NorthamptonDoncaster

Northampton v Doncaster result

Full-time · Northampton 1–3 Doncaster

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Northampton · Doncaster · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Northampton 1–3 Doncaster — Doncaster won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Doncaster won 3–1 at Northampton in League One on Saturday 18 April. Northampton are winless in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Doncaster: E. Lee (50’), Hakeeb Adelakun (57’, assisted by Owen Bailey) and George Broadbent (90’, assisted by Brandon Hanlan); Northampton: Cameron McGeehan (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with E. Lee’s goal on 50 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Northampton 0.99, Doncaster 3.02, from 7 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Baines showed seven yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Northampton: J. Burroughs (45’), Dean Campbell (59’), Nesta Guinness-Walker (69’), Jake Evans (86’) and Elliott List (90+1’); Doncaster: Thimothée Lo-Tutala (69’) and Robbie Gotts (90+5’).

What it changes

Northampton stay 24th after this result (43 league matches played). Northampton have scored 39 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Northampton have conceded 74 goals, the most of the 24 clubs.

Doncaster stay 13th after this result (43 league matches played). Doncaster have scored 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Doncaster have conceded 69 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jack Senior (Doncaster) 5.3, E. Lee (Doncaster) 4.9 and Owen Bailey (Doncaster) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Northampton next travel to Salford City on 14 November 2026.

Doncaster next host Leyton Orient on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Northampton: Salford City v Northampton, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Doncaster: Doncaster v Leyton Orient, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Northampton 1–3 Doncaster · League One
  • Referee: D. Baines
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Northampton 2 · draws 1 · Doncaster 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Northampton 0W 0D 5L · Doncaster 3W 0D 2L

Northampton 1–3 Doncaster (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 0.75
Goals
against 2 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4
Corners
against 6.25 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNorthampton for / againstLineDoncaster for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
9.25 for · 15.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 2.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: D. Baines.

Northampton

Northampton Defensive

Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Campbell n 876.6
0.95/1
0.64/0
R. Gotts
T. Taylor n 879.3
1.36/3
1.16/2
—
S. Hoskins n 861.3
1.15/1
1.14/2
O. Bailey
N. Guinness-Walker n 876.3
15/1
0.92/2
J. Senior
T. Fornah n 858.6
0.63/0
1.24/2
R. Gotts
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Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Campbell n 876.6
2.88/5
T. Taylor n 879.3
1.66/4
S. Hoskins n 861.3
1.13/2
N. Guinness-Walker n 876.3
2.87/7
T. Fornah n 858.6
0.42/0
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Northampton Attacking

Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Campbell n 876.6
0.42/1
00/0
T. Taylor n 879.3
0.63/1
0.11/0
S. Hoskins n 861.3
0.62/1
0.62/1
N. Guinness-Walker n 876.3
0.11/0
00/0
T. Fornah n 858.6
0.21/0
00/0
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Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Campbell n 876.6
00/0
00/0
T. Taylor n 879.3
00/0
00/0
S. Hoskins n 861.3
0.21/0
00/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 876.3
00/0
00/0
T. Fornah n 858.6
00/0
0.21/0
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Doncaster

Doncaster Goalkeeper

Doncaster — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Lo-Tutala31902790 min732.4 /90481.5 /9010 /90
Doncaster — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Lo-Tutala n 890
1.84/3

Doncaster Defensive

Doncaster — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Senior34752560 min602.1 /90331.2 /90160.6 /901605.6 /90210.7 /9060.2 /90
J. McGrath31802479 min301.1 /90321.2 /90170.6 /901525.5 /90321.2 /9080.3 /90
J. Sterry29792302 min572.2 /90190.7 /9080.3 /901214.7 /90371.4 /9040.2 /90
M. Pearson27812191 min271.1 /90261.1 /90110.5 /901787.3 /90190.8 /9030.1 /90
J. Maxwell22761668 min573.1 /90301.6 /9020.1 /901297 /90100.5 /9030.2 /90
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Doncaster — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Bailey n 890
0.94/3
16/2
S. Hoskins
L. Molyneux n 889.5
0.94/2
0.95/2
—
J. Gibson n 839.5
0.62/0
1.14/0
—
R. Gotts n 888.6
1.47/3
27/6
T. Fornah
J. Senior n 890
0.32/0
0.84/1
N. Guinness-Walker
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Doncaster — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
28/4
L. Molyneux n 889.5
1.67/3
J. Gibson n 839.5
23/2
R. Gotts n 888.6
2.27/7
J. Senior n 890
2.56/5
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Doncaster Attacking

Doncaster — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Sharp32541743 min30.2 /9020.1 /90221.1 /90120.6 /90110.6 /9060.3 /90
B. Hanlan29621798 min50.3 /9000 /90160.8 /90110.6 /9080.4 /90120.6 /90
Francis Okoronkwo469277 min10.3 /9000 /9051.6 /9020.6 /9031 /9031 /90
O. Bailey47874099 min150.3 /9050.1 /90611.3 /90300.7 /90451 /90110.2 /90
L. Molyneux43833552 min80.2 /9090.2 /90621.6 /90270.7 /90571.4 /90581.5 /90
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Doncaster — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
1.36/3
0.54/0
L. Molyneux n 889.5
2.18/6
0.54/0
J. Gibson n 839.5
1.14/0
00/0
R. Gotts n 888.6
0.63/2
0.11/0
J. Senior n 890
0.42/1
00/0
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Doncaster — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Molyneux n 889.5
00/0
00/0
J. Gibson n 839.5
00/0
00/0
R. Gotts n 888.6
00/0
0.31/1
J. Senior n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NorthamptonDoncaster
53%Possession47%
0.99Expected goals (xG)3.02
7Shots19
2Shots on target6
2Shots off target10
3Blocked shots3
4Shots inside the box14
5Corners5
3Offsides0
17Fouls6
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
379Passes338
76%Pass accuracy75%

Northampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Burge9000000006.5
M. Dyche9000000106.5
J. Guthrie9000100007.3
T. Fornah9000000307
C. McGeehan9010111006.9
S. Hoskins9000211006.3
J. Burroughs73000001Y5.9
N. Guinness-Walker73000003Y6.3
D. Campbell73000010Y6.9
M. Jacobs6400002206.7
T. Eaves6400000006.5
E. List sub26000000Y6.2
J. Evans sub26000010Y6.2
C. McCarthy sub1700000006.3
Kyle James McAdam sub1700000106.2
K. Simon-Swyer sub1700000006.7

Doncaster Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Lo-Tutala90000000Y6
J. Sterry9000221106.9
S. Grehan9000101006.9
M. Pearson9000101107
J. Senior9000004207.9
R. Gotts90000025Y7.3
O. Bailey9001101007.3
H. Adelakun8910311007.5
L. Molyneux8200202106.2
E. Lee8210320007.3
H. Clifton7500202207
G. Broadbent sub1510110007.5
J. Gibson sub800000006.3
B. Hanlan sub801001006.7
B. Close sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Northampton v Doncaster — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NorthamptonLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
DoncasterWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Northampton 2 · 1 draw · Doncaster 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Doncaster 1–2 Northampton
  • 2023-03-25 Doncaster 0–2 Northampton
  • 2022-08-27 Northampton 0–1 Doncaster
  • 2021-03-13 Doncaster 0–0 Northampton
  • 2020-12-05 Northampton 0–2 Doncaster
  • 2017-12-26 Doncaster 3–0 Northampton
League standing · 2025/26
Northampton#24 pos35 pts46 pl-35 GD
Doncaster#14 pos60 pts46 pl-19 GD
Goals per game
Northampton scored0.85
Doncaster scored1.09
Northampton conceded1.61
Doncaster conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Northampton v Doncaster?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Northampton v Doncaster was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Northampton and Doncaster?
In their last 6 meetings, Northampton won 2, Doncaster won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Northampton and Doncaster?
Recent form — Northampton 0W 0D 5L; Doncaster 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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