NorthamptonBarnsley

Northampton v Barnsley result

Full-time · Northampton 0–1 Barnsley

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Northampton 0–1 Barnsley — Barnsley won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.4% of 128 landed (95% range 77.1–89.7%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Barnsley won 1–0 at Northampton in League One on Tuesday 28 April. Northampton are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Barnsley led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Barnsley: Reyes Cleary (37’, assisted by Patrick Kelly).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Reyes Cleary’s goal on 37 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Northampton 0.00, Barnsley 0.00, from 14 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Jamie O'Connor, England showed two yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Northampton: Elliott List (87’); Barnsley: C. O'Keeffe (55’).

What it changes

Northampton stay 24th after this result (45 league matches played).

Barnsley move up from 15th to 13th (45 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nesta Guinness-Walker (Northampton) 5.8, Reyes Cleary (Barnsley) 5.6 and Luca Connell (Barnsley) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Barnsley are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Northampton, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Barnsley to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Northampton next travel to Salford City on 14 November 2026.

Barnsley next travel to Wigan on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Northampton: Salford City v Northampton, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Barnsley: Wigan v Barnsley, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Northampton 0–1 Barnsley · League One
  • Referee: Jamie O'Connor, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Northampton 0 · draws 3 · Barnsley 2 · 3.2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Northampton 0W 0D 5L · Barnsley 1W 2D 2L

Northampton 0–1 Barnsley (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 2.75 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4
Corners
against 5.88 / 6.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 6.63 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.8 yellows
Referee · Jamie O'Connor, England
22.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNorthampton for / againstLineBarnsley for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 6.75 against n 8
Shots
8.88 for · 18.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.38 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 6.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 8.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: Jamie O'Connor, England — 4.8 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.2 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Northampton

Northampton Defensive

Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Campbell n 873.3
0.85/0
0.96/0
Jonathan Bland
S. Hoskins n 864.6
15/1
0.73/1
Patrick Kelly
T. Taylor n 879.3
1.36/3
1.16/2
—
N. Guinness-Walker n 874.1
1.46/2
1.22/2
—
T. Fornah n 857.5
0.63/0
1.24/1
L. Connell
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Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Campbell n 873.3
26/3
S. Hoskins n 864.6
0.32/0
T. Taylor n 879.3
1.66/4
N. Guinness-Walker n 874.1
3.37/7
T. Fornah n 857.5
0.82/1
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Northampton Attacking

Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Campbell n 873.3
0.31/1
00/0
S. Hoskins n 864.6
0.93/2
0.73/1
T. Taylor n 879.3
0.63/1
0.11/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 874.1
00/0
00/0
T. Fornah n 857.5
0.21/0
00/0
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Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Campbell n 873.3
00/0
00/0
S. Hoskins n 864.6
0.21/0
00/0
T. Taylor n 879.3
00/0
00/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 874.1
00/0
0.21/0
T. Fornah n 857.5
00/0
00/0
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Barnsley

Barnsley Goalkeeper

Barnsley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Mahoney25902250 min622.5 /90441.8 /9000 /90
Barnsley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Mahoney n 890
2.34/4

Barnsley Defensive

Barnsley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Shepherd40843357 min260.7 /90290.8 /90431.2 /902386.4 /90280.8 /9090.2 /90
T. Watson34742505 min632.3 /90351.3 /90130.5 /901766.3 /90281 /9030.1 /90
M. de Gevigney28762121 min431.8 /90331.4 /90241 /901717.3 /90301.3 /9040.2 /90
N. Ogbeta23691598 min352 /90181 /9050.3 /90804.5 /90100.6 /9010.1 /90
E. O'Connell22851862 min211 /90170.8 /90170.8 /901165.6 /90120.6 /9040.2 /90
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Barnsley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Phillips n 861.6
0.95/0
0.21/0
—
Jonathan Bland n 873.1
0.95/1
0.95/1
D. Campbell
L. Connell n 873.1
1.46/3
0.53/0
T. Fornah
J. Shepherd n 879.5
0.43/0
1.15/2
—
Patrick Kelly n 886.6
1.25/2
0.84/2
S. Hoskins
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Barnsley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Phillips n 861.6
0.42/0
Jonathan Bland n 873.1
0.84/1
L. Connell n 873.1
2.67/5
J. Shepherd n 879.5
0.42/1
Patrick Kelly n 886.6
1.76/5
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Barnsley Attacking

Barnsley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Keillor-Dunn28812269 min130.5 /9010 /90481.9 /90301.2 /90190.8 /90220.9 /90
Leo Farrell41977 min00 /9000 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /90
A. Phillips45683058 min100.3 /9050.1 /90431.3 /90210.6 /90491.4 /90100.3 /90
Jonathan Bland42723006 min00 /9020.1 /90180.5 /9090.3 /90230.7 /90120.4 /90
L. Connell41843454 min40.1 /9030.1 /90320.8 /90120.3 /90691.8 /90160.4 /90
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Barnsley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Phillips n 861.6
2.26/4
0.93/1
Jonathan Bland n 873.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Connell n 873.1
1.45/4
0.21/0
J. Shepherd n 879.5
0.31/1
00/0
Patrick Kelly n 886.6
0.53/1
0.32/0
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Barnsley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Phillips n 861.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
Jonathan Bland n 873.1
00/0
0.21/0
L. Connell n 873.1
00/0
00/0
J. Shepherd n 879.5
00/0
00/0
Patrick Kelly n 886.6
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NorthamptonBarnsley
43%Possession57%
14Shots10
2Shots on target3
9Shots off target5
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box6
5Corners2
1Offsides3
14Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves2
313Passes433
63%Pass accuracy74%

Northampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Burge9000000006.3
N. Guinness-Walker9000102407.3
C. McCarthy9000110206.9
M. Dyche9000000006.5
Kyle James McAdam9000101107.2
T. Fornah9000001106.3
C. McGeehan9000310207
J. Evans9000102206.5
S. Hoskins9000202006.6
D. Campbell8000101307.3
J. Guthrie7200000006.9
E. List sub18001000Y6.6
T. Eaves sub1000000006.3

Barnsley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Kieran Flavell9000000007.2
M. de Gevigney9000000107.2
E. O'Connell9000000107.7
J. Earl9000000307.2
Jonathan Bland9000000206.9
L. Connell9000003207.6
D. McGoldrick9000211206.6
C. O'Keeffe84000011Y6.9
Patrick Kelly7301001106.9
R. Cleary7210221107.3
T. Bradshaw4500201006.6
A. Phillips sub4500100006.3
S. Banks sub1800101007
Leo Farrell sub1700000006.3
K. Nwakali sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Northampton v Barnsley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NorthamptonLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
BarnsleyWDDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Northampton 0 · 3 draws · Barnsley 2 · 3.2 goals/game
  • 2026-02-03 Barnsley 2–2 Northampton
  • 2025-02-25 Northampton 1–2 Barnsley
  • 2024-08-24 Barnsley 2–2 Northampton
  • 2024-04-27 Barnsley 1–1 Northampton
  • 2023-09-23 Northampton 1–2 Barnsley
League standing · 2025/26
Northampton#24 pos35 pts46 pl-35 GD
Barnsley#15 pos59 pts46 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Northampton scored0.85
Barnsley scored1.48
Northampton conceded1.61
Barnsley conceded1.59

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Northampton v Barnsley?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Northampton v Barnsley was Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Northampton and Barnsley?
In their last 5 meetings, Northampton won 0, Barnsley won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Northampton and Barnsley?
Recent form — Northampton 0W 0D 5L; Barnsley 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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