NorthamptonPlymouth

Northampton v Plymouth result

Full-time · Northampton 2–3 Plymouth

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Northampton · Plymouth · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Northampton 2–3 Plymouth — Plymouth won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.4% of 128 landed (95% range 77.1–89.7%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Plymouth won 3–2 at Northampton in League One on Saturday 2 May. Northampton are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Plymouth are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Northampton: Elliott List (13’, assisted by M. Jacobs) and M. Jacobs (18’, assisted by Nesta Guinness-Walker); Plymouth: Lorent Tolaj (28’, assisted by Joseph Edwards), Malachi Boateng (40’, assisted by Lorent Tolaj) and Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu (74’, assisted by Xavier Amaechi). Conor McCarthy (62’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu’s goal on 74 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Northampton 0.33, Plymouth 4.85, from 7 shots to 26 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

B. Speedie showed eight yellow cards and one red — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Northampton: Conor McCarthy (45+1’), Conor McCarthy (62’), Elliott List (64’) and Jake Evans (84’); Plymouth: Owen Dale (34’), M. Ross (59’), Malachi Boateng (66’) and Ronan Curtis (79’).

What it changes

Northampton stay 24th after this result (46 league matches played).

Plymouth move up from eighth to seventh (46 league matches played).

Plymouth have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lorent Tolaj (Plymouth) 10.6, M. Jacobs (Northampton) 9.4 and Joseph Edwards (Plymouth) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Plymouth to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 84.4% of the time in the last 90 days (108 of 128).

Next up

Northampton next travel to Salford City on 14 November 2026.

Plymouth next travel to Sheffield Wednesday on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Northampton: Salford City v Northampton, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Plymouth: Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Northampton 2–3 Plymouth · League One
  • Referee: B. Speedie
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Northampton 4 · draws 0 · Plymouth 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Northampton 0W 0D 5L · Plymouth 3W 2D 0L

Northampton 2–3 Plymouth (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2
Goals
against 2.63 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
3.88 / 6.5
Corners
against 5.63 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 2.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.36 yellows
Referee · B. Speedie
23.82 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNorthampton for / againstLinePlymouth for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.25our book
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
9.5 for · 18.25 against n 8
19.5standard
15.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.5 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: B. Speedie — 3.36 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 23.82 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Northampton

Northampton Defensive

Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Campbell n 872
1.16/1
0.85/0
—
S. Hoskins n 867.9
15/1
0.73/1
—
T. Taylor n 879.3
1.36/3
1.16/2
M. Boateng
N. Guinness-Walker n 877.4
1.36/2
1.33/2
M. Boateng
T. Fornah n 864.9
0.74/0
14/1
—
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Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Campbell n 872
26/3
S. Hoskins n 867.9
0.32/0
T. Taylor n 879.3
1.66/4
N. Guinness-Walker n 877.4
3.57/7
T. Fornah n 864.9
0.93/1
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Northampton Attacking

Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Campbell n 872
0.52/1
00/0
S. Hoskins n 867.9
1.24/3
0.73/1
T. Taylor n 879.3
0.63/1
0.11/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 877.4
0.11/0
00/0
T. Fornah n 864.9
0.21/0
00/0
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Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Campbell n 872
00/0
00/0
S. Hoskins n 867.9
0.21/0
00/0
T. Taylor n 879.3
00/0
00/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 877.4
00/0
0.11/0
T. Fornah n 864.9
00/0
00/0
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Plymouth

Plymouth Defensive

Plymouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Boateng n 890
0.54/0
15/3
N. Guinness-Walker
A. Mitchell n 890
0.84/1
0.64/1
—
M. Ross n 890
1.56/3
0.53/1
—
M. Sorinola n 851.6
2.86/3
2.48/2
—
J. Edwards n 886.9
1.26/2
1.26/3
—
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Plymouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Boateng n 890
1.87/4
A. Mitchell n 890
0.43/0
M. Ross n 890
1.35/3
M. Sorinola n 851.6
2.87/4
J. Edwards n 886.9
1.86/5
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Plymouth Attacking

Plymouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Boateng n 890
0.52/1
0.41/1
A. Mitchell n 890
1.15/2
0.53/1
M. Ross n 890
0.84/1
0.52/1
M. Sorinola n 851.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
J. Edwards n 886.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Plymouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Boateng n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Mitchell n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Ross n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Sorinola n 851.6
00/0
00/0
J. Edwards n 886.9
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NorthamptonPlymouth
48%Possession52%
0.33Expected goals (xG)4.85
7Shots26
4Shots on target10
1Shots off target9
2Blocked shots7
3Shots inside the box21
2Corners8
2Offsides3
17Fouls14
4Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
6Saves2
255Passes266
57%Pass accuracy63%

Northampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Burge9000001006.9
J. Willis9000000206.9
M. Dyche9000000306.3
C. McGeehan9000000006.5
T. Taylor9000000207.2
Kyle James McAdam8500001106.3
J. Evans85000013Y6.9
M. Jacobs8511112107.9
E. List70102200Y7.5
N. Guinness-Walker6301111006.3
C. McCarthy62000000RY5.2
S. Hoskins sub2700100007.2
K. Simon-Swyer sub2000000006.2
D. Campbell sub1600000206.6
Neo Dobson sub1600000106.3
J. Vale sub1600000006.3

Plymouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Ashby-Hammond9000000006.5
A. Mitchell9000201206.7
W. Harding9000100006.5
M. Boateng90102123Y7.5
A. Pepple9000110105.9
L. Tolaj9011443108.3
R. Curtis87001150Y7
M. Ross70001002Y6.2
J. Edwards6901302206.6
C. Watts5500001206.6
O. Dale55001001Y6
B. Sarpong-Wiredu sub3510220007.2
X. Amaechi sub3501114107.2
Julio Pleguezuelo sub2100000106.9
J. MacKenzie sub2000001207.2
M. Sorinola sub1400000206.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Northampton v Plymouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NorthamptonLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
PlymouthWDWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Northampton 4 · 0 draws · Plymouth 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Plymouth 0–3 Northampton
  • 2021-03-02 Northampton 2–0 Plymouth
  • 2020-10-17 Plymouth 2–1 Northampton
  • 2019-08-31 Northampton 3–1 Plymouth
  • 2018-04-21 Northampton 2–0 Plymouth
  • 2017-11-21 Plymouth 2–0 Northampton
League standing · 2025/26
Northampton#24 pos35 pts46 pl-35 GD
Plymouth#8 pos73 pts46 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
Northampton scored0.85
Plymouth scored1.63
Northampton conceded1.61
Plymouth conceded1.37

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Northampton v Plymouth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Northampton v Plymouth was Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Northampton and Plymouth?
In their last 6 meetings, Northampton won 4, Plymouth won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Northampton and Plymouth?
Recent form — Northampton 0W 0D 5L; Plymouth 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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