Bolton v Reading result

Full-time · Bolton 1–1 Reading

League One · Wed, 20 Aug 2025 20:00 BST · Toughsheet Community Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bolton · Reading · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bolton 1–1 Reading — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Bolton and Reading drew 1–1 at Toughsheet Community Stadium in League One on Wednesday 20 August. Bolton are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Bolton: Mason Paul James Burstow (52’, assisted by Amario Cozier-Duberry); Reading: A. Garcia (84’, assisted by K. Abrefa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Garcia’s goal on 84 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bolton 0.00, Reading 0.00, from 21 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Reeves showed five yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Reading: Mark O’Mahony (16’), Charlie Savage (43’), Kamari Doyle (65’), Daniel Kyerewaa (74’) and D. Williams (78’).

What it changes

Bolton move down from 10th to 15th (four league matches played).

Reading move up from 24th to 21st (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Amario Cozier-Duberry (Bolton) 8.8, K. Abrefa (Reading) 7.3 and Mason Paul James Burstow (Bolton) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bolton or Reading (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3537 of 4571).

Next up

Bolton next host Middlesbrough on 23 October 2026.

Reading next host Leyton Orient on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bolton: Bolton v Middlesbrough, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Reading: Reading v Leyton Orient, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Bolton 1–1 Reading · League One
Venue: Toughsheet Community Stadium · Bolton
Referee: T. Reeves
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Bolton 3 · draws 1 · Reading 2 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Bolton 1W 3D 1L · Reading 1W 0D 4L

Bolton 1–1 Reading (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 4.88

Corners

against 3.5 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.63 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.75 yellows

Referee · T. Reeves

0.88 home / 1.88 away

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Bolton for / against	Line	Reading for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.13 for · 8.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.5 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.38 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: T. Reeves — 2.75 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.88 fouls over 8 matches (0.88 to the home side, 1.88 to the away side).

Home 0.88Away 1.88

Bolton

Bolton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Cozier-Duberry n 8	51.4	2.6 6/5	1.1 4/1	Mark O’Mahony
K. Lolos n 8	43.6	2.1 6/2	1 4/0	—
Mason Paul James Burstow n 8	37.9	2.1 5/1	1.5 4/1	—
J. Osei-Tutu n 8	57	2 7/3	3.9 7/6	—
J. McAtee n 8	56.3	2 6/3	0.6 3/0	—

Bolton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Collins n 8	73.3	3.2 6/6	1.2 5/2
A. Cozier-Duberry n 8	51.4	2.8 6/4	1.5 4/2
T. Gale n 8	46.9	2.4 5/4	1 3/1
J. McAtee n 8	56.3	1.6 5/3	0.6 3/0
Mason Paul James Burstow n 8	37.9	1.5 3/2	0.6 2/0

Bolton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Dacres-Cogley n 8	64.4	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
T. Gale n 8	46.9	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
J. Matete n 8	57	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
A. Cozier-Duberry n 8	51.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
A. Collins n 8	73.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Bolton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Osei-Tutu n 8	57	3.9 6/4
M. Conway n 8	81.4	3.7 8/6
A. Murphy n 8	78.5	2.4 7/6
J. Matete n 8	57	2.4 5/4
Sam Inwood n 3	69	2.2 1/1

Reading

Reading — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Mark O’Mahony n 8	36.9	2.7 5/3	1.2 4/0	A. Cozier-Duberry
A. Ahmed n 7	30.9	2.5 4/2	0.8 2/0	—
B. Elliott n 8	72.4	2.2 8/5	1.6 6/3	—
J. Wareham n 8	65.5	2.1 6/4	1.7 6/2	—
M. Jacob n 8	59.3	1.9 5/4	0.8 3/1	—

Reading — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Wareham n 8	65.5	1.7 5/3	0.9 4/1
L. Wing n 8	82	1.6 6/5	1.1 6/2
B. Elliott n 8	72.4	1.4 5/3	0.8 4/1
K. Doyle n 8	34.3	1.3 3/1	0.7 2/0
C. Savage n 8	82	1.2 6/2	0.4 3/0

Reading — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Wareham n 8	65.5	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
H. Knibbs n 8	64.3	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
L. Wing n 8	82	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
B. Elliott n 8	72.4	0 0/0	0.5 1/1
K. Ehibhatiomhan n 8	69.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Reading — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Ahmed n 7	30.9	3.8 4/2
F. Burns n 8	73.5	2.9 6/5
B. Elliott n 8	72.4	2.8 7/5
H. Knibbs n 8	64.3	2.6 7/4
A. Yiadom n 8	33.5	2.4 3/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bolton		Reading
64%	Possession	36%
21	Shots	5
4	Shots on target	2
9	Shots off target	1
8	Blocked shots	2
8	Shots inside the box	4
3	Corners	1
2	Offsides	3
9	Fouls	21
0	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
538	Passes	294
84%	Pass accuracy	70%

Bolton player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
T. Sharman-Lowe	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Osei-Tutu	90	0	0	0	0	3	1	6.3
C. Forino-Joseph	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.2
G. Johnston	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	7.3
M. Conway	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	7.5
X. Simons	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	7
A. Cozier-Duberry	90	0	1	4	1	1	2	7.3
E. Erhahon	83	0	0	0	0	3	1	7.2
J. Randall	83	0	0	3	0	2	2	6.6
Mason Paul James Burstow	76	1	0	2	1	2	0	7.5
I. Cissoko	71	0	0	1	0	3	0	7.5
T. Gale sub	20	0	0	1	1	0	1	6.7
S. Dalby sub	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
J. Sheehan sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. McAtee sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Reading player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Joel Pereira	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
K. Abrefa	90	0	1	1	1	2	3	0	6.9
F. Burns	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.6
D. Williams	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
L. Wing	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
C. Savage	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.5
Mark O’Mahony	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	5.9
D. Kyerewaa	81	0	0	0	0	2	0	Y	6.3
J. Dorsett	80	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
K. Doyle	66	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.7
L. Fraser	59	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
B. Elliott sub	32	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Mamadi Camará sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
M. Jacob sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
A. Garcia sub	10	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bolton v Reading — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BoltonDLWDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

ReadingLLLWL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Bolton 3 · 1 draw · Reading 2 · 3.5 goals/game

2025-02-01 Reading 1–0 Bolton
2024-09-21 Bolton 5–2 Reading
2024-04-01 Bolton 5–2 Reading
2023-09-16 Reading 2–1 Bolton
2019-01-29 Bolton 1–1 Reading
2018-08-18 Reading 0–1 Bolton

League standing · 2025/26

Bolton#5 pos75 pts46 pl+18 GD

Reading#12 pos63 pts46 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Bolton scored1.52

Reading scored1.39

Bolton conceded1.13

Reading conceded1.3

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Bolton v Reading?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bolton v Reading was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Bolton and Reading?: In their last 6 meetings, Bolton won 3, Reading won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bolton and Reading?: Recent form — Bolton 1W 3D 1L; Reading 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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