PeterboroughDoncaster

Peterborough v Doncaster result

Full-time · Peterborough 1–3 Doncaster

League One · · Weston Homes Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Peterborough 1–3 Doncaster — Doncaster won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Doncaster won 3–1 at Weston Homes Stadium in League One on Saturday 2 May. Peterborough are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Doncaster: B. Sharp (54’, assisted by George Broadbent; 73’, assisted by Harry Clifton; 79’, assisted by E. Lee); Peterborough: Harry Leonard (76’, assisted by James Dornelly).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with B. Sharp’s goal on 54 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Peterborough 2.04, Doncaster 4.70, from 16 shots to 22 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Duckworth showed four yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Peterborough: Harley Mills (38’); Doncaster: Darren Robinson (56’), Seán Grehan (68’) and E. Lee (87’).

What it changes

Peterborough move down from 17th to 18th (46 league matches played).

Doncaster stay 13th after this result (46 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, B. Sharp (Doncaster) 12.9, George Broadbent (Doncaster) 7.6 and James Dornelly (Peterborough) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Peterborough next host Reading on 7 November 2026.

Doncaster next host Leyton Orient on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Peterborough: Peterborough v Reading, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Doncaster: Doncaster v Leyton Orient, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Peterborough 1–3 Doncaster · League One
  • Venue: Weston Homes Stadium · Peterborough
  • Referee: E. Duckworth
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Peterborough 2 · draws 1 · Doncaster 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Peterborough 0W 2D 3L · Doncaster 2W 1D 2L

Peterborough 1–3 Doncaster (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5 / 3
Corners
against 8 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.88
Cards
against 2 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3 yellows
Referee · E. Duckworth
21.45 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePeterborough for / againstLineDoncaster for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.25our book
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 8 against n 8
9.5standard
3 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 18.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.5 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.38 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: E. Duckworth — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 21.45 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Peterborough

Peterborough Goalkeeper

Peterborough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Bass40903600 min1433.6 /90551.4 /9000 /90
Peterborough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Bass n 890
4.67/6

Peterborough Defensive

Peterborough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Lees32852710 min291 /90160.5 /90210.7 /901795.9 /90110.4 /9030.1 /90
D. Okagbue32782507 min271 /90220.8 /90341.2 /901565.6 /90100.4 /9020.1 /90
James Dornelly27822204 min301.2 /90241 /90110.4 /90974 /90130.5 /9030.1 /90
Harley Mills25751887 min412 /90221 /90100.5 /901235.9 /90180.9 /9040.2 /90
A. Collins47894184 min691.5 /90631.4 /90320.7 /902174.7 /90330.7 /9080.2 /90
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Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Collins n 890
0.42/1
0.95/1
—
K. Lisbie n 887.9
0.85/1
0.95/2
—
A. Bass n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
B. Khela n 874.3
0.52/1
1.15/2
O. Bailey
H. Leonard n 884.8
1.25/3
1.67/4
—
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Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
0.95/1
K. Lisbie n 887.9
0.53/1
B. Khela n 874.3
2.17/3
H. Leonard n 884.8
0.11/0
Jimmy Morgan n 883.3
2.87/7
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Peterborough Attacking

Peterborough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Leonard37792912 min150.5 /9050.2 /90601.9 /90381.2 /90270.8 /9080.2 /90
Jimmy Morgan35682389 min120.5 /9030.1 /90381.4 /90180.7 /90301.1 /90271 /90
Gustav Lindgren1541622 min30.4 /9010.1 /90101.4 /9081.2 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
A. Odoh1351667 min00 /9000 /9020.3 /9010.1 /9060.8 /9070.9 /90
A. Collins47894184 min30.1 /9070.2 /90270.6 /90150.3 /90360.8 /90210.5 /90
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Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
0.63/2
0.43/0
K. Lisbie n 887.9
1.56/3
0.94/2
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Khela n 874.3
0.53/0
0.32/0
H. Leonard n 884.8
1.26/2
0.95/2
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Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Lisbie n 887.9
00/0
0.32/0
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Khela n 874.3
0.21/0
00/0
H. Leonard n 884.8
0.43/0
00/0
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Doncaster

Doncaster Goalkeeper

Doncaster — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Lo-Tutala34903060 min812.4 /90521.5 /9020.1 /90
Doncaster — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Lo-Tutala n 890
2.35/4

Doncaster Defensive

Doncaster — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Senior37762830 min662.1 /90361.1 /90160.5 /901936.1 /90240.8 /9080.3 /90
J. McGrath32802569 min301.1 /90331.2 /90180.6 /901575.5 /90341.2 /9090.3 /90
J. Sterry32782501 min582.1 /90210.8 /9090.3 /901294.6 /90381.4 /9040.1 /90
M. Pearson30822461 min281 /90301.1 /90160.6 /901906.9 /90200.7 /9030.1 /90
J. Maxwell22761668 min573.1 /90301.6 /9020.1 /901297 /90100.5 /9030.2 /90
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Doncaster — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Bailey n 890
15/3
1.47/4
B. Khela
L. Molyneux n 888.5
0.53/1
0.95/2
—
R. Gotts n 883.5
1.67/3
2.47/6
—
J. Gibson n 839.9
0.62/0
0.83/0
—
J. Senior n 890
0.42/1
13/2
—
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Doncaster — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
1.87/4
L. Molyneux n 888.5
1.37/2
R. Gotts n 883.5
2.77/7
J. Gibson n 839.9
23/2
J. Senior n 890
26/5
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Doncaster Attacking

Doncaster — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Sharp33541788 min40.2 /9020.1 /90231.2 /90130.7 /90130.7 /9060.3 /90
B. Hanlan31641978 min50.2 /9000 /90160.7 /90110.5 /9090.4 /90130.6 /90
Francis Okoronkwo469277 min10.3 /9000 /9051.6 /9020.6 /9031 /9031 /90
O. Bailey50874369 min150.3 /9060.1 /90641.3 /90300.6 /90460.9 /90110.2 /90
L. Molyneux44833634 min80.2 /9090.2 /90641.6 /90270.7 /90591.5 /90581.4 /90
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Doncaster — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
1.16/3
0.32/0
L. Molyneux n 888.5
28/6
0.43/0
R. Gotts n 883.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
J. Gibson n 839.9
1.14/0
00/0
J. Senior n 890
0.94/3
0.11/0
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Doncaster — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Molyneux n 888.5
00/0
00/0
R. Gotts n 883.5
00/0
00/0
J. Gibson n 839.9
00/0
00/0
J. Senior n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PeterboroughDoncaster
54%Possession46%
2.04Expected goals (xG)4.70
16Shots22
6Shots on target13
3Shots off target7
7Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box19
6Corners3
2Offsides5
10Fouls10
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
10Saves5
377Passes320
81%Pass accuracy77%

Peterborough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Bass9000000008
T. Lees9000000006.2
Lucca Mendonça9000002005.6
B. Woods9000212006.7
M. Garbett9000111106.9
K. Lisbie9000322206.2
H. Leonard9010321107.9
James Dornelly7801002207.2
Harley Mills66000010Y6
B. Khela6600000206.9
Bolu Shofowoke2200000006.7
David Kamara sub6800001206.3
J. Mendy sub2400000006.5
P. Sykut sub2400000106.2
Pemi Aderoju sub1200000006.7
P. Aderoju sub1200000006.7

Doncaster Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Sterry9000000107
J. McGrath9000000106.7
J. Senior9000001206.7
O. Bailey9000102107
G. Broadbent9001323107.5
B. Sharp90307500010
T. Lo-Tutala8300000007.3
S. Grehan83001112Y7
B. Hanlan8200641006.5
H. Adelakun7100213007.2
D. Robinson67000013Y7.3
H. Clifton sub2301002006.9
E. Lee sub19010010Y6.9
J. Oram sub1100000006.6
Bayley McCann sub1100000006.3
Kasper Williams sub800000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Peterborough v Doncaster — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PeterboroughLLDLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
DoncasterLWWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Peterborough 2 · 1 draw · Doncaster 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Doncaster 2–1 Peterborough
  • 2023-12-02 Peterborough 2–1 Doncaster
  • 2021-05-09 Doncaster 1–4 Peterborough
  • 2021-04-27 Peterborough 2–2 Doncaster
  • 2019-12-26 Peterborough 0–3 Doncaster
  • 2019-09-21 Doncaster 2–0 Peterborough
League standing · 2025/26
Peterborough#18 pos53 pts46 pl-4 GD
Doncaster#14 pos60 pts46 pl-19 GD
Goals per game
Peterborough scored1.39
Doncaster scored1.09
Peterborough conceded1.48
Doncaster conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Peterborough v Doncaster?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Peterborough v Doncaster was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Peterborough and Doncaster?
In their last 6 meetings, Peterborough won 2, Doncaster won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Peterborough and Doncaster?
Recent form — Peterborough 0W 2D 3L; Doncaster 2W 1D 2L.

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