Luton v Bolton result
Luton 1–1 Bolton — this League One match was drawn.
The result
Luton and Bolton drew 1–1 in League One on Saturday 29 November. Bolton are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.
The goals
Bolton led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Bolton: Kyle Dempsey (8’, assisted by Jordi Osei-Tutu); Luton: Gideon Kodua (83’, assisted by Millenic Alli). Xavier Simons (70’) was sent off.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Luton 1.08, Bolton 1.27, from 19 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Ruebyn Ricardo, England showed four yellow cards and one red — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Luton: N. Lonwijk (57’); Bolton: Xavier Simons (53’), Joshua Dacres-Cogley (61’) and Xavier Simons (70’).
What it changes
Luton stay seventh after this result (18 league matches played). Luton have scored 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Luton have conceded 56 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Bolton move down from fourth to sixth (17 league matches played). Bolton have scored 70 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Bolton have conceded 52 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Hakeem Odoffin (Luton) 7.4, Jordi Osei-Tutu (Bolton) 7.0 and Kyle Dempsey (Bolton) 5.0 led the match.
Next up
Luton next host Cambridge United on 14 November 2026.
Bolton next host Portsmouth on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Luton: Luton v Cambridge United, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Bolton: Bolton v Portsmouth, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Luton 1–1 Bolton · League One
- Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo, England
- Head-to-head (last 2): Luton 1 · draws 1 · Bolton 0 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Luton 3W 1D 1L · Bolton 4W 1D 0L
Luton 1–1 Bolton (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 November 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Luton for / against | Line | Bolton for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.86 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.13 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.29 for · 8.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.71 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.13 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.14 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo, England.
Luton
Luton Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| K. Naismith n 8 | 90 | 1 | 1.3 | M. Conway |
| G. Saville n 8 | 87.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | X. Simons |
| C. Bramall n 8 | 72.4 | 0.3 | 0 | X. Simons |
| G. Kodua n 8 | 52.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| K. Naismith n 8 | 90 | 0.8 |
| G. Saville n 8 | 87.6 | 2.2 |
| C. Bramall n 8 | 72.4 | 1.4 |
| G. Kodua n 8 | 52.3 | 1.5 |
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Luton Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Naismith n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| G. Saville n 8 | 87.6 | 0.1 | 0 |
| C. Bramall n 8 | 72.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| G. Kodua n 8 | 52.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Naismith n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Saville n 8 | 87.6 | 0 | 0.1 |
| C. Bramall n 8 | 72.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| G. Kodua n 8 | 52.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
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Bolton
Bolton Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Sharman-Lowe n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Cozier-Duberry n 8 | 88.6 | 1.3 | 1 | — |
| M. Conway n 8 | 86 | 0.5 | 1 | K. Naismith |
| Mason Paul James Burstow n 8 | 82.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | — |
| X. Simons n 8 | 75.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | C. Bramall |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Sharman-Lowe n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| A. Cozier-Duberry n 8 | 88.6 | 1.4 |
| M. Conway n 8 | 86 | 1.4 |
| Mason Paul James Burstow n 8 | 82.6 | 0.5 |
| X. Simons n 8 | 75.8 | 0.7 |
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Bolton Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Sharman-Lowe n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Cozier-Duberry n 8 | 88.6 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| M. Conway n 8 | 86 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Mason Paul James Burstow n 8 | 82.6 | 2.6 | 1 |
| X. Simons n 8 | 75.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Sharman-Lowe n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Cozier-Duberry n 8 | 88.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| M. Conway n 8 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| Mason Paul James Burstow n 8 | 82.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| X. Simons n 8 | 75.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Luton | Bolton | |
|---|---|---|
| 55% | Possession | 45% |
| 1.08 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.27 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 5 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 420 | Passes | 366 |
| 78% | Pass accuracy | 78% |
Luton Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. Mengi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Naismith | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| H. Odoffin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8.2 |
| L. Walsh | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| G. Saville | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| C. Bramall | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Yates | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| N. Lonwijk | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 7.3 |
| Lamine Dabo | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Brown | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| G. Kodua sub | 26 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Alli sub | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Morris sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
Bolton Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Sharman-Lowe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| E. Toal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| G. Johnston | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Conway | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Morley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Dacres-Cogley | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| J. Osei-Tutu | 80 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.5 |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | 79 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Dempsey | 74 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| X. Simons | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | RY | 6.3 |
| E. Erhahon sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| S. Dalby sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Forss sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| R. Taylor sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. McAtee sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Luton v Bolton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-01-16 Bolton 1–2 Luton
- 2024-01-07 Luton 0–0 Bolton
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Luton and Bolton?
- In their last 2 meetings, Luton won 1, Bolton won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Luton and Bolton?
- Recent form — Luton 3W 1D 1L; Bolton 4W 1D 0L.
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