BradfordNorthampton

Bradford v Northampton result

Full-time · Bradford 1–0 Northampton

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bradford · Northampton · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bradford 1–0 Northampton — Bradford won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bradford beat Northampton 1–0 in League One on Friday 3 April. Northampton are winless in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bradford led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bradford: Stephen Humphrys (14’, assisted by Bobby Pointon).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Stephen Humphrys’s goal on 14 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bradford 0.00, Northampton 0.00, from 18 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Coy showed four yellow cards — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bradford: Jenson Metcalfe (55’), Max Power (86’) and Matthew Pennington (90’); Northampton: Elliott Moore (77’).

What it changes

Bradford move up from fourth to third (40 league matches played). Bradford have scored 58 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Bradford have conceded 51 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Northampton stay 23rd after this result (40 league matches played). Northampton have scored 39 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Northampton have conceded 74 goals, the most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Stephen Humphrys (Bradford) 6.6, Ibou Touray (Bradford) 5.7 and Nesta Guinness-Walker (Northampton) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bradford next travel to Leicester on 14 November 2026.

Northampton next travel to Salford City on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bradford: Leicester v Bradford, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Northampton: Salford City v Northampton, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bradford 1–0 Northampton · League One
  • Referee: M. Coy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bradford 2 · draws 3 · Northampton 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bradford 2W 1D 2L · Northampton 0W 1D 4L

Bradford 1–0 Northampton (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.13 / 4.75
Corners
against 3.63 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 2.38
Shots on target
against 2.25 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.44 yellows
Referee · M. Coy
25 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBradford for / againstLineNorthampton for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
7.13 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 7.75 against n 8
19.5standard
8.75 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
8.5standard
2.38 for · 6.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: M. Coy — 2.44 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 25 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bradford

Bradford Defensive

Bradford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bradford before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Walker n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Power n 889.9
15/2
16/2
T. Taylor
I. Touray n 876.6
1.34/3
1.95/5
S. Hoskins
J. Neufville n 883.1
0.95/1
0.43/0
D. Campbell
A. Sarcevic n 874.9
1.56/4
0.85/0
—
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Bradford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bradford before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Walker n 890
00/0
M. Power n 889.9
1.88/3
I. Touray n 876.6
2.88/6
J. Neufville n 883.1
1.56/3
A. Sarcevic n 874.9
0.94/2
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Bradford Attacking

Bradford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bradford before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Walker n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Power n 889.9
1.44/4
0.42/1
I. Touray n 876.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Neufville n 883.1
0.11/0
00/0
A. Sarcevic n 874.9
1.56/1
0.84/1
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Bradford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bradford before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Walker n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Power n 889.9
00/0
00/0
I. Touray n 876.6
00/0
00/0
J. Neufville n 883.1
00/0
0.32/0
A. Sarcevic n 874.9
0.52/1
00/0
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Northampton

Northampton Defensive

Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Taylor n 880.6
1.57/4
1.47/3
M. Power
D. Campbell n 880.3
0.74/1
0.75/0
J. Neufville
S. Hoskins n 868.1
0.74/0
15/1
I. Touray
N. Guinness-Walker n 872
1.36/1
0.62/1
—
M. Dyche n 864.3
1.25/2
0.94/1
—
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Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Taylor n 880.6
1.87/4
D. Campbell n 880.3
2.88/6
S. Hoskins n 868.1
1.35/2
N. Guinness-Walker n 872
37/7
M. Dyche n 864.3
1.14/2
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Northampton Attacking

Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Taylor n 880.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
D. Campbell n 880.3
0.11/0
00/0
S. Hoskins n 868.1
0.73/1
0.52/1
N. Guinness-Walker n 872
0.32/0
00/0
M. Dyche n 864.3
0.21/0
00/0
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Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Taylor n 880.6
00/0
00/0
D. Campbell n 880.3
00/0
0.11/0
S. Hoskins n 868.1
00/0
00/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 872
00/0
00/0
M. Dyche n 864.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BradfordNorthampton
52%Possession48%
18Shots11
7Shots on target2
4Shots off target5
7Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box8
5Corners6
2Offsides2
15Fouls16
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves6
394Passes361
70%Pass accuracy71%

Bradford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Walker9600000007.3
M. Pennington96000013Y7.9
A. Baldwin9600000007.3
C. Tilt9600001207.6
M. Power96002230Y7.3
I. Touray9600004407.6
A. Sarcevic9600111207.3
B. Pointon9601312107.2
J. Neufville9200100206.7
Jenson Metcalfe82001111Y6.5
S. Humphrys8110322107.9
E. Wheatley sub1500000106.2
L. Evans sub1400000006.6
J. Wright sub40000010–

Northampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Burge9600000008.3
J. Burroughs9600000006.2
E. Moore96000002Y6.7
J. Guthrie9600000207.2
N. Guinness-Walker9600001307.2
C. McGeehan9600320306.5
T. Taylor9100200206.5
M. Jacobs9100004207.3
S. Hoskins6100000006.7
D. Campbell6100200106.7
J. Vale6100001006.2
T. Eaves sub3500000006.5
K. Simon-Swyer sub3500001006.5
T. Fornah sub3500000006.3
Kyle James McAdam sub50000020–
M. Dyche sub50000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bradford v Northampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BradfordWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
NorthamptonDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bradford 2 · 3 draws · Northampton 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-08-09 Northampton 0–0 Bradford
  • 2023-04-29 Northampton 1–2 Bradford
  • 2022-11-19 Bradford 1–3 Northampton
  • 2022-04-09 Northampton 0–0 Bradford
  • 2021-11-20 Bradford 1–1 Northampton
  • 2019-09-07 Bradford 2–1 Northampton
League standing · 2025/26
Bradford#4 pos77 pts46 pl+7 GD
Northampton#24 pos35 pts46 pl-35 GD
Goals per game
Bradford scored1.26
Northampton scored0.85
Bradford conceded1.11
Northampton conceded1.61

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bradford v Northampton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bradford v Northampton was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Bradford and Northampton?
In their last 6 meetings, Bradford won 2, Northampton won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bradford and Northampton?
Recent form — Bradford 2W 1D 2L; Northampton 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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