 / 2.38

Cards

against 3.13 / 2.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Grimsby for / against	Line	Manchester United for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.25 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.63 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	0.88 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Tony Harrington, England.

Grimsby

Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Walker n 8	31.5	3.6 5/3	2.9 4/2	—
Jaze Kabia n 8	62.1	3.3 6/6	1.6 4/2	—
Henry Brown n 4	7.5	3 1/0	0 0/0	—
Justin Amaluzor n 8	42.8	2.1 5/3	2.1 5/2	—
Cameron Gardner n 8	28.8	2 5/0	1.2 2/1	—

Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jaze Kabia n 8	62.1	2.2 7/2	1.4 6/1
Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 8	56.4	2 5/2	1.6 5/2
Justin Amaluzor n 8	42.8	1.8 4/1	1.1 3/1
J. Walker n 8	31.5	1.8 4/1	0.4 1/0
E. Khouri n 8	76.9	1.6 6/4	0.4 3/0

Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Cameron Gardner n 8	28.8	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
Jaze Kabia n 8	62.1	0.7 4/0	0 0/0
Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 8	56.4	0.6 3/0	0 0/0
Justin Amaluzor n 8	42.8	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
E. Khouri n 8	76.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0

Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Turi n 6	56.2	5.1 6/5
J. Walker n 8	31.5	4.3 5/3
G. McEachran n 8	89.8	2.8 8/5
T. Warren n 8	57	2.4 8/3
J. Svanþórsson n 8	79.6	2.3 8/5

Manchester United

Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Ugarte n 8	46	2.4 6/3	1.2 3/2	—
Bruno Fernandes n 8	92.6	1.6 6/4	1.8 8/4	—
A. Heaven n 8	38.8	1.5 4/1	1.5 4/1	—
P. Dorgu n 8	76.9	1.3 6/3	2.5 7/6	—
Casemiro n 8	75.5	1.3 6/3	0.7 3/2	—

Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Matheus Cunha n 8	76.9	3.1 8/6	1.8 6/3
O. Martin n 8	27.6	2 3/1	0.8 2/0
M. Mount n 8	60.6	1.9 5/4	1.5 4/3
Bruno Fernandes n 8	92.6	1.7 6/4	0.4 3/0
B. Mbeumo n 8	90	1.6 6/5	1.1 5/4

Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Ugarte n 8	46	0 0/0	1 3/1
B. Mbeumo n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
A. Diallo n 8	64	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
M. Mount n 8	60.6	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
Matheus Cunha n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 1/1

Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Mazraoui n 8	73.3	4.5 7/7
Casemiro n 8	75.5	3.9 8/7
M. Ugarte n 8	46	3.7 6/5
Bruno Fernandes n 8	92.6	2.8 8/7
P. Dorgu n 8	76.9	2.8 6/5

Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Bayındır n 8	90	2.6 7/3

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Grimsby		Manchester United
30%	Possession	70%
10	Shots	28
4	Shots on target	9
2	Shots off target	5
4	Blocked shots	14
8	Shots inside the box	19
6	Corners	4
5	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	8
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
7	Saves	2
215	Passes	525
67%	Pass accuracy	87%

Grimsby player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Pym	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.2
T. Warren	90	1	0	2	1	0	2	0	8.7
C. McJannet	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	7.9
J. Sweeney	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.6
D. Burns	90	0	1	0	0	3	4	0	7.9
E. Khouri	90	0	0	1	0	2	2	Y	7.3
H. Rodgers	79	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
G. McEachran	73	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Cameron Gardner	73	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.2
K. Green	64	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.3
C. Vernam	64	1	1	2	2	3	2	0	8.2
G. Turi sub	26	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.3
Henry Brown sub	26	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Jaze Kabia sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
C. Oduor sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
R. Staunton sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Manchester United player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Onana	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
H. Maguire	90	1	0	2	2	2	1	0	8.7
Diogo Dalot	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	7.9
K. Mainoo	90	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	7.7
Matheus Cunha	90	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	6.2
Benjamin Šeško	90	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	6.3
A. Diallo	82	0	0	3	2	2	0	0	6.3
A. Heaven	64	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.7
T. Fredricson	45	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.3
M. Ugarte	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
P. Dorgu	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
M. de Ligt sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7.2
Bruno Fernandes sub	45	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	8.2
B. Mbeumo sub	45	1	0	1	1	6	1	0	8.2
M. Mount sub	26	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	7.5
J. Zirkzee sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Grimsby v Manchester United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

GrimsbyDWWWD

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Manchester UnitedLLWLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Goals per game

Grimsby scored2

Manchester United scored0.6

Grimsby conceded1.2

Manchester United conceded0.8

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Manchester United?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Manchester United was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Grimsby and Manchester United?: Recent form — Grimsby 3W 2D 0L; Manchester United 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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