This Matchweek

LeicesterPlymouth

Leicester v Plymouth result

Full-time · Leicester 2–0 Plymouth

League One · · King Power Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Leicester · Plymouth

The model’s pre-match pick

Leicester 2–0 Plymouth — Leicester won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.67 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Leicester beat Plymouth 2–0 at King Power Stadium in League One on Tuesday 1 September.

The goals

Leicester led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Leicester: William Alves (45’, assisted by Louis Page) and Harry Howell (45’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with William Alves’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Leicester 1.49, Plymouth 1.15, from 18 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

H. Wager showed four yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Leicester: Jayden Joseph (43’), Harry Souttar (87’) and Samuel Braybrooke (90’); Plymouth: Xavier Amaechi (38’).

What it changes

Leicester move up from 17th to 10th (four league matches played).

Plymouth move down from 10th to 15th (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Louis Page (Leicester) 6.3, Harry Howell (Leicester) 6.2 and William Alves (Leicester) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Leicester next host Bradford on 14 November 2026.

Plymouth next travel to Sheffield Wednesday on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leicester: Leicester v Bradford, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Plymouth: Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Leicester 2–0 Plymouth · League One
  • Venue: King Power Stadium · Leicester, Leicestershire
  • Referee: H. Wager
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Leicester 1 · draws 0 · Plymouth 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Leicester 1W 2D 2L · Plymouth 2W 1D 2L

Leicester 2–0 Plymouth (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.38 / 6
Corners
against 6.13 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLeicester for / againstLinePlymouth for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
16.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 10.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
14.13 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: H. Wager.

Leicester

Leicester Goalkeeper

Leicester — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Stolarczyk393279 min92.9 /9031 /9000 /90
A. McCarthy290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Leicester — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Stolarczyk n 892.1
24/3

Leicester Defensive

Leicester — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Thomas589446 min81.6 /9040.8 /9030.6 /90193.8 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
H. Souttar492369 min30.7 /9041 /9020.5 /90163.9 /9061.5 /9010.2 /90
Jayden Joseph471282 min51.6 /9041.3 /9000 /90144.5 /9031 /9000 /90
C. Okoli393279 min41.3 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90165.2 /9031 /9000 /90
C. McFarlane290180 min42 /9010.5 /9000 /90147 /9021 /9000 /90
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Leicester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Braybrooke n 679.2
1.33/3
0.83/1
W. Evans
L. Thomas n 889.5
0.83/2
1.66/4
W. Harding
B. De Cordova-Reid n 863.5
1.43/2
0.74/0
W. Evans
T. Watson n 553
1.43/1
1.74/1
—
Wes Burns n 547.6
1.54/0
1.12/1
—
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Leicester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Braybrooke n 679.2
1.55/2
L. Thomas n 889.5
1.86/6
B. De Cordova-Reid n 863.5
0.52/1
T. Watson n 553
1.43/1
Wes Burns n 547.6
0.82/0
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Leicester Attacking

Leicester — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. De Cordova-Reid559296 min00 /9010.3 /9072.1 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9000 /90
T. Watson553265 min00 /9000 /9082.7 /9041.4 /9062 /9031 /90
A. Bristrić357170 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9021.1 /90
H. Howell349147 min00 /9000 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9053.1 /9074.3 /90
S. Braybrooke592459 min00 /9010.2 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90102 /9051 /90
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Leicester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Braybrooke n 679.2
1.34/1
0.41/1
L. Thomas n 889.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. De Cordova-Reid n 863.5
1.66/3
0.74/0
T. Watson n 553
2.74/2
1.42/2
Wes Burns n 547.6
0.41/0
0.41/0
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Leicester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Braybrooke n 679.2
00/0
0.21/0
L. Thomas n 889.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
B. De Cordova-Reid n 863.5
00/0
0.42/0
T. Watson n 553
00/0
00/0
Wes Burns n 547.6
0.41/0
00/0
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Plymouth

Plymouth Goalkeeper

Plymouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Mahoney492366 min51.2 /9041 /9000 /90
James Storer19090 min11 /9044 /9000 /90
Plymouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Mahoney n 491.5
1.21/1

Plymouth Defensive

Plymouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Harding590450 min61.2 /9051 /9020.4 /90204 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90
A. Hartridge492366 min143.4 /9061.5 /9010.2 /90194.7 /9071.7 /9000 /90
M. Ross487347 min71.8 /9051.3 /9000 /90297.5 /9051.3 /9000 /90
A. Mitchell463251 min31.1 /9020.7 /9000 /90207.2 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Julio Pleguezuelo456224 min41.6 /9020.8 /9000 /90156 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
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Plymouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Harding n 890
0.95/2
0.43/0
L. Thomas
H. White n 584.8
0.82/2
0.62/1
—
W. Evans n 580
2.55/3
0.73/0
B. De Cordova-Reid
A. Pepple n 880.5
2.77/6
1.47/3
—
X. Amaechi n 839.8
0.62/0
0.83/0
—
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Plymouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Harding n 890
1.17/2
H. White n 584.8
0.83/1
W. Evans n 580
1.13/2
A. Pepple n 880.5
0.42/1
X. Amaechi n 839.8
2.87/2
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Plymouth Attacking

Plymouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Evans580400 min10.2 /9000 /90102.3 /9040.9 /9061.4 /9010.2 /90
A. Pepple578391 min10.2 /9000 /9061.4 /9030.7 /9051.2 /9000 /90
X. Amaechi546228 min20.8 /9000 /9052 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9020.8 /90
A. Pepple18484 min00 /9000 /9022.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Tegan Finn13131 min00 /9000 /9012.9 /9012.9 /9000 /9000 /90
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Plymouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Harding n 890
0.11/0
00/0
H. White n 584.8
1.75/3
0.42/0
W. Evans n 580
2.35/4
0.93/1
A. Pepple n 880.5
1.56/2
0.84/2
X. Amaechi n 839.8
1.75/1
0.83/0
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Plymouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Harding n 890
00/0
00/0
H. White n 584.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
W. Evans n 580
0.21/0
00/0
A. Pepple n 880.5
0.42/1
00/0
X. Amaechi n 839.8
0.62/0
0.31/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LeicesterPlymouth
66%Possession34%
1.49Expected goals (xG)1.15
18Shots13
5Shots on target4
10Shots off target5
3Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box9
5Corners9
1Offsides7
5Fouls16
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves3
663Passes323
86%Pass accuracy71%

Leicester Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Souttar90001003Y8.3
L. Thomas9000000207.7
C. McFarlane9000211107.2
S. Braybrooke90001142Y7.2
L. Page9001114007.2
B. De Cordova-Reid9000303006.2
Jayden Joseph81001000Y6.6
W. Alves8110112008.5
H. Howell5210110007.2
A. Bristrić5200201106
J. Stolarczyk60000000–
A. McCarthy sub8400000007.5
Wes Burns sub3800100006.6
L. Cullen sub3800000006.6
T. Watson sub900100006.7
O. Aluko sub900000006.6

Plymouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Cooper9000000006
W. Harding9000001006.5
A. Mitchell9000001207.2
A. Hartridge9000211006.3
T. Bakinson9000001006.6
H. White9000002307.3
W. Evans9000110105.5
M. Mahoney9000000005.9
B. Ibrahim7000100406.7
Julio Pleguezuelo6100000106.2
R. Curtis4500000206.2
X. Amaechi45000002Y6.2
M. Sorinola sub4500100206.9
O. Irow sub4500202006.5
A. Pepple sub2900110006.5
C. Watts sub2000110006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leicester v Plymouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LeicesterWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
PlymouthWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Leicester 1 · 0 draws · Plymouth 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2024-04-12 Plymouth 1–0 Leicester
  • 2023-12-09 Leicester 4–0 Plymouth
League standing · 2026/27
Leicester#10 pos19 pts13 pl+3 GD
Plymouth#5 pos23 pts14 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Leicester scored1.69
Plymouth scored1.5
Leicester conceded1.46
Plymouth conceded1.36

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Leicester v Plymouth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leicester v Plymouth was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Leicester and Plymouth?
In their last 2 meetings, Leicester won 1, Plymouth won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leicester and Plymouth?
Recent form — Leicester 1W 2D 2L; Plymouth 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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