Barnsley v Bolton result

Full-time · Barnsley 1–1 Bolton

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Barnsley · Bolton · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Barnsley 1–1 Bolton — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Barnsley and Bolton drew 1–1 in League One on Saturday 16 August. Barnsley have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Barnsley: David McGoldrick (47’, assisted by Luca Connell); Bolton: John McAtee (86’). Vimal Yoganathan (52’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with John McAtee’s goal on 86 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Barnsley 0.00, Bolton 0.00, from 5 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

L. Doughty showed six yellow cards and one red — against 5.4 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Barnsley: Vimal Yoganathan (34’), Vimal Yoganathan (52’), Neil Farrugia (90+7’) and Murphy Mahoney (90+8’); Bolton: Mason Paul James Burstow (34’) and Aaron Morley (90+4’).

What it changes

Barnsley move up from second to first (three league matches played).

Bolton move up from 13th to 10th (three league matches played).

Barnsley are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Bolton are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Luca Connell (Barnsley) 5.5, Amario Cozier-Duberry (Bolton) 4.7 and David McGoldrick (Barnsley) 3.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Barnsley or Bolton (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3537 of 4571).

Next up

Barnsley next travel to Reading on 24 October 2026.

Bolton next host Middlesbrough on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Barnsley: Reading v Barnsley, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Bolton: Bolton v Middlesbrough, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Barnsley 1–1 Bolton · League One
  • Referee: L. Doughty
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Barnsley 3 · draws 2 · Bolton 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Barnsley 3W 1D 1L · Bolton 1W 3D 1L

Barnsley 1–1 Bolton (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.63 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 2.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.13
Corners
against 4.75 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.13 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBarnsley for / againstLineBolton for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.5 for · 9.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: L. Doughty.

Barnsley
Barnsley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. McGoldrick n 887
2.58/6
0.94/2
Mason Paul James Burstow
Vimal Yoganathan n 836.6
2.25/2
2.85/3
—
R. Cleary n 833.4
24/2
1.32/1
—
L. Connell n 876
1.97/4
0.95/1
—
Fábio Jaló n 854.5
1.75/2
2.57/4
—
Barnsley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Humphrys n 872.5
3.38/6
2.68/5
D. McGoldrick n 887
2.57/4
1.36/3
D. Keillor-Dunn n 884.3
2.48/6
1.56/4
J. Russell n 871.6
27/4
1.97/4
R. Cleary n 833.4
24/2
12/1
Barnsley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Keillor-Dunn n 884.3
0.74/1
0.32/0
J. Russell n 871.6
0.95/1
00/0
S. Humphrys n 872.5
0.84/1
00/0
A. Phillips n 876.5
0.11/0
0.63/1
Caylan Vickers n 858.9
0.21/0
0.42/0
Barnsley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Lembikisa n 842.3
46/3
N. Ogbeta n 849.8
2.97/4
Patrick Kelly n 842.3
2.95/4
Vimal Yoganathan n 836.6
2.84/2
Barry Cotter n 860.4
2.44/4
Bolton
Bolton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Cozier-Duberry n 847.3
2.66/4
13/1
—
Mason Paul James Burstow n 829.3
2.35/1
2.75/2
D. McGoldrick
K. Lolos n 833.8
24/2
1.75/0
—
J. McAtee n 865.3
1.97/3
0.74/0
—
G. Thomason n 886.1
1.88/5
1.37/2
—
Bolton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Collins n 873.3
3.26/6
1.25/2
A. Cozier-Duberry n 847.3
2.15/3
13/1
J. McAtee n 865.3
1.65/3
0.32/0
S. Schön n 850.4
1.65/1
0.72/1
A. Morley n 875.6
1.26/2
0.43/0
Bolton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Dacres-Cogley n 864.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
E. Toal n 880.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Morley n 875.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
J. Matete n 857
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Cozier-Duberry n 847.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Bolton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Conway n 882.6
4.28/6
J. Osei-Tutu n 864.6
3.15/3
A. Murphy n 878.5
2.47/6
J. Matete n 857
2.45/4
Sam Inwood n 369
2.21/1

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BarnsleyBolton
44%Possession56%
5Shots17
2Shots on target7
3Shots off target9
0Blocked shots1
3Shots inside the box13
3Corners2
7Offsides4
14Fouls15
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
5Saves1
353Passes430
75%Pass accuracy81%

Barnsley player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Mahoney90000000Y7.2
J. Shepherd9000000107.3
J. Earl9000100006.9
N. Ogbeta9000001107
L. Connell9001002207.7
D. Keillor-Dunn9000110005.9
Caylan Vickers8700000106.2
A. Phillips8700001006.3
Jonathan Bland7400000106.9
D. McGoldrick5710210007.2
Vimal Yoganathan52000002RY6.2
Patrick Kelly sub3400100106.3
T. Watson sub1700000106.2
N. Farrugia sub13000001Y6.3
R. Cleary sub1300000006.3

Bolton player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Sharman-Lowe9000000006.3
E. Toal9000310207
G. Johnston9000000007.2
J. Sheehan9000100007.2
A. Cozier-Duberry9000431306.2
Mason Paul James Burstow90002111Y6
M. Conway8000110206.6
T. Gale7200001007
J. Dacres-Cogley6400000406.2
X. Simons6400101107
J. Randall6300001006.3
I. Cissoko sub2800102207.3
J. Osei-Tutu sub2700001206.9
A. Morley sub27001020Y6.9
J. McAtee sub1810210007.5
E. Erhahon sub1100001007

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Barnsley v Bolton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BarnsleyLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
BoltonDDLWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Barnsley 3 · 2 draws · Bolton 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2025-04-12 Barnsley 4–1 Bolton
  • 2024-12-26 Bolton 1–2 Barnsley
  • 2024-05-07 Bolton 2–3 Barnsley
  • 2024-05-03 Barnsley 1–3 Bolton
  • 2024-03-05 Barnsley 2–2 Bolton
  • 2024-02-03 Bolton 1–1 Barnsley
League standing · 2025/26
Barnsley#15 pos59 pts46 pl-5 GD
Bolton#5 pos75 pts46 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Barnsley scored1.48
Bolton scored1.52
Barnsley conceded1.59
Bolton conceded1.13

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Barnsley v Bolton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Barnsley v Bolton was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Barnsley and Bolton?
In their last 6 meetings, Barnsley won 3, Bolton won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Barnsley and Bolton?
Recent form — Barnsley 3W 1D 1L; Bolton 1W 3D 1L.

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