Grimsby v Shrewsbury result
Team pages: Grimsby · Shrewsbury
The model’s pre-match pick
Grimsby 3–1 Shrewsbury — Grimsby won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.
The result
Grimsby beat Shrewsbury 3–1 in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August.
The goals
Grimsby led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Grimsby: J. Amaluzor (15’, assisted by Géza Turi), Cameron Gardner (50’, assisted by T. Warren) and J. Kabia (90’ pen); Shrewsbury: Thomas Sang (63’, assisted by M. Benning).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Amaluzor’s goal on 15 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Grimsby 2.83, Shrewsbury 0.29, from 19 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Sebastian Stockbridge, England showed four yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Shrewsbury: M. Benning (4’), Thomas Anderson (26’), S. Clucas (47’) and Luca Hoole (81’).
What it changes
Grimsby sit 12th on four points from two games with a goal difference of +2 (2025/26 so far).
Shrewsbury sit 71st on no points from one game with a goal difference of -2 (2025/26 so far).
Grimsby are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Shrewsbury are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, T. Warren (Grimsby) 8.0, Géza Turi (Grimsby) 7.8 and Thomas Sang (Shrewsbury) 7.6 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Grimsby to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.
Shrewsbury next host Oldham on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Shrewsbury: Shrewsbury v Oldham, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Grimsby 3–1 Shrewsbury · League Cup
- Referee: Sebastian Stockbridge, England
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Grimsby 1W 3D 1L · Shrewsbury 1W 1D 3L
Grimsby 3–1 Shrewsbury (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Grimsby for / against | Line | Shrewsbury for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.14 for · 6.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.5 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.13 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.14 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.86 for · 11.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.57 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
Grimsby
Grimsby Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. McEachran n 8 | 79.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | — |
| D. Tharme n 8 | 88.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | G. Nurse |
| C. McJannet n 8 | 70.6 | 0.3 | 1.9 | — |
| C. Vernam n 8 | 55.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | — |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 88.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. McEachran n 8 | 79.8 | 3.7 |
| C. McJannet n 8 | 70.6 | 1.8 |
| D. Tharme n 8 | 88.1 | 1.4 |
| C. Vernam n 8 | 55.1 | 1 |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 88.6 | 0.8 |
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Grimsby Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. McEachran n 8 | 79.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| C. McJannet n 8 | 70.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| D. Tharme n 8 | 88.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| C. Vernam n 8 | 55.1 | 2 | 0.8 |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 88.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. McJannet n 8 | 70.6 | 0.2 | 0 |
| D. Tharme n 8 | 88.1 | 0 | 0 |
| G. McEachran n 8 | 79.8 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Vernam n 8 | 55.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 88.6 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Marquis n 8 | 90 | 1.9 | 2.4 | — |
| L. Hoole n 8 | 85.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | — |
| G. Nurse n 8 | 79 | 0.6 | 0.1 | D. Tharme |
| T. Savin n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| H. Biggins n 8 | 72.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Hoole n 8 | 85.9 | 1.6 |
| G. Nurse n 8 | 79 | 1.4 |
| J. Marquis n 8 | 90 | 0.8 |
| T. Savin n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| H. Biggins n 8 | 72.3 | 0.9 |
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Shrewsbury Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Marquis n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 1 |
| G. Nurse n 8 | 79 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| L. Hoole n 8 | 85.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| T. Savin n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Biggins n 8 | 72.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Marquis n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0 |
| L. Hoole n 8 | 85.9 | 0 | 0.1 |
| T. Savin n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Nurse n 8 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Biggins n 8 | 72.3 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Grimsby | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Possession | 44% |
| 2.83 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.29 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 13 | Shots inside the box | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 393 | Passes | 322 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 69% |
Grimsby Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pym | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| T. Warren | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8.9 |
| D. Tharme | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| R. Staunton | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| G. Turi | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Justin Amaluzor | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.9 |
| E. Khouri | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Burns | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Walker | 78 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Cameron Gardner | 78 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Lavelle | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| H. Rodgers sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| K. Green sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jaze Kabia sub | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Henry Brown sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Shrewsbury Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elyh Harrison | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| T. Anderson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 5.9 |
| A. Nsiala | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| G. Nurse | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Benning | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| T. Sang | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| G. Lloyd | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| L. Hoole | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6 |
| T. Perry | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Clucas | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 5.9 |
| C. Stewart | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Marquis sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Scully sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. McDermott sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Gilliead sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Grimsby v Shrewsbury — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Shrewsbury?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Shrewsbury was Home win.
- What is the recent form of Grimsby and Shrewsbury?
- Recent form — Grimsby 1W 3D 1L; Shrewsbury 1W 1D 3L.
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