Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion prediction

The match

Milton Keynes Dons host Burton Albion in League One on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Milton Keynes Dons or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Burton Albion, every meeting checked. Milton Keynes Dons have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Milton Keynes Dons’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Milton Keynes Dons’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Milton Keynes Dons have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.38. Milton Keynes Dons have scored 22 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Milton Keynes Dons have conceded 20 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.

10 of Burton Albion’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Burton Albion’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Burton Albion have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.57. Burton Albion have scored 18 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Burton Albion have conceded 21 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Milton Keynes Dons (12th) and Burton Albion (15th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Milton Keynes Dons the stronger side, 98 rating points above Burton Albion (Milton Keynes Dons 1542, Burton Albion 1444, after at least 234 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 May 2023, finished Burton Albion 0–0 Milton Keynes Dons.

Team news

Predicted Milton Keynes Dons XI (3-1-4-2): W. Dennis, C. Goode, M. Ekpiteta, J. Sanders, R. Wintle, A. Gilbey, E. Campbell, S. Silvera, D. Crowley, A. Collins, S. Nombe — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Aaron Collins (6.4 per match over 14 appearances, 13 goals and three assists) and Curtis Nelson (3.7 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Milton Keynes Dons’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Milton Keynes Dons (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Aaron Collins averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 1018 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Curtis Nelson averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 784 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Burton Albion XI (3-4-2-1): C. Addai, C. Tilt, T. Sibbick, J. Sraha, K. Chauke, R. Borges Rodrigues, C. Webster, W. Collar, H. Araujo, S. Krubally, M. O’Mahony — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Finn Delap (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) and Jack Armer (4.2 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Burton Albion’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burton Albion (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Finn Delap averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 853 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Jack Armer averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 979 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.