Burton Albion v Luton prediction

League One · Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Pirelli Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Burton Albion v Luton, League One on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Burton Albion host Luton in League One on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Luton have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Luton are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Burton Albion’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Burton Albion’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Burton Albion have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.50. Burton Albion have scored 18 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Burton Albion have conceded 21 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Luton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Luton’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Luton have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 2.00. Luton have scored 27 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Luton have conceded 21 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Burton Albion (15th) and Luton (fourth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Luton the stronger side, 236 rating points above Burton Albion (Luton 1680, Burton Albion 1444, after at least 106 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Luton 1–1 Burton Albion.

Team news

Predicted Burton Albion XI (3-4-2-1): C. Addai, C. Tilt, T. Sibbick, J. Sraha, K. Chauke, R. Borges Rodrigues, C. Webster, W. Collar, H. Araujo, S. Krubally, M. Dennis — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Finn Delap (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) and Jack Armer (4.2 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Burton Albion’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burton Albion (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Finn Delap averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 853 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Jack Armer averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 979 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Luton XI (4-1-4-1): J. Shea, M. Andersen, G. Johnston, I. Jones, K. Naismith, J. Donley, L. Walsh, K. Palmer, J. Clark, J. Richards, N. Wells — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Clark (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and three assists) and Jamie Donley (4.6 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been Luton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Luton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Clark averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 762 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Jamie Donley averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1397 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · League One · Pirelli Stadium
Head-to-head (last 4): Burton Albion 1 · draws 1 · Luton 2 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L · Luton 4W 1D 0L

Burton Albion v Luton (League One): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.38 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 6.75

Corners

against 6.88 / 5.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 5.5

Shots on target

against 4.13 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Burton Albion for / against	Line	Luton for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.38 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.75 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.5 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.75 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.75 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.38 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.13 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Burton Albion

Burton Albion Goalkeeper

Burton Albion — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Addai	15	901350 min	392.6 /90	151 /90	00 /90

Burton Albion — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Addai n 8	90	2.5 6/5

Burton Albion Defensive

Burton Albion — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Tilt	14	881231 min	211.5 /90	131 /90	120.9 /90	997.2 /90	261.9 /90	40.3 /90
T. Sibbick	13	871125 min	322.6 /90	141.1 /90	70.6 /90	645.1 /90	131 /90	20.2 /90
G. Evans	10	87869 min	70.7 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90	313.2 /90	101 /90	10.1 /90
F. Delap	10	85853 min	202.1 /90	202.1 /90	80.8 /90	565.9 /90	121.3 /90	20.2 /90
Harvey Araujo	6	68410 min	153.3 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90	337.2 /90	61.3 /90	00 /90
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Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Addai n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
K. Chauke n 8	89	0.1 1/0	1.3 7/2	—
C. Tilt n 8	90	1.9 8/5	1.3 5/3	—
C. Webster n 8	87.6	0.4 3/0	1.2 5/3	—
T. Sibbick n 8	84.4	1.3 6/3	0.5 3/1	—
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Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Chauke n 8	89	2.1 7/4
C. Tilt n 8	90	1.4 7/3
C. Webster n 8	87.6	0.8 5/1
T. Sibbick n 8	84.4	2.7 4/4
W. Collar n 8	59.1	2.1 7/3
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Burton Albion Attacking

Burton Albion — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Webster	14	871223 min	20.1 /90	00 /90	312.3 /90	90.7 /90	231.7 /90	120.9 /90
M. Dennis	10	53534 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	162.7 /90	50.8 /90	20.3 /90	71.2 /90
Caylan Vickers	5	74370 min	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	51.2 /90	20.5 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90
G. Arubi	5	48239 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	124.5 /90	41.5 /90	20.8 /90	51.9 /90
K. Adom	5	31155 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90
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Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Addai n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Chauke n 8	89	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
C. Tilt n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
C. Webster n 8	87.6	2.2 8/6	0.4 3/0
T. Sibbick n 8	84.4	0.8 3/2	0.1 1/0
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Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Addai n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Chauke n 8	89	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
C. Tilt n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Webster n 8	87.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Sibbick n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Luton

Luton Goalkeeper

Luton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Shea	8	90720 min	263.3 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
Joshua Keeley	8	90720 min	172.1 /90	141.8 /90	00 /90

Luton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Shea n 8	90	3.2 6/5
Joshua Keeley n 8	90	2.1 5/1

Luton Defensive

Luton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Johnston	16	881408 min	110.7 /90	100.6 /90	100.6 /90	855.4 /90	60.4 /90	20.1 /90
I. Jones	15	65979 min	282.6 /90	70.6 /90	10.1 /90	706.4 /90	121.1 /90	10.1 /90
M. Andersen	12	901074 min	90.8 /90	181.5 /90	50.4 /90	715.9 /90	151.3 /90	20.2 /90
H. Odoffin	11	84928 min	212 /90	161.6 /90	70.7 /90	757.3 /90	90.9 /90	00 /90
K. Naismith	10	74737 min	212.6 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90	617.4 /90	81 /90	20.2 /90
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Luton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Johnston n 8	86	0.4 3/0	0.4 2/1	—
L. Walsh n 8	83.9	1.3 7/3	0.9 4/2	—
K. Palmer n 8	78.3	2.3 7/5	1.4 5/3	—
I. Jones n 8	67.5	1 3/2	2.5 5/5	—
J. Richards n 8	46.4	1.2 2/1	2.7 5/4	—
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Luton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Johnston n 8	86	0.4 3/0
L. Walsh n 8	83.9	2 7/5
K. Palmer n 8	78.3	1.9 7/4
I. Jones n 8	67.5	3.5 7/6
J. Richards n 8	46.4	0.7 3/0
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Luton Attacking

Luton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
N. Wells	15	57858 min	80.8 /90	20.2 /90	293 /90	171.8 /90	70.7 /90	40.4 /90
C. Marshall	11	53578 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	193 /90	60.9 /90	60.9 /90	20.3 /90
G. Kodua	7	46322 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	92.5 /90	41.1 /90	82.2 /90	61.7 /90
S. Morris	1	2222 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.1 /90	14.1 /90	00 /90	14.1 /90
D. Cole	1	1919 min	14.7 /90	00 /90	14.7 /90	14.7 /90	14.7 /90	00 /90
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Luton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Johnston n 8	86	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
L. Walsh n 8	83.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
K. Palmer n 8	78.3	2.2 7/5	0.7 4/1
I. Jones n 8	67.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
J. Richards n 8	46.4	0.7 3/0	0.5 2/0
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Luton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Johnston n 8	86	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
L. Walsh n 8	83.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Palmer n 8	78.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
I. Jones n 8	67.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Richards n 8	46.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Burton Albion v Luton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Burton AlbionLDDWL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

LutonWWWWD

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Burton Albion 1 · 1 draw · Luton 2 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-02-21 Luton 1–1 Burton Albion
2025-08-30 Burton Albion 0–3 Luton
2019-04-27 Burton Albion 2–1 Luton
2018-12-22 Luton 2–0 Burton Albion

League standing · 2026/27

Burton Albion#15 pos17 pts14 pl-3 GD

Luton#4 pos24 pts14 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Burton Albion scored1.29

Luton scored1.93

Burton Albion conceded1.5

Luton conceded1.5

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Burton Albion and Luton?: In their last 4 meetings, Burton Albion won 1, Luton won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Burton Albion and Luton?: Recent form — Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L; Luton 4W 1D 0L.

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