AFC Wimbledon v Luton result

Full-time · AFC Wimbledon 0–3 Luton

League One · Mon, 06 Apr 2026 15:00 BST · The Cherry Red Records Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AFC Wimbledon · Luton

The model’s pre-match pick

AFC Wimbledon 0–3 Luton — Luton won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Luton won 3–0 at The Cherry Red Records Stadium in League One on Monday 6 April. Luton have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Luton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Luton: Kasey Palmer (12’), Ali Al Hamadi (59’) and Jake Richards (79’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kasey Palmer’s goal on 12 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: AFC Wimbledon 0.36, Luton 2.79, from 6 shots to 23 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Brook showed two yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AFC Wimbledon: Joe Lewis (28’); Luton: Jake Richards (63’).

What it changes

AFC Wimbledon stay 16th after this result (41 league matches played). AFC Wimbledon have scored 51 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). AFC Wimbledon have conceded 72 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.

Luton move up from 11th to seventh (41 league matches played). Luton have scored 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Luton have conceded 56 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.

AFC Wimbledon are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Luton are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. AFC Wimbledon have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Isaiah Jones (Luton) 8.5, Ali Al Hamadi (Luton) 8.5 and Jake Richards (Luton) 7.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Luton are unbeaten in the last three meetings with AFC Wimbledon, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, AFC Wimbledon or Luton (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

AFC Wimbledon next host Blackpool on 14 November 2026.

Luton next host Cambridge United on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AFC Wimbledon: AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Luton: Luton v Cambridge United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: AFC Wimbledon 0–3 Luton · League One
Venue: The Cherry Red Records Stadium · London
Referee: C. Brook
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): AFC Wimbledon 0 · draws 1 · Luton 2 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: AFC Wimbledon 0W 1D 4L · Luton 3W 2D 0L

AFC Wimbledon 0–3 Luton (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

7.13 / 5.63

Corners

against 4 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.25 / 2

Cards

against 1.38 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4 yellows

Referee · C. Brook

22.5 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 14 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	AFC Wimbledon for / against	Line	Luton for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.38 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.63 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.13 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.13 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: C. Brook — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.21 red cards, 22.5 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon Defensive

AFC Wimbledon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Seddon n 8	90	0.6 5/0	0.4 2/1	K. Naismith
A. Smith n 8	86.9	1.2 6/2	1.4 5/4	—
I. Ogundere n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.5 4/0	K. Naismith
R. Johnson n 8	83.1	0.3 2/0	0.7 5/0	—
N. Bishop n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

AFC Wimbledon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Seddon n 8	90	1.4 6/2
A. Smith n 8	86.9	2.6 8/7
I. Ogundere n 8	90	1.6 4/4
R. Johnson n 8	83.1	2 6/5
N. Bishop n 8	90	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

AFC Wimbledon Attacking

AFC Wimbledon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Seddon n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
A. Smith n 8	86.9	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
I. Ogundere n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Johnson n 8	83.1	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
N. Bishop n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

AFC Wimbledon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Seddon n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
A. Smith n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Ogundere n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Johnson n 8	83.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
N. Bishop n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Luton

Luton Defensive

Luton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joshua Keeley n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.8 4/2	—
N. Lonwijk n 8	88.8	1.1 6/2	0.4 3/0	—
J. Clark n 8	89	0.9 5/2	1.3 5/3	—
G. Kodua n 8	54.5	0.8 4/0	1.7 4/2	—
K. Naismith n 8	90	0.9 5/1	1.1 4/2	I. Ogundere
See more players · Pro

Luton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Joshua Keeley n 8	90	0 0/0
N. Lonwijk n 8	88.8	2.2 7/5
J. Clark n 8	89	1.6 6/4
G. Kodua n 8	54.5	1.9 6/3
K. Naismith n 8	90	1.8 6/3
See more players · Pro

Luton Attacking

Luton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Joshua Keeley n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Lonwijk n 8	88.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
J. Clark n 8	89	1.8 7/3	0.6 3/2
G. Kodua n 8	54.5	1 5/0	0.8 4/0
K. Naismith n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.4 3/0
See more players · Pro

Luton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Joshua Keeley n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Lonwijk n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Clark n 8	89	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
G. Kodua n 8	54.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
K. Naismith n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AFC Wimbledon		Luton
38%	Possession	62%
0.36	Expected goals (xG)	2.79
6	Shots	23
0	Shots on target	8
6	Shots off target	9
0	Blocked shots	6
3	Shots inside the box	19
8	Corners	3
0	Offsides	1
11	Fouls	4
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	0
305	Passes	550
73%	Pass accuracy	86%

AFC Wimbledon Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Bishop	90	0	0	0	0	6.2
I. Ogundere	90	0	0	6	0	6.2
S. Seddon	90	1	1	2	0	7.2
Junior Nkeng	90	0	0	2	0	5.5
C. Maycock	90	0	1	0	0	7
A. Smith	90	1	1	5	0	6.9
Omar Bugiel	80	2	0	1	0	6.5
J. Reeves	67	1	1	2	0	6.7
A. Hackford	67	1	0	0	0	6.3
J. Lewis	30	0	0	1	Y	6.3
P. Bauer	23	0	0	1	0	6.2
N. Asiimwe sub	67	0	0	0	0	6
S. Hutchinson sub	60	0	0	0	0	7.3
Kai Jennings sub	23	0	0	0	0	6
A. Sasu sub	23	0	0	1	0	6.7

Luton Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Joshua Keeley	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
I. Jones	90	0	0	1	1	2	9	0	7.2
H. Odoffin	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7.9
M. Andersen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
K. Naismith	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.9
L. Walsh	90	0	0	3	1	4	0	0	7.5
J. Richards	87	1	1	1	1	1	1	Y	8.5
J. Clark	87	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
K. Palmer	81	1	0	4	2	3	0	0	8.3
Emilio Lawrence	81	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	6.2
N. Wells	17	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
Ali Al Hamadi sub	73	1	1	2	2	4	0	0	7.3
G. Saville sub	9	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
C. Bramall sub	9	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
S. Morris sub	9	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
D. van den Berg sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AFC Wimbledon v Luton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AFC WimbledonLLDLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

LutonDWWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

AFC Wimbledon 0 · 1 draw · Luton 2 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-08-01 Luton 1–0 AFC Wimbledon
2019-04-23 Luton 2–2 AFC Wimbledon
2018-10-27 AFC Wimbledon 0–2 Luton

League standing · 2025/26

AFC Wimbledon#19 pos53 pts46 pl-21 GD

Luton#7 pos74 pts46 pl+12 GD

Goals per game

AFC Wimbledon scored1.11

Luton scored1.48

AFC Wimbledon conceded1.57

Luton conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AFC Wimbledon v Luton?: TACTIX’s free model pick for AFC Wimbledon v Luton was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between AFC Wimbledon and Luton?: In their last 3 meetings, AFC Wimbledon won 0, Luton won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AFC Wimbledon and Luton?: Recent form — AFC Wimbledon 0W 1D 4L; Luton 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.