Exeter CityPeterborough

Exeter City v Peterborough result

Full-time · Exeter City 3–0 Peterborough

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Exeter City · Peterborough · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Exeter City 3–0 Peterborough — Exeter City won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1761 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Exeter City beat Peterborough 3–0 in League One on Saturday 30 August. Peterborough are winless in their last 14 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Exeter City led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Exeter City: Jayden Wareham (31’, assisted by Jake Doyle-Hayes) and Joshua Magennis (65’, assisted by Ilmari Niskanen; 68’, assisted by Ryan Rydel).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jayden Wareham’s goal on 31 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Exeter City 0.00, Peterborough 0.00, from 12 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Matthew Corlett, England showed five yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Exeter City: Jake Doyle-Hayes (49’), Jack Aitchison (64’) and Jackson Fitzwater (80’); Peterborough: George Nevett (9’) and M. Garbett (45+1’).

What it changes

Exeter City move up from 14th to 11th (six league matches played). Exeter City have scored 52 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Exeter City have conceded 61 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Peterborough move down from 23rd to 24th (six league matches played). Peterborough have scored 64 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Peterborough have conceded 68 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs.

It is Exeter City’s first win over Peterborough since 6 February 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joshua Magennis (Exeter City) 9.3, Jayden Wareham (Exeter City) 8.0 and Ryan Rydel (Exeter City) 7.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Peterborough are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Exeter City.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Exeter City or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1348 of 1761).

Next up

Exeter City next host Cheltenham on 14 November 2026.

Peterborough next host Oxford United on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Exeter City: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Peterborough: Peterborough v Oxford United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Exeter City 3–0 Peterborough · League One
  • Referee: Matthew Corlett, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Exeter City 2 · draws 1 · Peterborough 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Exeter City 2W 0D 3L · Peterborough 0W 1D 4L

Exeter City 3–0 Peterborough (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5
Corners
against 4.57 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.86 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 4.86 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.57 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameExeter City for / againstLinePeterborough for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.57 against n 7
9.5standard
5 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
8.43 for · 12.57 against n 7
19.5standard
10.25 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
2.86 for · 4.86 against n 7
8.5standard
2.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.71 for · 9.86 against n 7
21.5standard
13.13 for · 14.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.14 for · 1.57 against n 7
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Matthew Corlett, England.

Exeter City

Exeter City Defensive

Exeter City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Whitworth n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
S. Cox n 859.9
1.34/3
1.95/3
—
I. Niskanen n 887.5
1.25/2
0.32/0
A. Collins
E. Brierley n 590
13/1
0.42/0
A. Collins
E. Turns n 884.4
0.95/2
1.36/3
—
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Exeter City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Whitworth n 890
00/0
S. Cox n 859.9
0.63/0
E. Turns n 884.4
2.17/6
I. Niskanen n 887.5
1.77/4
E. Brierley n 590
1.43/2
See more players · Pro

Exeter City Attacking

Exeter City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Whitworth n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Cox n 859.9
1.14/1
0.42/0
J. Fitzwater n 887.5
0.83/2
0.11/0
I. Niskanen n 887.5
0.63/2
0.32/0
E. Brierley n 590
0.42/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro
Exeter City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Whitworth n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Cox n 859.9
0.21/0
00/0
J. Fitzwater n 887.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
I. Niskanen n 887.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
E. Brierley n 590
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Peterborough

Peterborough Defensive

Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Okagbue n 690
13/2
00/0
—
B. Khela n 688
1.76/4
26/4
—
A. Collins n 878.3
0.63/1
1.45/3
E. Brierley
A. Odoh n 865.4
0.53/0
1.96/3
—
C. Hayes n 847.4
2.44/2
2.16/3
—
See more players · Pro
Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Okagbue n 690
1.55/3
B. Khela n 688
25/4
A. Collins n 878.3
0.94/2
A. Odoh n 865.4
1.24/3
C. Hayes n 847.4
3.15/3
See more players · Pro

Peterborough Attacking

Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Okagbue n 690
0.21/0
00/0
B. Khela n 688
0.74/0
0.32/0
A. Collins n 878.3
0.63/1
0.43/0
A. Odoh n 865.4
0.53/0
0.32/0
C. Hayes n 847.4
0.52/0
0.52/0
See more players · Pro
Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Okagbue n 690
00/0
00/0
B. Khela n 688
00/0
00/0
A. Collins n 878.3
0.11/0
00/0
A. Odoh n 865.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Hayes n 847.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Exeter CityPeterborough
46%Possession54%
12Shots6
5Shots on target1
5Shots off target0
2Blocked shots5
10Shots inside the box2
5Corners5
5Offsides1
23Fouls9
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves2
413Passes495
77%Pass accuracy83%

Exeter City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Whitworth9000000006.9
J. McMillan9000000407.5
J. Fitzwater90001001Y7.2
E. Turns9000000107.7
I. Niskanen9001103307.9
E. Brierley9000001107
J. Aitchison85000002Y6.5
J. Magennis8520330008.6
J. Wareham7710310307.6
J. Doyle-Hayes76011031Y7.2
R. Rydel7601003407.3
P. Sweeney sub1400000006.6
L. Woodhouse sub1400000006.3
S. Cox sub1300000006.2
E. Francis sub1200000006.3
K. Wilson sub1200110006.6

Peterborough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Reyes9000000006.5
T. Lees9000000006.2
G. Nevett90000002Y5.2
A. Collins9000001207.2
M. Garbett90000000Y6.3
Gustav Lindgren9000110006.3
C. Johnston7000001006
K. Lisbie7000000005.9
P. Kioso5500000006.9
B. Khela5500000006.2
A. Odoh5500000006.2
Harley Mills sub3500000007.2
C. Hayes sub3500002106.5
K. Lolos sub3500001106.3
D. Okagbue sub2000000006.7
David Kamara sub2000000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Exeter City v Peterborough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Exeter CityWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
PeterboroughLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Exeter City 2 · 1 draw · Peterborough 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-01-21 Peterborough 1–1 Exeter City
  • 2024-08-24 Exeter City 1–2 Peterborough
  • 2024-03-02 Peterborough 2–1 Exeter City
  • 2024-02-06 Exeter City 2–1 Peterborough
  • 2023-04-10 Peterborough 3–1 Exeter City
  • 2022-11-12 Exeter City 3–2 Peterborough
League standing · 2025/26
Exeter City#21 pos49 pts46 pl-9 GD
Peterborough#18 pos53 pts46 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Exeter City scored1.13
Peterborough scored1.39
Exeter City conceded1.33
Peterborough conceded1.48

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Exeter City v Peterborough?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Exeter City v Peterborough was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Exeter City and Peterborough?
In their last 6 meetings, Exeter City won 2, Peterborough won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Exeter City and Peterborough?
Recent form — Exeter City 2W 0D 3L; Peterborough 0W 1D 4L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+