GrimsbyShrewsbury

Grimsby v Shrewsbury result

Full-time · Grimsby 3–1 Shrewsbury

League Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Grimsby 3–1 Shrewsbury — Grimsby won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.6% of 285 landed (95% range 74.6–83.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby beat Shrewsbury 3–1 in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August.

The goals

Grimsby led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Grimsby: J. Amaluzor (15’, assisted by Géza Turi), Cameron Gardner (50’, assisted by T. Warren) and J. Kabia (90’ pen); Shrewsbury: Thomas Sang (63’, assisted by M. Benning).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Amaluzor’s goal on 15 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Grimsby 2.83, Shrewsbury 0.29, from 19 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Sebastian Stockbridge, England showed four yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Shrewsbury: M. Benning (4’), Thomas Anderson (26’), S. Clucas (47’) and Luca Hoole (81’).

What it changes

Grimsby sit 12th on four points from two games with a goal difference of +2 (2025/26 so far).

Shrewsbury sit 71st on no points from one game with a goal difference of -2 (2025/26 so far).

Grimsby are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Shrewsbury are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, T. Warren (Grimsby) 8.0, Géza Turi (Grimsby) 7.8 and Thomas Sang (Shrewsbury) 7.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Grimsby to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Shrewsbury next host Oldham on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Shrewsbury: Shrewsbury v Oldham, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Grimsby 3–1 Shrewsbury · League Cup
  • Referee: Sebastian Stockbridge, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Grimsby 1W 3D 1L · Shrewsbury 1W 1D 3L

Grimsby 3–1 Shrewsbury (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 6.14
Corners
against 5 / 6.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.13 / 3.14
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 4.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.25 / 2.57
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGrimsby for / againstLineShrewsbury for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.14 for · 6.29 against n 7
Shots
12.5 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
9 for · 14.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.14 for · 4.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
8 for · 14.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.86 for · 11.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.57 for · 1.14 against n 7

Grimsby

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. McEachran n 879.8
1.15/2
1.37/2
—
D. Tharme n 888.1
0.41/1
0.11/0
G. Nurse
C. McJannet n 870.6
0.31/1
1.97/4
—
C. Vernam n 855.1
0.83/1
0.63/0
—
H. Rodgers n 888.6
0.43/0
0.86/0
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. McEachran n 879.8
3.77/6
C. McJannet n 870.6
1.87/3
D. Tharme n 888.1
1.47/2
C. Vernam n 855.1
15/0
H. Rodgers n 888.6
0.85/1
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. McEachran n 879.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
C. McJannet n 870.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
D. Tharme n 888.1
0.11/0
00/0
C. Vernam n 855.1
26/3
0.84/0
H. Rodgers n 888.6
0.53/1
0.32/0
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McJannet n 870.6
0.21/0
00/0
D. Tharme n 888.1
00/0
00/0
G. McEachran n 879.8
00/0
00/0
C. Vernam n 855.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
H. Rodgers n 888.6
0.11/0
00/0
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Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury Defensive

Shrewsbury — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Marquis n 890
1.98/6
2.48/6
—
L. Hoole n 885.9
0.84/2
0.43/0
—
G. Nurse n 879
0.63/1
0.11/0
D. Tharme
T. Savin n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
H. Biggins n 872.3
1.15/2
1.46/3
—
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Shrewsbury — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Hoole n 885.9
1.67/4
G. Nurse n 879
1.45/3
J. Marquis n 890
0.83/1
T. Savin n 890
00/0
H. Biggins n 872.3
0.93/2
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Shrewsbury Attacking

Shrewsbury — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Marquis n 890
1.57/4
15/3
G. Nurse n 879
0.64/0
0.11/0
L. Hoole n 885.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Savin n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Biggins n 872.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Shrewsbury — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Marquis n 890
0.42/1
00/0
L. Hoole n 885.9
00/0
0.11/0
T. Savin n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Nurse n 879
00/0
00/0
H. Biggins n 872.3
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GrimsbyShrewsbury
56%Possession44%
2.83Expected goals (xG)0.29
19Shots8
6Shots on target3
3Shots off target4
10Blocked shots1
13Shots inside the box5
10Corners3
1Offsides1
9Fouls14
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves3
393Passes322
80%Pass accuracy69%

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Pym9000000006.6
T. Warren9001112108.9
D. Tharme9000000207
R. Staunton9000002007.2
G. Turi9001111207.2
Justin Amaluzor9010111307.9
E. Khouri9000200006.6
D. Burns7900000306.9
J. Walker7800211505.9
Cameron Gardner7810110107.2
S. Lavelle4500001006.9
H. Rodgers sub4500000006.5
K. Green sub1300002006.9
Jaze Kabia sub1310110006.9
Henry Brown sub1200001006.9

Shrewsbury Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Elyh Harrison9000000007.2
T. Anderson90000002Y5.9
A. Nsiala9000000308
G. Nurse9000000306.9
M. Benning90010033Y6.7
T. Sang9010320108
G. Lloyd9000211106
L. Hoole85000003Y6
T. Perry8500000306.3
S. Clucas69000011Y5.9
C. Stewart6900000206.2
J. Marquis sub2200000006.2
A. Scully sub2200100006.3
T. McDermott sub1100100006.5
A. Gilliead sub1100001106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Grimsby v Shrewsbury — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GrimsbyDDLWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
ShrewsburyLWLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Goals per game
Grimsby scored1.6
Shrewsbury scored0.8
Grimsby conceded1.2
Shrewsbury conceded2.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Shrewsbury?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Shrewsbury was Home win.
What is the recent form of Grimsby and Shrewsbury?
Recent form — Grimsby 1W 3D 1L; Shrewsbury 1W 1D 3L.

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