Luton v Lincoln result
Luton 2–2 Lincoln — this League One match was drawn.
The result
Luton and Lincoln drew 2–2 in League One on Saturday 17 January. Lincoln are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Lincoln: Frederick Draper (11’, assisted by Jack Moylan) and Robert Street (22’, assisted by Thomas Hamer); Luton: Gideon Kodua (35’, assisted by Liam Walsh) and Nahki Wells (45’, assisted by Kallum Naismith).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Luton 1.71, Lincoln 1.81, from 18 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Scott Oldham, England showed six yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Luton: Cohen Bramall (49’); Lincoln: Robert Street (39’), Ivan Varfolomeev (45+6’), Conor McGrandles (46’), Dominic Jefferies (75’) and Frederick Draper (90+5’).
What it changes
Luton stay seventh after this result (26 league matches played). Luton have scored 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Luton have conceded 56 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Lincoln stay second after this result (26 league matches played). Lincoln have scored 89 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Lincoln have conceded 41 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs.
Lincoln have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Liam Walsh (Luton) 9.0, Gideon Kodua (Luton) 6.9 and Kallum Naismith (Luton) 6.1 led the match.
Next up
Luton next host Cambridge United on 14 November 2026.
Lincoln next host Wrexham on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Luton: Luton v Cambridge United, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Lincoln: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Luton 2–2 Lincoln · League One
- Referee: Scott Oldham, England
- Head-to-head (last 3): Luton 1 · draws 1 · Lincoln 1 · 3.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Luton 3W 0D 2L · Lincoln 4W 1D 0L
Luton 2–2 Lincoln (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Luton for / against | Line | Lincoln for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.86 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.38 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11 for · 9.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.25 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.71 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11 for · 11.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.38 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.14 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Scott Oldham, England — 4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23 fouls over 5 matches.
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Luton
Luton Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 | — |
| G. Saville n 8 | 65.8 | 1 | 1.7 | — |
| C. Bramall n 8 | 73.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | C. McGrandles |
| G. Kodua n 8 | 81.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | R. Street |
| K. Naismith n 8 | 82.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | S. Bradley |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| G. Saville n 8 | 65.8 | 1.4 |
| C. Bramall n 8 | 73.5 | 0.3 |
| G. Kodua n 8 | 81.9 | 0.8 |
| K. Naismith n 8 | 82.6 | 1.4 |
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Luton Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Saville n 8 | 65.8 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Bramall n 8 | 73.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| G. Kodua n 8 | 81.9 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| K. Naismith n 8 | 82.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Saville n 8 | 65.8 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Bramall n 8 | 73.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| G. Kodua n 8 | 81.9 | 0.8 | 0 |
| K. Naismith n 8 | 82.6 | 0 | 0 |
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Lincoln
Lincoln Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Darikwa n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 0.8 | — |
| C. McGrandles n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 1 | C. Bramall |
| R. Street n 8 | 68.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | G. Kodua |
| S. Bradley n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.4 | K. Naismith |
| F. Draper n 8 | 60.9 | 1.5 | 1.8 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Darikwa n 8 | 90 | 2 |
| C. McGrandles n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
| R. Street n 8 | 68.3 | 2.5 |
| S. Bradley n 8 | 90 | 0.1 |
| F. Draper n 8 | 60.9 | 1.3 |
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Lincoln Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Darikwa n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| C. McGrandles n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| R. Street n 8 | 68.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| S. Bradley n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| F. Draper n 8 | 60.9 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Darikwa n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| C. McGrandles n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Street n 8 | 68.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| S. Bradley n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| F. Draper n 8 | 60.9 | 0.2 | 0 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Luton | Lincoln | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Possession | 44% |
| 1.71 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.81 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 403 | Passes | 314 |
| 77% | Pass accuracy | 68% |
Luton Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Lonwijk | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Andersen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| K. Naismith | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Johnson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| L. Walsh | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| C. Bramall | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| J. Clark | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Wells | 89 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| G. Kodua | 77 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Emilio Lawrence | 60 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Morris sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Richards sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Yates sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Lincoln Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Wickens | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Darikwa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Hamer | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Bradley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Reach | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. McGrandles | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Y | 7.7 |
| R. Street | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| F. Draper | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| R. Hackett | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Moylan | 68 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Ivan Varfolomeev | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| D. Jefferies sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| E. Ring sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| R. Towler sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Luton v Lincoln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-09-20 Lincoln 3–1 Luton
- 2018-01-01 Luton 4–2 Lincoln
- 2017-09-02 Lincoln 0–0 Luton
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Luton and Lincoln?
- In their last 3 meetings, Luton won 1, Lincoln won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Luton and Lincoln?
- Recent form — Luton 3W 0D 2L; Lincoln 4W 1D 0L.
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