Leyton OrientBarnsley

Leyton Orient v Barnsley result

Full-time · Leyton Orient 1–3 Barnsley

League One · · Brisbane Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Leyton Orient 1–3 Barnsley — Barnsley won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.15 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Barnsley won 3–1 at Brisbane Road in League One on Saturday 29 August.

The goals

Barnsley led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Barnsley: MaKenzie Kirk (15’, assisted by Reyes Cleary), Cameron McGeehan (64’ pen) and Reyes Cleary (76’); Leyton Orient: N. Oyekunle (85’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with MaKenzie Kirk’s goal on 15 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Leyton Orient 0.73, Barnsley 1.99, from 7 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Jackson showed eight yellow cards — against 5.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Leyton Orient: Isaac Hayden (29’), T. Springett (73’), Theodore Archibald (75’) and Finley Stevens (78’); Barnsley: Jonathan Bland (28’), Tyrese Noslin (62’), Sam Gale (67’) and Cameron McGeehan (69’).

What it changes

Leyton Orient move down from 10th to 14th (three league matches played).

Barnsley move up from 18th to sixth (shared) (three league matches played).

Barnsley are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Reyes Cleary (Barnsley) 8.5, Cameron McGeehan (Barnsley) 7.7 and Finley Stevens (Leyton Orient) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Leyton Orient next travel to Doncaster on 14 November 2026.

Barnsley next travel to Wigan on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leyton Orient: Doncaster v Leyton Orient, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Barnsley: Wigan v Barnsley, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Leyton Orient 1–3 Barnsley · League One
  • Venue: Brisbane Road · London
  • Referee: S. Jackson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Leyton Orient 2 · draws 1 · Barnsley 3 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Leyton Orient 2W 2D 1L · Barnsley 1W 2D 2L

Leyton Orient 1–3 Barnsley (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5 / 7.29
Corners
against 4.86 / 6.14 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 4.14
Shots on target
against 4.57 / 5 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.57 / 1.86
Cards
against 1.43 / 1.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5.4 yellows
Referee · S. Jackson
20.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLeyton Orient for / againstLineBarnsley for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.86 against n 7
9.5standard
7.29 for · 6.14 against n 7
Shots
10.71 for · 13.14 against n 7
19.5standard
15.29 for · 14 against n 7
Shots on target
2.29 for · 4.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4.14 for · 5 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.29 for · 12 against n 7
21.5standard
11.57 for · 9.29 against n 7
Cards shown
1.57 for · 1.43 against n 7
3.5standard
1.86 for · 1.14 against n 7

Referee: S. Jackson — 5.4 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 20.2 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient Goalkeeper

Leyton Orient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Baxter376227 min52 /9020.8 /9000 /90
Noah Phillips14848 min23.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Leyton Orient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Baxter n 375.7
22/1

Leyton Orient Defensive

Leyton Orient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Olowu392275 min20.7 /9020.7 /9031 /90154.9 /9020.7 /9000 /90
P. Chinedu392275 min20.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90144.6 /9092.9 /9000 /90
F. Stevens389267 min51.7 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90175.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
S. Boniface269138 min10.7 /9010.7 /9000 /9063.9 /9032 /9000 /90
J. Morris23263 min22.9 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9045.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Leyton Orient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Chinedu n 391.7
2.93/3
1.32/2
T. Noslin
I. El Mizouni n 871.9
1.75/2
0.53/0
—
I. Hayden n 391.7
12/1
13/0
—
J. Olowu n 391.7
0.72/0
0.72/0
S. Gale
F. Stevens n 389
0.71/1
0.72/0
A. Kay
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Leyton Orient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. El Mizouni n 871.9
3.47/7
I. Hayden n 391.7
1.33/1
J. Olowu n 391.7
0.72/0
P. Chinedu n 391.7
0.71/1
F. Stevens n 389
1.73/1
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Leyton Orient Attacking

Leyton Orient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jaze Kabia365195 min00 /9020.9 /9010.5 /9000 /9031.4 /9000 /90
T. Springett340121 min10.7 /9010.7 /9021.5 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
T. Archibald17070 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /9033.9 /90
I. El Mizouni392275 min10.3 /9000 /9051.6 /9010.3 /9000 /9020.7 /90
I. Hayden392275 min00 /9000 /9031 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
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Leyton Orient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. El Mizouni n 871.9
1.36/2
0.21/0
I. Hayden n 391.7
12/1
00/0
J. Olowu n 391.7
0.31/0
0.31/0
P. Chinedu n 391.7
0.31/0
00/0
F. Stevens n 389
00/0
00/0
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Leyton Orient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. El Mizouni n 871.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Olowu n 391.7
0.31/0
00/0
I. Hayden n 391.7
00/0
00/0
P. Chinedu n 391.7
00/0
00/0
F. Stevens n 389
00/0
00/0
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Barnsley

Barnsley Goalkeeper

Barnsley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Rogan Ravenhill390270 min124 /9031 /9000 /90
Barnsley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rogan Ravenhill n 390
43/2

Barnsley Defensive

Barnsley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Gale390270 min51.7 /9041.3 /9000 /90113.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
A. Kay390269 min124 /9072.3 /9000 /90299.7 /9041.3 /9000 /90
T. Noslin388265 min20.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /9072.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Noah Philip Town32060 min11.5 /9000 /9000 /9023 /9023 /9000 /90
J. Earl290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9031.5 /90178.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
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Barnsley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Patrick Kelly n 887.9
0.84/1
0.64/1
—
S. Gale n 390
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Olowu
Rogan Ravenhill n 390
00/0
0.31/0
—
A. Kay n 389.7
1.32/2
23/1
F. Stevens
T. Noslin n 388.3
0.72/0
0.71/1
P. Chinedu
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Barnsley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Gale n 390
1.73/1
Patrick Kelly n 887.9
15/3
A. Kay n 389.7
43/3
T. Noslin n 388.3
0.72/0
C. McGeehan n 872.9
1.97/3
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Barnsley Attacking

Barnsley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Cleary365195 min10.5 /9000 /9073.2 /9052.3 /9041.8 /9094.2 /90
M. Kirk351154 min00 /9000 /9042.3 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
Clayton Taylor12323 min00 /9000 /9013.9 /9013.9 /9000 /9000 /90
Patrick Kelly390270 min00 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /90113.7 /9051.7 /90
C. McGeehan387260 min00 /9000 /9041.4 /9010.3 /9031 /9031 /90
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Barnsley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Patrick Kelly n 887.9
0.63/2
0.32/0
S. Gale n 390
00/0
00/0
Rogan Ravenhill n 390
00/0
00/0
A. Kay n 389.7
1.32/1
0.31/0
T. Noslin n 388.3
2.73/3
0.72/0
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Barnsley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Patrick Kelly n 887.9
00/0
0.11/0
S. Gale n 390
00/0
00/0
Rogan Ravenhill n 390
00/0
00/0
A. Kay n 389.7
00/0
00/0
T. Noslin n 388.3
0.31/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Leyton OrientBarnsley
47%Possession53%
0.73Expected goals (xG)1.99
7Shots16
3Shots on target7
2Shots off target5
2Blocked shots4
2Shots inside the box11
4Corners9
0Offsides3
12Fouls14
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Saves2
285Passes325
62%Pass accuracy65%

Leyton Orient Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Noah Phillips9000000007
F. Stevens90000009Y6.9
J. Olowu9000001005.9
I. El Mizouni9000210606.9
P. Chinedu9000000106.3
T. Springett90000012Y6.3
Y. Akhamrich6900111306.6
J. Morris6900000105.9
Jaze Kabia6000101006.7
I. Hayden60000000Y6.3
A. Dobra4500000206.7
Z. Obiero sub4500000206.9
S. Clare sub3000000205.9
T. Archibald sub30000000Y6
N. Oyekunle sub2110110007.5
D. Mitchell sub2100000106.3

Barnsley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Noslin90002134Y6.9
C. O'Riordan9000111006.2
C. McGeehan90101111Y7.6
Jonathan Bland90000011Y6.7
Rogan Ravenhill9000000006.5
S. Gale90001001Y6.9
A. Kay9000001206.3
Patrick Kelly8900111006.2
R. Cleary7911112008.3
M. Kirk7210520007.5
Luke William Alker4500000106.3
C. O'Keeffe1100000006.5
Amani Richards sub4500001107.2
Leo Farrell sub1800000006.3
C. O'Keeffe sub1100000005.6
Noah Philip Town sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leyton Orient v Barnsley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Leyton OrientDWLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
BarnsleyLDLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Leyton Orient 2 · 1 draw · Barnsley 3 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-28 Leyton Orient 1–3 Barnsley
  • 2025-12-13 Barnsley 3–2 Leyton Orient
  • 2025-04-18 Leyton Orient 4–3 Barnsley
  • 2024-12-21 Barnsley 0–4 Leyton Orient
  • 2024-02-10 Barnsley 2–1 Leyton Orient
  • 2023-10-21 Leyton Orient 1–1 Barnsley
League standing · 2026/27
Leyton Orient#14 pos17 pts13 pl+5 GD
Barnsley#23 pos9 pts12 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Leyton Orient scored1.46
Barnsley scored1
Leyton Orient conceded1.08
Barnsley conceded1.83

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Leyton Orient v Barnsley?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leyton Orient v Barnsley was Under 2.5 goals (best price 2.15 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Leyton Orient and Barnsley?
In their last 6 meetings, Leyton Orient won 2, Barnsley won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leyton Orient and Barnsley?
Recent form — Leyton Orient 2W 2D 1L; Barnsley 1W 2D 2L.

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