Lincoln v AFC Wimbledon result

Full-time · Lincoln 1–0 AFC Wimbledon

League One · Fri, 03 Apr 2026 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lincoln · AFC Wimbledon · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lincoln 1–0 AFC Wimbledon — Lincoln won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 277 landed (95% range 73.9–83.4%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Lincoln beat AFC Wimbledon 1–0 in League One on Friday 3 April. Lincoln are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. AFC Wimbledon are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lincoln: Ryan Oné (88’, assisted by Ryley Towler).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ryan Oné’s goal on 88 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Lincoln 0.00, AFC Wimbledon 0.00, from 8 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Duckworth showed five yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lincoln: R. Hackett (52’); AFC Wimbledon: Joe Lewis (59’), Antwoine Hackford (61’), Nathan Bishop (76’) and Omar Bugiel (90+2’).

What it changes

Lincoln stay first after this result (40 league matches played). Lincoln have scored 89 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Lincoln have conceded 41 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs.

AFC Wimbledon move down from 14th to 16th (40 league matches played). AFC Wimbledon have scored 51 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). AFC Wimbledon have conceded 72 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.

Lincoln have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Patrick Bauer (AFC Wimbledon) 4.4, Benjamin House (Lincoln) 4.3 and Ryan Oné (Lincoln) 4.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lincoln to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 79.1% of the time in the last 90 days (219 of 277).

Next up

Lincoln next host Wrexham on 21 November 2026.

AFC Wimbledon next host Blackpool on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lincoln: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for AFC Wimbledon: AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Lincoln 1–0 AFC Wimbledon · League One
Referee: E. Duckworth
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Lincoln 2 · draws 2 · AFC Wimbledon 2 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Lincoln 4W 1D 0L · AFC Wimbledon 1W 1D 3L

Lincoln 1–0 AFC Wimbledon (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.63 / 1.63

Goals

against 0.38 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 6.63

Corners

against 4.13 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.25 / 5

Shots on target

against 1.88 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 0.88

Cards

against 2 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3 yellows

Referee · E. Duckworth

21.45 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 11 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Lincoln for / against	Line	AFC Wimbledon for / against
Goals scored	2.63 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.13 for · 8.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.5 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.75 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: E. Duckworth — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 21.45 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lincoln

Lincoln Defensive

Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Darikwa n 8	89.5	0.4 3/0	0.5 4/0	R. Johnson
C. McGrandles n 8	88	1 5/3	1.8 7/4	S. Seddon
R. Street n 8	75.5	1.2 5/2	0.9 4/2	—
S. Bradley n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.8 6/0	R. Johnson
G. Wickens n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
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Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Darikwa n 8	89.5	1.8 6/4
C. McGrandles n 8	88	2.4 6/5
R. Street n 8	75.5	0.4 3/0
S. Bradley n 8	90	0.5 3/1
G. Wickens n 8	90	0 0/0
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Lincoln Attacking

Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Darikwa n 8	89.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
C. McGrandles n 8	88	0.5 3/1	0.3 1/1
R. Street n 8	75.5	1.8 6/3	1.2 5/2
S. Bradley n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.5 3/1
G. Wickens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Darikwa n 8	89.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
C. McGrandles n 8	88	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
R. Street n 8	75.5	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
S. Bradley n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Wickens n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon Defensive

AFC Wimbledon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Seddon n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.4 2/1	C. McGrandles
A. Smith n 8	86.9	1.2 6/2	1.4 5/4	—
I. Ogundere n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.6 4/1	—
R. Johnson n 8	88.8	0.5 3/1	0.8 5/1	S. Bradley
N. Bishop n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
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AFC Wimbledon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Seddon n 8	90	1.4 6/2
A. Smith n 8	86.9	2.3 7/6
I. Ogundere n 8	90	1.8 5/4
R. Johnson n 8	88.8	2 7/5
N. Bishop n 8	90	0 0/0
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AFC Wimbledon Attacking

AFC Wimbledon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Seddon n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
A. Smith n 8	86.9	0.5 2/1	0.1 1/0
I. Ogundere n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Johnson n 8	88.8	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
N. Bishop n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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AFC Wimbledon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Seddon n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
A. Smith n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
I. Ogundere n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
R. Johnson n 8	88.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
N. Bishop n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Lincoln		AFC Wimbledon
48%	Possession	52%
8	Shots	9
4	Shots on target	1
3	Shots off target	5
1	Blocked shots	3
5	Shots inside the box	3
2	Corners	7
3	Offsides	2
12	Fouls	15
1	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
311	Passes	319
59%	Pass accuracy	59%

Lincoln Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Wickens	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
T. Hamer	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.3
S. Bradley	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
R. Towler	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	7
C. McGrandles	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.5
J. Moylan	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
T. Darikwa	81	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.7
R. Hackett	81	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.9
B. House	81	0	0	1	1	0	4	0	7.2
T. Bayliss	67	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
R. Street	60	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
R. Oné sub	30	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	6.9
Ivan Varfolomeev sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
D. Jefferies sub	9	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.7
D. Elerewe sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Lloyd sub	9	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.6

AFC Wimbledon Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Bishop	90	0	0	0	0	Y	7.9
J. Lewis	90	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
I. Ogundere	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
C. Maycock	90	1	1	1	1	0	6.3
A. Smith	90	2	0	0	2	0	6.7
S. Seddon	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
Omar Bugiel	90	0	0	1	0	Y	6.2
P. Bauer	89	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Z. Nelson	87	2	0	0	1	0	6.3
A. Hackford	66	0	0	1	0	Y	5.9
R. Johnson	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Junior Nkeng sub	45	1	0	1	2	0	6.9
O. Foyo sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Kai Jennings sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
N. Asiimwe sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lincoln v AFC Wimbledon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LincolnWWWDW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

AFC WimbledonWLLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lincoln 2 · 2 draws · AFC Wimbledon 2 · 1.67 goals/game

2025-08-09 AFC Wimbledon 2–0 Lincoln
2022-03-12 AFC Wimbledon 0–2 Lincoln
2021-10-19 Lincoln 0–1 AFC Wimbledon
2021-05-09 Lincoln 0–0 AFC Wimbledon
2021-01-02 AFC Wimbledon 1–2 Lincoln
2019-11-02 AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Lincoln

League standing · 2025/26

Lincoln#1 pos103 pts46 pl+48 GD

AFC Wimbledon#19 pos53 pts46 pl-21 GD

Goals per game

Lincoln scored1.93

AFC Wimbledon scored1.11

Lincoln conceded0.89

AFC Wimbledon conceded1.57

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lincoln v AFC Wimbledon?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Lincoln v AFC Wimbledon was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Lincoln and AFC Wimbledon?: In their last 6 meetings, Lincoln won 2, AFC Wimbledon won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lincoln and AFC Wimbledon?: Recent form — Lincoln 4W 1D 0L; AFC Wimbledon 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.