Heart of Midlothian v Hibernian prediction

League Cup – Scotland · · Hampden Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Heart of Midlothian v Hibernian, League Cup – Scotland on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4945 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Heart of Midlothian host Hibernian in League Cup – Scotland on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Heart of Midlothian or Hibernian (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Hibernian are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Heart of Midlothian’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Heart of Midlothian’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Heart of Midlothian have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 1.29.

Eight of Hibernian’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Hibernian’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Hibernian have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 0.75.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hibernian the stronger side, 69 rating points above Heart of Midlothian (Hibernian 2025, Heart of Midlothian 1957, after at least 40 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Heart of Midlothian are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Hibernian. The most recent meeting, on 3 September 2026, finished Hibernian 1–3 Heart Of Midlothian.

Team news

Predicted Heart of Midlothian XI (4-2-3-1): B. Reus, J. McCart, M. Fagan-Walcott, S. Kingsley, J. Altena, J. Mcpake, L. Mendy, C. Miller, T. Magnússon, S. Kerjota, C. Braga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Mcpake (5.4 per match over 14 appearances, three goals and five assists) and Cláudio Braga (4.3 per match over 17 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Heart of Midlothian’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Heart of Midlothian (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Mcpake averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1056 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Cláudio Braga averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 1410 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Hibernian XI (4-2-3-1): R. Sallinger, J. Kerr, F. Passlack, M. Ivezić, A. Mayor, J. Mulligan, M. Chaiwa, J. McGrath, J. Newell, T. Klidje, O. Elding — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jason Kerr (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) and Felix Passlack (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Hibernian’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hibernian (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jason Kerr averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1080 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Felix Passlack averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 1003 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Cup – Scotland · Hampden Park
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Heart of Midlothian 4 · draws 0 · Hibernian 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Heart of Midlothian 1W 2D 2L · Hibernian 0W 2D 3L

Heart of Midlothian v Hibernian (League Cup – Scotland): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.38 / 6.13
Corners
against 4.5 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.63
Cards
against 3.25 / 3 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHeart of Midlothian for / againstLineHibernian for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 11.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 15.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 3 against n 8

Heart of Midlothian

Heart of Midlothian Goalkeeper

Heart of Midlothian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Beau Reus14901260 min312.2 /90130.9 /9000 /90
A. Schwolow290180 min94.5 /9063 /9000 /90
Heart of Midlothian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Beau Reus n 890
2.56/4
A. Schwolow n 890
2.15/1

Heart of Midlothian Defensive

Heart of Midlothian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. McCart14841182 min171.3 /90231.8 /90131 /90765.8 /90110.8 /9020.2 /90
J. Altena13861123 min262.1 /90191.5 /9030.2 /90846.7 /90131 /9020.2 /90
O. McEntee1176835 min192 /90101.1 /9030.3 /90535.7 /90121.3 /9010.1 /90
M. Fagan-Walcott890720 min111.4 /9070.9 /9060.8 /90344.3 /90121.5 /9010.1 /90
H. Milne878623 min202.9 /9050.7 /9050.7 /90537.7 /90101.4 /9020.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Heart of Midlothian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Cláudio Braga n 877.4
26/4
1.66/2
—
C. Miller n 865
1.66/2
14/2
—
Beau Reus n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
J. McCart n 890
0.95/2
0.64/1
—
J. Altena n 886.3
0.85/1
3.18/7
—
See more players · Pro
Heart of Midlothian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 877.4
1.35/2
C. Miller n 865
1.64/2
J. McCart n 890
15/2
J. Altena n 886.3
2.38/5
Josh Mcpake n 868.5
26/4
See more players · Pro

Heart of Midlothian Attacking

Heart of Midlothian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Cláudio Braga16831321 min50.3 /9030.2 /90422.9 /90171.2 /90191.3 /90141 /90
Sabah Kerjota1346604 min10.1 /9020.3 /90101.5 /9030.4 /90152.2 /90101.5 /90
James wilson1068676 min40.5 /9000 /90121.6 /9060.8 /9070.9 /9000 /90
S. Guendouz746322 min00 /9000 /9072 /9020.6 /9072 /9041.1 /90
R. Mato743301 min00 /9000 /9061.8 /9000 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Heart of Midlothian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 877.4
2.37/4
1.25/2
C. Miller n 865
1.97/2
1.67/2
Beau Reus n 890
00/0
00/0
J. McCart n 890
0.84/1
0.11/0
J. Altena n 886.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
Heart of Midlothian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 877.4
0.43/0
00/0
C. Miller n 865
0.73/1
0.21/0
Beau Reus n 890
00/0
00/0
J. McCart n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Altena n 886.3
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Sallinger12901080 min433.6 /90191.6 /9000 /90
Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 890
3.47/5

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Kerr12901080 min151.3 /90171.4 /90121 /90776.4 /9060.5 /9000 /90
F. Passlack1190989 min171.5 /90100.9 /9030.3 /90403.6 /9080.7 /9010.1 /90
G. Hanley583413 min102.2 /9071.5 /9010.2 /90316.8 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
J. Obita578389 min20.5 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9081.9 /9051.2 /9000 /90
M. Ivezić490360 min51.3 /9051.3 /9030.8 /90102.5 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kerr n 890
0.65/0
1.34/3
—
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
J. Mulligan n 888.1
2.67/7
0.85/1
—
F. Passlack n 890
0.85/1
0.64/1
—
M. Chaiwa n 868.9
1.15/2
1.86/3
—
See more players · Pro
Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kerr n 890
1.67/4
J. Mulligan n 888.1
1.56/3
F. Passlack n 890
1.16/3
M. Chaiwa n 868.9
0.73/1
A. Mayor n 882.6
2.38/6
See more players · Pro

Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Boyle964580 min30.5 /9000 /90121.9 /9071.1 /9040.6 /9030.5 /90
N. Lowe958526 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.7 /9040.7 /9091.5 /9050.9 /90
A. Šuto835283 min00 /9000 /9051.6 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9020.6 /90
Owen Elding775523 min20.3 /9010.2 /9071.2 /9040.7 /90132.2 /9020.3 /90
J. Mulligan12891065 min00 /9020.2 /90181.5 /9070.6 /90141.2 /90110.9 /90
See more players · Pro
Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kerr n 890
0.52/1
0.31/1
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mulligan n 888.1
1.54/4
0.83/3
F. Passlack n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Chaiwa n 868.9
14/2
0.21/0
See more players · Pro
Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Kerr n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mulligan n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
F. Passlack n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Chaiwa n 868.9
00/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Heart of Midlothian v Hibernian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Heart of MidlothianDLLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
HibernianDLLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Heart of Midlothian 4 · 0 draws · Hibernian 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-09-03 Hibernian 1–3 Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2026-04-26 Hibernian 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2026-02-10 Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Hibernian
  • 2025-12-27 Hibernian 3–2 Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2025-10-04 Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Hibernian
  • 2025-03-02 Hibernian 2–1 Heart Of Midlothian
Goals per game
Heart of Midlothian scored1.2
Hibernian scored0.8
Heart of Midlothian conceded2.4
Hibernian conceded1.4

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Heart of Midlothian v Hibernian?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Heart of Midlothian v Hibernian is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Heart of Midlothian and Hibernian?
In their last 6 meetings, Heart of Midlothian won 4, Hibernian won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Heart of Midlothian and Hibernian?
Recent form — Heart of Midlothian 1W 2D 2L; Hibernian 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 182 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+