Bradford v Bolton result
The model’s pre-match pick
Bradford 1–1 Bolton — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
Bradford and Bolton drew 1–1 in League One on Saturday 25 April. Bradford are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Bolton are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Bolton: Johnny Kenny (72’, assisted by Mason Paul James Burstow); Bradford: Kayden Jackson (80’, assisted by Curtis Tilt).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kayden Jackson’s goal on 80 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bradford 0.00, Bolton 0.00, from 12 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
S. Stockbridge showed four yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bradford: Josh Neufville (15’) and Joe Wright (36’); Bolton: George Johnston (79’) and Chris Forino-Joseph (90+1’).
What it changes
Bradford move down from fourth to fifth (45 league matches played).
Bolton stay third after this result (45 league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Curtis Tilt (Bradford) 6.7, Ibrahim Cissoko (Bolton) 6.5 and Johnny Kenny (Bolton) 6.3 led the match.
Head-to-head
Bolton are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Bradford.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).
Next up
Bradford next host Marine on 7 November 2026.
Bolton next host Portsmouth on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Bradford: Bradford v Marine, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bolton: Bolton v Portsmouth, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Bradford 1–1 Bolton · League One
- Referee: S. Stockbridge
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Bradford 1 · draws 2 · Bolton 1 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Bradford 2W 2D 1L · Bolton 2W 2D 1L
Bradford 1–1 Bolton (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bradford for / against | Line | Bolton for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.13 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.88 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.5 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.38 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Stockbridge — 4.77 yellow cards a game, 0.15 red cards, 26.08 fouls over 13 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Bradford
Bradford Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Walker n 8 | 90.8 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| M. Power n 8 | 90.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | — |
| I. Touray n 8 | 90.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | G. Johnston |
| J. Neufville n 8 | 79.8 | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| A. Sarcevic n 8 | 64.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Walker n 8 | 90.8 | 0 |
| M. Power n 8 | 90.8 | 1.1 |
| I. Touray n 8 | 90.8 | 2.1 |
| J. Neufville n 8 | 79.8 | 2.4 |
| A. Sarcevic n 8 | 64.8 | 1.6 |
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Bradford Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Walker n 8 | 90.8 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Power n 8 | 90.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| I. Touray n 8 | 90.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| J. Neufville n 8 | 79.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| A. Sarcevic n 8 | 64.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Walker n 8 | 90.8 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Power n 8 | 90.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
| I. Touray n 8 | 90.8 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Neufville n 8 | 79.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
| A. Sarcevic n 8 | 64.8 | 0 | 0 |
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Bolton
Bolton Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnston n 8 | 88.5 | 1 | 0.4 | I. Touray |
| M. Conway n 8 | 67 | 0.7 | 1.8 | — |
| S. Dalby n 8 | 84.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow n 8 | 44.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | — |
| E. Toal n 8 | 88 | 0.3 | 0 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Johnston n 8 | 88.5 | 0.9 |
| M. Conway n 8 | 67 | 1.5 |
| S. Dalby n 8 | 84.3 | 0.9 |
| Mason Paul James Burstow n 8 | 44.5 | 1.3 |
| E. Toal n 8 | 88 | 0.9 |
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Bolton Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnston n 8 | 88.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| M. Conway n 8 | 67 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| S. Dalby n 8 | 84.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Mason Paul James Burstow n 8 | 44.5 | 2.8 | 1 |
| E. Toal n 8 | 88 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnston n 8 | 88.5 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Conway n 8 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Dalby n 8 | 84.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Mason Paul James Burstow n 8 | 44.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| E. Toal n 8 | 88 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Bradford | Bolton | |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | Possession | 55% |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 1 | Shots off target | 11 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 10 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 284 | Passes | 345 |
| 54% | Pass accuracy | 65% |
Bradford Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Walker | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Baldwin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Wright | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.5 |
| C. Tilt | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| I. Touray | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Power | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| G. Lapslie | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Humphrys | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| K. Jackson | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Jenson Metcalfe | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Neufville | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Y | 7 |
| N. Powell sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| W. Swan sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Bolton Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bonham | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Christie | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| E. Toal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| C. Forino-Joseph | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 7.3 |
| G. Johnston | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| Ruben Rodrigues | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Kenny | 89 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Sheehan | 87 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| I. Cissoko | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 |
| K. Dempsey sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Gale sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. McAtee sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Bradford v Bolton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-11-22 Bolton 0–0 Bradford
- 2021-03-06 Bradford 1–1 Bolton
- 2020-10-27 Bolton 1–0 Bradford
- 2020-09-05 Bolton 1–2 Bradford
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Bradford v Bolton?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Bradford v Bolton was Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Bradford and Bolton?
- In their last 4 meetings, Bradford won 1, Bolton won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Bradford and Bolton?
- Recent form — Bradford 2W 2D 1L; Bolton 2W 2D 1L.
Today’s Boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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