Bradford v Luton result
The model’s pre-match pick
Bradford 2–1 Luton — Bradford won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
The result
Bradford beat Luton 2–1 in League One on Saturday 16 August. Bradford are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
The goals
Bradford led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bradford: Stephen Humphrys (33’) and Bobby Pointon (48’, assisted by Josh Neufville); Luton: Gideon Kodua (85’, assisted by Cohen Bramall).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Stephen Humphrys’s goal on 33 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bradford 0.00, Luton 0.00, from 13 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
E. Duckworth showed four yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bradford: Bobby Pointon (30’) and Max Power (82’); Luton: Millenic Alli (17’) and N. Lonwijk (27’).
What it changes
Bradford move up from fifth to second (three league matches played). Bradford have scored 58 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Bradford have conceded 51 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Luton move down from first to fifth (shared) (three league matches played). Luton have scored 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Luton have conceded 56 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gideon Kodua (Luton) 7.4, Stephen Humphrys (Bradford) 6.5 and Josh Neufville (Bradford) 5.8 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Bradford next travel to Leicester on 14 November 2026.
Luton next host Cambridge United on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Bradford: Leicester v Bradford, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Luton: Luton v Cambridge United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Bradford 2–1 Luton · League One
- Referee: E. Duckworth
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Bradford 0 · draws 0 · Luton 2 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Bradford 3W 1D 1L · Luton 3W 0D 2L
Bradford 2–1 Luton (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bradford for / against | Line | Luton for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.43 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.75 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12 for · 12.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.29 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.88 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.43 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: E. Duckworth — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 21.45 fouls over 11 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Bradford
Bradford Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Power n 3 | 90 | 2.3 | 0.7 | N. Lonwijk |
| I. Touray n 3 | 90 | 1.7 | 1 | M. Alli |
| J. Neufville n 3 | 90 | 1.7 | 1 | N. Lonwijk |
| S. Walker n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| C. Tilt n 3 | 75.7 | 2.4 | 2 | — |
| See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+ | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Power n 3 | 90 | 4 |
| J. Neufville n 3 | 90 | 3.3 |
| I. Touray n 3 | 90 | 2.7 |
| S. Walker n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| C. Tilt n 3 | 75.7 | 2 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
Bradford Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Power n 3 | 90 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| I. Touray n 3 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| J. Neufville n 3 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| S. Walker n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Tilt n 3 | 75.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Touray n 3 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| S. Walker n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Neufville n 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Power n 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Tilt n 3 | 75.7 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
Luton
Luton Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Alli n 8 | 82.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | I. Touray |
| L. Walsh n 8 | 69.1 | 2.6 | 1.1 | — |
| N. Lonwijk n 3 | 52.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | J. Neufville |
| Lamine Dabo n 8 | 48.9 | 2.3 | 1.8 | — |
| C. Makosso n 8 | 69.3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| See more players · Pro | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Alli n 8 | 82.3 | 1.1 |
| L. Walsh n 8 | 69.1 | 2.1 |
| N. Lonwijk n 3 | 52.3 | 0.6 |
| Lamine Dabo n 8 | 48.9 | 0.9 |
| K. Naismith n 8 | 75.4 | 2.2 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
Luton Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Alli n 8 | 82.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| L. Walsh n 8 | 69.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| N. Lonwijk n 3 | 52.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Lamine Dabo n 8 | 48.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| C. Makosso n 8 | 69.3 | 1 | 0.2 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Alli n 8 | 82.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| L. Walsh n 8 | 69.1 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Lonwijk n 3 | 52.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Lamine Dabo n 8 | 48.9 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Andersen n 8 | 71.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Bradford | Luton | |
|---|---|---|
| 38% | Possession | 62% |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 297 | Passes | 481 |
| 66% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
Bradford Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Walker | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| M. Pennington | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Baldwin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. Tilt | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Neufville | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Power | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| I. Touray | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Sarcevic | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| T. Leigh | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| B. Pointon | 78 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | Y | 7.5 |
| S. Humphrys | 69 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| W. Swan sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Wright sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Jenson Metcalfe sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| C. Kelly sub | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Luton Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| M. McGuinness | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Andersen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Naismith | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Clark | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Yates | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Saville | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Lamine Dabo | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Baptiste | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Lonwijk | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| M. Alli | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.7 |
| G. Kodua sub | 67 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| C. Bramall sub | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Nordås sub | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Walsh sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Z. Nelson sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Bradford v Luton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2019-03-12 Bradford 0–1 Luton
- 2018-11-27 Luton 4–0 Bradford
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Bradford v Luton?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Bradford v Luton was Under 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Bradford and Luton?
- In their last 2 meetings, Bradford won 0, Luton won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Bradford and Luton?
- Recent form — Bradford 3W 1D 1L; Luton 3W 0D 2L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.