MillwallNewcastle

Millwall v Newcastle result

Full-time · Millwall 0–1 Newcastle

League Cup · · The Den

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Millwall · Newcastle

The model’s pre-match pick

Millwall 0–1 Newcastle — Newcastle won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.20 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Newcastle won 1–0 at The Den in the League Cup on Tuesday 8 September. Newcastle are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Newcastle: Joseph Willock (81’, assisted by Lewis Hall).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Joseph Willock’s goal on 81 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Millwall 0.00, Newcastle 0.00, from 9 shots to 25 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Pawson showed three yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Millwall: Jenson Metcalfe (67’) and Alfie Massey (90+1’); Newcastle: Jacob Ramsey (69’).

What it changes

Newcastle have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joseph Willock (Newcastle) 10.6, Lewis Hall (Newcastle) 9.4 and Filip Marschall (Millwall) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Millwall or Newcastle (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Millwall next travel to West Brom on 7 November 2026.

Newcastle next travel to Fulham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Millwall: West Brom v Millwall, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Newcastle: Fulham v Newcastle, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Millwall 0–1 Newcastle · League Cup
  • Venue: The Den · London
  • Referee: C. Pawson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Millwall 3W 0D 2L · Newcastle 2W 2D 1L

Millwall 0–1 Newcastle (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.14 / 4.63
Corners
against 5.71 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.14 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 3.43 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.14 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.57 / 2.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMillwall for / againstLineNewcastle for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.14 for · 5.71 against n 7
9.5standard
4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
13.43 for · 11.71 against n 7
19.5standard
12.38 for · 17.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.14 for · 3.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.43 for · 10 against n 7
21.5standard
11.63 for · 14 against n 8
Cards shown
1.14 for · 2.57 against n 7
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: C. Pawson.

Millwall

Millwall Goalkeeper

Millwall — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Crocombe490360 min82 /9082 /9000 /90
L. Jensen290180 min21 /9000 /9000 /90
Millwall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Crocombe n 890
2.55/3
L. Jensen n 890
2.65/3

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Cooper690540 min30.5 /9081.3 /9061 /90366 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Zak Norton Sturge674443 min102 /9061.2 /9030.6 /90183.7 /9071.4 /9000 /90
C. Taylor590450 min40.8 /9081.6 /9051 /90265.2 /9030.6 /9000 /90
E. Baggott358173 min42.1 /9031.6 /9010.5 /90168.3 /9010.5 /9000 /90
J. Osei-Tutu353160 min52.8 /9010.6 /9000 /90137.3 /9031.7 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Cooper n 890
0.84/2
16/2
S. Botman
Zak Norton Sturge n 873.5
1.25/2
1.14/3
—
C. Neghli n 876.6
16/1
0.42/1
H. Barnes
Jenson Metcalfe n 667.8
3.56/4
2.23/2
—
C. Taylor n 890
0.84/2
0.84/2
Lewis Hall
See more players · Pro
Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.64/1
Zak Norton Sturge n 873.5
1.85/4
C. Neghli n 876.6
0.92/1
Jenson Metcalfe n 667.8
2.96/4
C. Taylor n 890
0.64/1
See more players · Pro

Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Coburn476304 min20.6 /9000 /9072.1 /9051.5 /9051.5 /9010.3 /90
T. Arconte468271 min20.7 /9000 /9062 /9031 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
Z. Lovelace434135 min00 /9021.3 /9010.7 /9000 /9021.3 /9010.7 /90
L. Dykes390270 min20.7 /9000 /9062 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
K. Lisbie367200 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9020.9 /90
See more players · Pro
Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
Zak Norton Sturge n 873.5
0.32/0
0.21/0
C. Neghli n 876.6
1.56/4
0.32/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 667.8
0.93/1
00/0
C. Taylor n 890
0.84/1
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Zak Norton Sturge n 873.5
00/0
0.21/0
C. Neghli n 876.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 667.8
00/0
0.42/0
C. Taylor n 890
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Newcastle

Newcastle Goalkeeper

Newcastle — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Horníček390270 min134.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
E. Jaouen19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /90
Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 390
4.33/3

Newcastle Defensive

Newcastle — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Dedić490360 min71.8 /9020.5 /9030.8 /90205 /9082 /9000 /90
M. Thiaw490360 min00 /9020.5 /9092.3 /90174.3 /9041 /9000 /90
S. Botman490360 min20.5 /9020.5 /9082 /90205 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
Lewis Hall490359 min102.5 /9061.5 /9061.5 /90235.8 /9061.5 /9000 /90
H. Barnes479314 min30.9 /9020.6 /9000 /90144 /9041.1 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Dedić n 490
23/3
1.34/1
—
M. Thiaw n 890
0.86/0
0.63/1
—
S. Botman n 890
0.43/0
1.15/2
J. Cooper
Lewis Hall n 881.4
1.15/2
1.14/3
C. Taylor
H. Barnes n 860.6
0.94/1
25/3
C. Neghli
See more players · Pro
Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Dedić n 490
1.83/3
S. Botman n 890
16/2
M. Thiaw n 890
0.94/2
Lewis Hall n 881.4
2.17/5
H. Barnes n 860.6
0.62/1
See more players · Pro

Newcastle Attacking

Newcastle — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Wissa472287 min10.3 /9010.3 /9072.2 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9041.3 /90
N. Woltemade255109 min00 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9000 /9021.7 /9021.7 /90
W. Osula15656 min00 /9011.6 /9000 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
M. Fernandez-Pardo12727 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.3 /90
H. Barnes479314 min30.9 /9000 /9061.7 /9041.1 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Dedić n 490
0.31/0
00/0
M. Thiaw n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. Botman n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Lewis Hall n 881.4
0.85/1
0.32/0
H. Barnes n 860.6
1.97/2
1.35/1
See more players · Pro
Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Dedić n 490
00/0
0.82/1
M. Thiaw n 890
00/0
0.11/0
S. Botman n 890
00/0
00/0
Lewis Hall n 881.4
00/0
0.11/0
H. Barnes n 860.6
0.94/1
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MillwallNewcastle
37%Possession63%
9Shots25
2Shots on target6
6Shots off target9
1Blocked shots10
8Shots inside the box16
1Corners15
2Offsides0
15Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves3
276Passes467
74%Pass accuracy85%

Millwall Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Taylor9000310106.9
E. Baggott9000002006.7
J. Cooper9000001006.7
Jenson Metcalfe90001014Y6.4
C. Neghli9000101205.9
F. Marschall9000000007.5
J. Osei-Tutu8800001206.5
L. Dykes8700110006.2
D. Kelly8700100206.3
R. Esse6200000006.3
Z. Lovelace6200000006.2
T. Arconte2800101006.5
Y. Issoufou2800100006
Alfie Massey3000001Y6.1
Regan Anderson sub800000006.5
Tristan Parkes sub20000000–

Newcastle Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Barnes9000411206.6
S. Botman9000100007.4
Lewis Hall9001104308.2
Nico González9000101006.5
F. Schär9000201007.1
L. Horníček9000000007.3
J. Willock8910533208.2
J. Ramsey83002023Y6.3
Y. Wissa6600201006.4
J. Murphy6600301106.8
A. Dedić4500101106.6
T. Livramento4500000006.5
A. Elanga2400320006.9
M. Fernandez-Pardo2400000006.3
L. Miley700000106.7
Sean Steur100000000

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Millwall v Newcastle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MillwallWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
NewcastleLDWWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Goals per game
Millwall scored1.8
Newcastle scored1.8
Millwall conceded1.6
Newcastle conceded1.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Millwall v Newcastle?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Millwall v Newcastle was Home or Away (best price 1.20 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Millwall and Newcastle?
Recent form — Millwall 3W 0D 2L; Newcastle 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+