RochdaleGrimsby

Rochdale v Grimsby result

Full-time · Rochdale 2–2 Grimsby

League Two · · Spotland Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rochdale · Grimsby

The model’s pre-match pick

Rochdale 2–2 Grimsby — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Total offsides under 5.5.

Free pick
Total offsides under 5.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Rochdale and Grimsby drew 2–2 at Spotland Stadium in League Two on Tuesday 20 October. Rochdale have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Rochdale led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Rochdale: Dajaune Brown (38’, assisted by Glenn Middleton) and Ian Henderson (88’); Grimsby: Kieran Green (57’) and James Walker (72’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ian Henderson’s goal on 88 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Rochdale 2.10, Grimsby 2.39, from 16 shots to 23 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Bourne showed six yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Rochdale stay 12th after this result (12 league matches played). Rochdale have scored 15 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Rochdale have conceded 17 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Grimsby move down from 15th to 17th (12 league matches played). Grimsby have scored 15 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Grimsby have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Rochdale are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Grimsby are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kieran Green (Grimsby) 8.6, James Walker (Grimsby) 6.6 and Dajaune Brown (Rochdale) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Total offsides under 5.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Rochdale next travel to Fleetwood Town on 7 November 2026.

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rochdale: Fleetwood Town v Rochdale, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rochdale 2–2 Grimsby · League Two
  • Venue: Spotland Stadium · Rochdale
  • Referee: D. Bourne
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Rochdale 1 · draws 0 · Grimsby 2 · 1.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rochdale 3W 1D 1L · Grimsby 1W 0D 4L

Rochdale 2–2 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.63 / 6.25
Corners
against 4.75 / 5.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.38 / 3.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.83 yellows
Referee · D. Bourne
22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRochdale for / againstLineGrimsby for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
9.88 for · 16.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 3.13 against n 8

Referee: D. Bourne — 3.83 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 22 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rochdale

Rochdale Goalkeeper

Rochdale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Nils Ramming1090900 min333.3 /9080.8 /9000 /90
Sam Waller290180 min42 /9000 /9000 /90
Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nils Ramming n 890
2.86/4

Rochdale Defensive

Rochdale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Kaiden Wilson1277924 min101 /9050.5 /9050.5 /90292.8 /90111.1 /9010.1 /90
O. Adebayo-Rowling879632 min121.7 /9040.6 /9000 /90314.4 /90101.4 /9030.4 /90
C. Tasker786603 min101.5 /90111.6 /9030.4 /90253.7 /9081.2 /9000 /90
A. Flint690540 min20.3 /9010.2 /9081.3 /90264.3 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Moss685508 min61.1 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90244.3 /9040.7 /9020.4 /90
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Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Brown n 882.8
1.56/3
1.45/3
—
Kaiden Wilson n 887.1
0.64/1
0.32/0
M. Kacurri
H. Gilmour n 880.1
1.86/4
1.56/3
C. Vernam
Nils Ramming n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
B. Adeeko n 888.3
0.86/0
0.64/1
C. Vernam
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Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Brown n 882.8
0.42/1
Kaiden Wilson n 887.1
0.94/2
H. Gilmour n 880.1
2.47/7
B. Adeeko n 888.3
0.94/2
E. Dieseruvwe n 861
0.42/0
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Rochdale Attacking

Rochdale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Brown1280959 min30.3 /9020.2 /90212 /90111 /9060.6 /90100.9 /90
E. Dieseruvwe961551 min00 /9010.2 /90101.6 /9020.3 /9010.2 /9020.3 /90
H. Gilmour1181888 min00 /9000 /9010.1 /9000 /9060.6 /9040.4 /90
B. Adeeko1082816 min10.1 /9010.1 /9060.7 /9010.1 /9030.3 /9040.4 /90
Kane Taylor882653 min00 /9010.1 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90111.5 /9040.6 /90
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Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Brown n 882.8
2.38/5
16/1
Kaiden Wilson n 887.1
00/0
00/0
H. Gilmour n 880.1
0.11/0
00/0
Nils Ramming n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Adeeko n 888.3
0.85/1
0.11/0
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Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Brown n 882.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
Kaiden Wilson n 887.1
00/0
00/0
H. Gilmour n 880.1
00/0
00/0
Nils Ramming n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Adeeko n 888.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Pym1086855 min242.5 /9090.9 /9000 /90
D. Harrington290180 min31.5 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Auton14545 min12 /9012 /9000 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Pym n 884.4
2.87/3

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Rodgers12881058 min80.7 /9050.4 /9020.2 /90655.5 /9040.3 /9010.1 /90
C. McJannet1190990 min171.5 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90898.1 /90121.1 /9020.2 /90
M. Kacurri1190990 min171.5 /90141.3 /9040.4 /90736.6 /90181.6 /9020.2 /90
J. Sweeney1188973 min252.3 /90131.2 /9020.2 /90666.1 /90171.6 /9010.1 /90
E. Pruti358173 min21 /9052.6 /9000 /902412.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Rodgers n 887.3
0.32/0
1.57/4
—
K. Green n 888.3
15/3
0.43/0
—
C. Vernam n 865.4
0.73/1
1.77/3
B. Adeeko
Iwan Morgan n 850.8
0.93/1
0.21/0
—
M. Kacurri n 890
1.87/3
0.96/1
Kaiden Wilson
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 887.3
0.84/2
K. Green n 888.3
0.83/2
C. Vernam n 865.4
1.46/2
Iwan Morgan n 850.8
0.41/1
C. McJannet n 890
1.55/5
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Iwan Morgan1241493 min10.2 /9020.4 /90152.7 /9040.7 /90132.4 /90152.7 /90
A. Cook1074743 min20.2 /9000 /90202.4 /90101.2 /9091.1 /9050.6 /90
S. Finch657343 min00 /9000 /9082.1 /9030.8 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Andrews21631 min00 /9000 /9025.8 /9000 /9012.9 /9000 /90
K. Green12871045 min30.3 /9020.2 /9090.8 /9040.3 /90181.6 /9040.3 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 887.3
0.86/0
0.32/0
K. Green n 888.3
15/3
0.54/0
C. Vernam n 865.4
2.98/6
1.76/4
Iwan Morgan n 850.8
2.46/4
0.73/0
C. McJannet n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 887.3
00/0
0.11/0
K. Green n 888.3
0.43/0
0.11/0
C. Vernam n 865.4
00/0
0.21/0
Iwan Morgan n 850.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
C. McJannet n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RochdaleGrimsby
53%Possession47%
2.10Expected goals (xG)2.39
16Shots23
5Shots on target7
7Shots off target9
4Blocked shots7
13Shots inside the box12
7Corners10
0Offsides1
13Fouls8
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves3
385Passes329

Rochdale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Kaiden Wilson9000000206.4
G. Middleton9001203107.5
C. Tasker9000103006.7
Sam Waller9000000006.2
D. Brown9010311007.9
A. Flint9000310006.5
E. Francis90000031Y6.3
H. Gilmour9000000306.6
C. Hayes75005102Y5.9
B. Adeeko65000011Y6.1
O. Adebayo-Rowling4500000106.4
Kane Taylor3600000005.9
S. Beckwith2500000006.2
L. Hannant1500000106.1
I. Henderson910221008.2

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Vernam90001120Y6.3
G. Turi9000304206.5
H. Rodgers9000102006.6
M. Kacurri90001010Y6.2
K. Green9010413107.3
J. Foulkes9000100306.3
A. Cook9000311006.5
C. Pym9000000006
Iwan Morgan8900313106.1
J. Walker76104201Y7
Justin Amaluzor7600100306.4
S. Finch1400001006.6
Cian Doyle1400111006.1
F. Cartwright100000006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rochdale v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RochdaleWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
GrimsbyWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Rochdale 1 · 0 draws · Grimsby 2 · 1.33 goals/game
  • 2023-03-11 Grimsby 1–0 Rochdale
  • 2022-08-13 Rochdale 0–1 Grimsby
  • 2018-08-14 Grimsby 0–2 Rochdale
League standing · 2026/27
Rochdale#20 pos15 pts14 pl-9 GD
Grimsby#6 pos20 pts14 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Rochdale scored1.21
Grimsby scored1.71
Rochdale conceded1.86
Grimsby conceded1.29

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rochdale v Grimsby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rochdale v Grimsby was Total offsides under 5.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Rochdale and Grimsby?
In their last 3 meetings, Rochdale won 1, Grimsby won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rochdale and Grimsby?
Recent form — Rochdale 3W 1D 1L; Grimsby 1W 0D 4L.

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