Exeter CityDoncaster

Exeter City v Doncaster result

Full-time · Exeter City 3–0 Doncaster

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Exeter City · Doncaster

The model’s pre-match pick

Exeter City 3–0 Doncaster — Exeter City won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Exeter City beat Doncaster 3–0 in League One on Monday 6 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Doncaster out-shot Exeter City 19 to 13 and created the better chances, 2.65 xG to 1.23 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Exeter City led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Exeter City: Jayden Wareham (42’, 84’) and Joshua Magennis (69’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jayden Wareham’s goal on 42 minutes.

Discipline

A. Dale showed one yellow card — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Exeter City: Jayden Wareham (20’).

What it changes

Exeter City move up from 21st to 20th (42 league matches played). Exeter City have scored 52 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Exeter City have conceded 61 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Doncaster stay 17th after this result (41 league matches played). Doncaster have scored 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Doncaster have conceded 69 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jayden Wareham (Exeter City) 10.5, Carlos Gomes (Exeter City) 4.9 and Joshua Magennis (Exeter City) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Doncaster, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Exeter City next host Cheltenham on 14 November 2026.

Doncaster next host Leyton Orient on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Exeter City: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Doncaster: Doncaster v Leyton Orient, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Exeter City 3–0 Doncaster · League One
  • Referee: A. Dale
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Exeter City 0 · draws 0 · Doncaster 1 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Exeter City 0W 1D 4L · Doncaster 3W 1D 1L

Exeter City 3–0 Doncaster (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 3.88
Corners
against 5.75 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.5
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameExeter City for / againstLineDoncaster for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
9.63 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 11.88 against n 8
Shots on target
2.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
2.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 9.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: A. Dale.

Exeter City

Exeter City Goalkeeper

Exeter City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Whitworth41903690 min1112.7 /90641.6 /9000 /90
Exeter City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Whitworth n 890
3.68/5

Exeter City Defensive

Exeter City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Fitzwater30882646 min381.3 /90381.3 /90291 /901434.9 /90210.7 /9060.2 /90
L. Woodhouse25872186 min411.7 /90200.8 /90230.9 /901496.1 /90220.9 /9020.1 /90
E. Turns20831655 min291.6 /90372 /90140.8 /901156.3 /90191 /9020.1 /90
I. Niskanen42903787 min922.2 /90270.6 /9080.2 /901724.1 /90421 /9050.1 /90
E. Brierley41843462 min441.1 /90210.5 /9080.2 /90862.2 /90230.6 /9040.1 /90
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Exeter City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Niskanen n 890.9
1.26/3
0.11/0
L. Molyneux
J. Wareham n 883
3.38/7
1.14/2
—
J. Whitworth n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
E. Brierley n 879.3
0.32/0
0.75/0
O. Bailey
J. Aitchison n 874.8
1.45/2
26/4
—
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Exeter City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Niskanen n 890.9
3.18/7
J. Wareham n 883
1.16/2
E. Brierley n 879.3
1.16/2
J. Aitchison n 874.8
1.55/3
J. McMillan n 884
2.47/5
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Exeter City Attacking

Exeter City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Wareham42753168 min160.5 /9020.1 /90661.9 /90341 /90230.7 /9080.2 /90
J. Aitchison37642383 min10 /9040.2 /90140.5 /9080.3 /90220.8 /90291.1 /90
R. Cole31541689 min50.3 /9030.2 /90281.5 /90150.8 /90201.1 /90140.7 /90
J. Magennis27551484 min50.3 /9010.1 /90191.2 /90100.6 /90140.8 /9070.4 /90
Akeel Higgins25421049 min10.1 /9010.1 /90151.3 /9080.7 /90110.9 /90161.4 /90
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Exeter City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Niskanen n 890.9
0.22/0
0.11/0
J. Wareham n 883
1.55/4
0.43/0
J. Whitworth n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Brierley n 879.3
0.32/0
00/0
J. Aitchison n 874.8
0.63/1
0.32/0
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Exeter City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Niskanen n 890.9
0.11/0
00/0
J. Wareham n 883
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Whitworth n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Brierley n 879.3
00/0
00/0
J. Aitchison n 874.8
00/0
00/0
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Doncaster

Doncaster Goalkeeper

Doncaster — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Lo-Tutala29902610 min702.4 /90451.6 /9010 /90
Doncaster — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Lo-Tutala n 890
24/4

Doncaster Defensive

Doncaster — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Senior32742380 min602.3 /90291.1 /90150.6 /901555.9 /90210.8 /9060.2 /90
J. McGrath30822458 min291.1 /90321.2 /90170.6 /901505.5 /90301.1 /9080.3 /90
J. Sterry27802151 min552.3 /90180.8 /9070.3 /901184.9 /90341.4 /9040.2 /90
M. Pearson25832064 min271.2 /90251.1 /90100.4 /901687.3 /90180.8 /9030.1 /90
J. Maxwell22761668 min573.1 /90301.6 /9020.1 /901297 /90100.5 /9030.2 /90
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Doncaster — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Bailey n 890
1.46/4
0.95/2
E. Brierley
L. Molyneux n 889.4
0.84/1
1.35/3
I. Niskanen
J. Gibson n 840.5
0.62/0
1.14/0
—
R. Gotts n 884.1
1.67/4
27/5
—
J. Senior n 890
0.43/0
14/2
—
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Doncaster — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
1.97/4
L. Molyneux n 889.4
1.67/3
J. Gibson n 840.5
1.93/2
R. Gotts n 884.1
1.97/6
J. Senior n 890
3.18/7
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Doncaster Attacking

Doncaster — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Sharp32541743 min30.2 /9020.1 /90221.1 /90120.6 /90110.6 /9060.3 /90
B. Hanlan28611708 min50.3 /9000 /90160.8 /90110.6 /9080.4 /90110.6 /90
Francis Okoronkwo469277 min10.3 /9000 /9051.6 /9020.6 /9031 /9031 /90
O. Bailey45873919 min140.3 /9050.1 /90581.3 /90280.6 /90431 /90110.3 /90
L. Molyneux41823374 min80.2 /9090.2 /90571.5 /90250.7 /90551.5 /90561.5 /90
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Doncaster — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
1.36/3
0.32/0
L. Molyneux n 889.4
1.88/4
0.54/0
J. Gibson n 840.5
1.14/0
00/0
R. Gotts n 884.1
0.84/2
0.11/0
J. Senior n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Doncaster — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Molyneux n 889.4
0.32/0
00/0
J. Gibson n 840.5
00/0
00/0
R. Gotts n 884.1
00/0
0.31/1
J. Senior n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Exeter CityDoncaster
39%Possession61%
1.23Expected goals (xG)2.65
13Shots19
6Shots on target10
2Shots off target7
5Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box11
7Corners4
1Offsides1
11Fouls10
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
10Saves3
245Passes383
58%Pass accuracy77%

Exeter City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bycroft90000000010
J. McMillan9000000006.6
P. Sweeney9000000107.7
D. Andrew9000002407.2
I. Niskanen9000002106.7
J. Wareham90204302Y9.7
C. Cummins8900002206.7
E. James7400110207.3
R. Cole7401112106.7
E. Brierley6300000007
Carlos Gomes6300002307.5
R. Rydel sub2700000106.7
J. Magennis sub2710110007.6
L. Woodhouse sub1601101006.9
J. Aitchison sub1600000106.9
Kevin McDonald sub800000006.6

Doncaster Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Lo-Tutala9000000006.7
J. Senior9000203005.6
R. Gotts9000001306.9
O. Bailey9000110106.7
L. Molyneux9000312106.6
B. Hanlan9000000106.9
H. Clifton6900533005.9
B. Close6900100306.9
G. Middleton6900111006.9
M. Pearson3700000007.3
N. Byrne2900110006.9
J. Sterry sub6100000206.7
E. Lee sub5300222006.3
J. McGrath sub2100110106.7
J. Gibson sub2100000006.2
H. Adelakun sub2100000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Exeter City v Doncaster — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Exeter CityLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
DoncasterWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Exeter City 0 · 0 draws · Doncaster 1 · 1 goals/game
  • 2025-08-02 Doncaster 1–0 Exeter City
League standing · 2025/26
Exeter City#21 pos49 pts46 pl-9 GD
Doncaster#14 pos60 pts46 pl-19 GD
Goals per game
Exeter City scored1.13
Doncaster scored1.09
Exeter City conceded1.33
Doncaster conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Exeter City v Doncaster?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Exeter City v Doncaster was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Exeter City and Doncaster?
In their last 1 meetings, Exeter City won 0, Doncaster won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Exeter City and Doncaster?
Recent form — Exeter City 0W 1D 4L; Doncaster 3W 1D 1L.

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