LutonPeterborough

Luton v Peterborough result

Full-time · Luton 2–1 Peterborough

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Luton · Peterborough · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Luton 2–1 Peterborough — Luton won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Luton beat Peterborough 2–1 in League One on Friday 3 April. Luton have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Peterborough have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Luton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Luton: Jake Richards (20’, assisted by Kallum Naismith) and Jordan Clark (50’, assisted by Emilio Lawrence); Peterborough: J. Morgan (75’, assisted by Kyrell Lisbie).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jake Richards’s goal on 20 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Luton 0.00, Peterborough 0.00, from 17 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

I. Searle showed five yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Luton: Joshua Keeley (33’), Kallum Naismith (80’) and Kasey Palmer (90+4’); Peterborough: Kyrell Lisbie (80’) and David Kamara (90+3’).

What it changes

Luton stay 11th after this result (40 league matches played). Luton have scored 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Luton have conceded 56 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Peterborough move down from 12th to 14th (39 league matches played). Peterborough have scored 64 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Peterborough have conceded 68 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs.

Luton are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jimmy Morgan (Peterborough) 8.8, Kallum Naismith (Luton) 7.0 and Jordan Clark (Luton) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Luton are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Peterborough.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Luton or Peterborough (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Luton next host Cambridge United on 14 November 2026.

Peterborough next host Oxford United on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Luton: Luton v Cambridge United, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Peterborough: Peterborough v Oxford United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Luton 2–1 Peterborough · League One
  • Referee: I. Searle
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Luton 3 · draws 1 · Peterborough 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Luton 2W 2D 1L · Peterborough 1W 3D 1L

Luton 2–1 Peterborough (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 3.13
Corners
against 4.88 / 7.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLuton for / againstLinePeterborough for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.13 for · 7.63 against n 8
Shots
12.13 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.63 for · 17.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 6.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 15.63 against n 8
21.5standard
8.25 for · 13.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: I. Searle.

Luton

Luton Defensive

Luton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joshua Keeley n 890
00/0
0.95/2
—
N. Lonwijk n 888.8
1.47/3
0.32/0
—
J. Clark n 889.9
0.95/2
1.35/3
K. Lisbie
G. Kodua n 862.5
0.74/0
1.65/2
—
G. Saville n 871.3
1.96/6
2.46/3
—
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Luton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joshua Keeley n 890
00/0
N. Lonwijk n 888.8
2.27/5
J. Clark n 889.9
1.87/4
G. Kodua n 862.5
1.66/3
G. Saville n 871.3
1.66/2
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Luton Attacking

Luton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joshua Keeley n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Lonwijk n 888.8
0.42/1
0.32/0
J. Clark n 889.9
1.57/2
0.42/1
G. Kodua n 862.5
1.16/0
0.74/0
G. Saville n 871.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Luton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joshua Keeley n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Lonwijk n 888.8
0.11/0
00/0
J. Clark n 889.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
G. Kodua n 862.5
00/0
0.21/0
G. Saville n 871.3
0.21/0
0.32/0
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Peterborough

Peterborough Goalkeeper

Peterborough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Bass33902970 min1123.4 /90421.3 /9000 /90
Peterborough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Bass n 890
4.46/6

Peterborough Defensive

Peterborough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Okagbue26782039 min251.1 /90170.8 /90251.1 /901386.1 /9090.4 /9020.1 /90
T. Lees25862159 min261.1 /90130.5 /90150.6 /901466.1 /9080.3 /9030.1 /90
James Dornelly20791574 min181 /90181 /9090.5 /90693.9 /9090.5 /9030.2 /90
Harley Mills18741339 min312.1 /90161.1 /9050.3 /90875.8 /90110.7 /9030.2 /90
A. Collins40893554 min621.6 /90561.4 /90250.6 /901894.8 /90300.8 /9070.2 /90
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Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Collins n 890
0.65/0
0.64/1
—
K. Lisbie n 885.1
0.54/0
0.84/1
J. Clark
B. Khela n 874.9
0.63/1
1.15/2
—
A. Bass n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
Jimmy Morgan n 879.3
1.36/3
47/7
—
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Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
1.46/3
K. Lisbie n 885.1
0.74/1
B. Khela n 874.9
2.68/4
Jimmy Morgan n 879.3
2.17/4
H. Leonard n 880.3
0.63/1
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Peterborough Attacking

Peterborough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jimmy Morgan31662054 min110.5 /9020.1 /90351.5 /90160.7 /90231 /90251.1 /90
H. Leonard30772318 min120.5 /9050.2 /90522 /90311.2 /90200.8 /9070.3 /90
Gustav Lindgren1541622 min30.4 /9010.1 /90101.4 /9081.2 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
A. Odoh1351667 min00 /9000 /9020.3 /9010.1 /9060.8 /9070.9 /90
A. Collins40893554 min30.1 /9070.2 /90220.6 /90120.3 /90280.7 /90150.4 /90
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Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
0.53/1
0.43/0
K. Lisbie n 885.1
1.27/2
0.96/1
B. Khela n 874.9
0.95/1
0.53/0
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
Jimmy Morgan n 879.3
2.17/5
1.36/2
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Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
K. Lisbie n 885.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
B. Khela n 874.9
00/0
0.21/0
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
Jimmy Morgan n 879.3
0.75/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LutonPeterborough
46%Possession54%
17Shots10
6Shots on target3
4Shots off target3
7Blocked shots4
15Shots inside the box4
7Corners4
3Offsides1
21Fouls12
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves4
364Passes436
75%Pass accuracy80%

Luton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Joshua Keeley90000000Y6.3
N. Lonwijk9000001207.3
H. Odoffin9000001306.9
K. Naismith90011114Y7
I. Jones9000000306.6
L. Walsh9000000306.9
J. Richards9010111007.7
D. van den Berg8300101106.3
J. Clark8310321007.5
Emilio Lawrence6501103007.5
N. Wells6500213007.3
D. Cole sub2500000006.5
G. Kodua sub2500000006.2
K. Palmer sub14001100Y6.9
G. Saville sub1400001006.6

Peterborough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Bass9000000006.6
James Dornelly9000000406.3
P. Kioso9000000106.3
Harley Mills9000100207.3
A. Collins9000210107.5
Jimmy Morgan9010211407.5
K. Lisbie90010010Y6.3
T. Lees7200000207.3
C. Hayes6100001206.3
B. Khela6000000206.7
H. Leonard6000110006.3
B. Woods sub3000001106.3
David Kamara sub30000010Y6.3
Bolu Shofowoke sub2900001206.6
D. Okagbue sub1800000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Luton v Peterborough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LutonLDWWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
PeterboroughDDLWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Luton 3 · 1 draw · Peterborough 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-08-09 Peterborough 0–2 Luton
  • 2022-04-05 Peterborough 1–1 Luton
  • 2021-08-07 Luton 3–0 Peterborough
  • 2019-01-19 Luton 4–0 Peterborough
  • 2018-08-18 Peterborough 3–1 Luton
League standing · 2025/26
Luton#7 pos74 pts46 pl+12 GD
Peterborough#18 pos53 pts46 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Luton scored1.48
Peterborough scored1.39
Luton conceded1.22
Peterborough conceded1.48

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Luton v Peterborough?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Luton v Peterborough was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Luton and Peterborough?
In their last 5 meetings, Luton won 3, Peterborough won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Luton and Peterborough?
Recent form — Luton 2W 2D 1L; Peterborough 1W 3D 1L.

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