Stafford Rangers v Grimsby prediction

FA Cup · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 12:00 GMT · The Stan Robinson Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 05:43 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, FA Cup on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 12:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Stafford Rangers host Grimsby in the FA Cup on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 12:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Stafford Rangers are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Grimsby are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Stafford Rangers have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Stafford Rangers’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Stafford Rangers’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Stafford Rangers have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.33.

Nine of Grimsby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Grimsby’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Grimsby have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.43.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Grimsby the stronger side, 101 rating points above Stafford Rangers (Grimsby 1989, Stafford Rangers 1888, after at least 22 rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Géza Turi (6.1 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and four assists) and C. Doyle (3.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Grimsby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Grimsby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Géza Turi averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1472 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 12:00 GMT · FA Cup · The Stan Robinson Stadium
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Stafford Rangers 3W 2D 0L · Grimsby 2W 1D 2L

Stafford Rangers v Grimsby (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.88

Goals

against 1 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.33 / 6

Corners

against 5.67 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 3 matches

7 / 6

Shots on target

against 5.67 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 3 matches

2 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.33 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 3 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Stafford Rangers for / against	Line	Grimsby for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.33 for · 5.67 against n 3 Last 5	9.5standard	6 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.33 for · 10.33 against n 3 Last 5	19.5standard	18.13 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7 for · 5.67 against n 3 Last 5	8.5standard	6 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.33 against n 3 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
C. Pym	13	871125 min	292.3 /90	90.7 /90
D. Harrington	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90
S. Auton	1	4545 min	12 /90	12 /90

Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Pym n 8	90	2.5 5/4

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Rodgers	15	891328 min	80.5 /90	140.9 /90	20.1 /90	815.5 /90	40.3 /90	10.1 /90
M. Kacurri	14	901260 min	191.4 /90	181.3 /90	60.4 /90	946.7 /90	221.6 /90	40.3 /90
C. McJannet	12	901080 min	191.6 /90	90.8 /90	30.3 /90	968 /90	131.1 /90	20.2 /90
J. Sweeney	11	88973 min	252.3 /90	131.2 /90	20.2 /90	666.1 /90	171.6 /90	10.1 /90
J. Foulkes	4	78311 min	72 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	216.1 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Rodgers n 8	90	0.1 1/0	1.9 7/6	—
K. Green n 8	88.6	1.1 5/4	0.8 4/1	—
C. Vernam n 8	78.3	0.7 4/1	1.3 6/3	—
Iwan Morgan n 8	62.1	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0	—
M. Kacurri n 8	90	1.6 8/3	1 6/1	—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 8	90	0.1 1/0
K. Green n 8	88.6	0.9 4/2
C. Vernam n 8	78.3	1 5/2
Iwan Morgan n 8	62.1	0.7 3/1
M. Kacurri n 8	90	1.4 7/2
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Iwan Morgan	15	49734 min	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	253.1 /90	81 /90	182.2 /90	151.8 /90
A. Cook	13	76990 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	272.5 /90	121.1 /90	141.3 /90	60.5 /90
S. Finch	8	50401 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	122.7 /90	40.9 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
J. Andrews	4	1872 min	11.3 /90	00 /90	810 /90	22.5 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90
K. Green	15	871305 min	40.3 /90	20.1 /90	151 /90	50.3 /90	231.6 /90	50.3 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 8	90	1.1 6/1	0.5 3/1
K. Green n 8	88.6	1.4 6/3	0.4 3/0
C. Vernam n 8	78.3	2.7 8/6	1.6 7/4
Iwan Morgan n 8	62.1	3.1 6/6	1.1 5/1
M. Kacurri n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0 0/0
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
K. Green n 8	88.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
C. Vernam n 8	78.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Iwan Morgan n 8	62.1	0.5 3/0	0.5 3/0
M. Kacurri n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stafford Rangers v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Stafford RangersWDWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

GrimsbyLLDWW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Goals per game

Stafford Rangers scored2.4

Grimsby scored2.2

Stafford Rangers conceded1

Grimsby conceded1.6

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Stafford Rangers v Grimsby?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Stafford Rangers v Grimsby is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Stafford Rangers and Grimsby?: Recent form — Stafford Rangers 3W 2D 0L; Grimsby 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 05:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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