Peterborough v Luton result

Full-time · Peterborough 0–2 Luton

League One · Sat, 09 Aug 2025 12:30 BST · Weston Homes Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Peterborough · Luton

The model’s pre-match pick

Peterborough 0–2 Luton — Luton won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Luton won 2–0 at Weston Homes Stadium in League One on Saturday 9 August. Peterborough are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Luton: Mads Andersen (60’, assisted by George Saville) and Jordan Clark (85’, assisted by Nahki Wells).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mads Andersen’s goal on 60 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Peterborough 0.34, Luton 1.16, from 6 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Oldham showed four yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Peterborough: David Okagbue (62’) and Brandon Khela (82’); Luton: Mads Andersen (72’) and Nahki Wells (84’).

What it changes

Peterborough stay 23rd after this result (two league matches played). Peterborough have scored 64 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Peterborough have conceded 68 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs.

Luton stay first after this result (two league matches played). Luton have scored 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Luton have conceded 56 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Luton have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Donay O'Brien-Brady (Peterborough) 7.9, Cian Hayes (Peterborough) 7.7 and George Saville (Luton) 7.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Luton are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Peterborough.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).

Next up

Peterborough next host Oxford United on 14 November 2026.

Luton next host Cambridge United on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Peterborough: Peterborough v Oxford United, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Luton: Luton v Cambridge United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Peterborough 0–2 Luton · League One
Venue: Weston Homes Stadium · Peterborough
Referee: S. Oldham
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Peterborough 1 · draws 1 · Luton 2 · 3.25 goals/game
Recent form: Peterborough 0W 2D 3L · Luton 4W 0D 1L

Peterborough 0–2 Luton (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.38

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 6.13

Corners

against 5.38 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 5.88 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.25 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.75 yellows

Referee · S. Oldham

19.5 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Peterborough for / against	Line	Luton for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.88 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	8.25 for · 18 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.13 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.63 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: S. Oldham — 2.75 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 19.5 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Peterborough

Peterborough Defensive

Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Collins n 8	69.3	1.1 5/2	1 4/2	M. Alli
C. Johnston n 8	65.8	1 5/1	0.7 3/1	K. Naismith
Harley Mills n 8	76.9	0.6 2/1	1.6 5/4	C. Makosso
N. Bilokapić n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
A. Odoh n 8	86.1	0.5 4/0	1.8 8/3	—
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Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Harley Mills n 8	76.9	2.8 6/4
C. Johnston n 8	65.8	2.4 6/6
A. Collins n 8	69.3	1.6 6/2
N. Bilokapić n 8	90	0 0/0
A. Odoh n 8	86.1	1.3 5/4
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Peterborough Attacking

Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Harley Mills n 8	76.9	0.7 5/0	0 0/0
A. Collins n 8	69.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
N. Bilokapić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Johnston n 8	65.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Odoh n 8	86.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Harley Mills n 8	76.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
N. Bilokapić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Collins n 8	69.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Johnston n 8	65.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Odoh n 8	86.1	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Luton

Luton Defensive

Luton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Alli n 8	79	1.6 7/2	1.3 5/2	A. Collins
C. Makosso n 8	69.3	1.3 3/3	0.6 4/0	Harley Mills
M. Andersen n 8	62.5	0.9 5/0	0.4 2/0	—
K. Naismith n 8	67	0.7 3/1	1.3 6/1	C. Johnston
R. Walters n 8	77.4	1.3 6/3	0.6 4/0	—
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Luton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Naismith n 8	67	2.2 8/4
M. Alli n 8	79	1.4 6/3
C. Makosso n 8	69.3	1.3 5/3
M. Andersen n 8	62.5	1.1 5/1
R. Walters n 8	77.4	3.9 7/5
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Luton Attacking

Luton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Alli n 8	79	1.6 6/4	1 5/2
C. Makosso n 8	69.3	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
M. Andersen n 8	62.5	0.4 1/1	0 0/0
K. Naismith n 8	67	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
R. Walters n 8	77.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
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Luton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Alli n 8	79	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
C. Makosso n 8	69.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
K. Naismith n 8	67	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Andersen n 8	62.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Walters n 8	77.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Peterborough		Luton
49%	Possession	51%
0.34	Expected goals (xG)	1.16
6	Shots	8
2	Shots on target	3
1	Shots off target	4
3	Blocked shots	1
3	Shots inside the box	7
3	Corners	6
2	Offsides	5
15	Fouls	12
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	2
358	Passes	369
73%	Pass accuracy	72%

Peterborough Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Bilokapić	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.7
D. Okagbue	90	0	0	0	3	Y	6.5
A. Collins	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
C. Hayes	90	0	0	1	7	0	6.9
B. Khela	90	1	1	0	0	Y	5.9
Donay O'Brien-Brady	90	0	0	0	8	0	7.3
B. Ihionvien	90	1	1	0	2	0	5.9
O. Wallin	87	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
C. Johnston	79	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Harley Mills	78	1	0	1	2	0	6.6
A. Odoh	61	0	0	1	0	0	7
K. Lisbie sub	29	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
James Dornelly sub	14	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
G. Nevett sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Gustav Lindgren sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Luton Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Joshua Keeley	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
C. Makosso	90	0	0	2	1	0	6	0	8
M. Andersen	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	Y	9.2
K. Naismith	90	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	7.2
G. Saville	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	8
M. Alli	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	6.6
J. Clark	89	1	0	1	1	2	3	0	8.2
N. Wells	87	0	1	1	0	2	1	Y	7
J. Yates	71	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
S. Baptiste	70	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.5
R. Walters	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
N. Lonwijk sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
L. Walsh sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Lamine Dabo sub	19	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. McGuinness sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Z. Nelson sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Peterborough v Luton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PeterboroughDDLLL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game

LutonWWWLW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Peterborough 1 · 1 draw · Luton 2 · 3.25 goals/game

2022-04-05 Peterborough 1–1 Luton
2021-08-07 Luton 3–0 Peterborough
2019-01-19 Luton 4–0 Peterborough
2018-08-18 Peterborough 3–1 Luton

League standing · 2025/26

Peterborough#18 pos53 pts46 pl-4 GD

Luton#7 pos74 pts46 pl+12 GD

Goals per game

Peterborough scored1.39

Luton scored1.48

Peterborough conceded1.48

Luton conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Peterborough v Luton?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Peterborough v Luton was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Peterborough and Luton?: In their last 4 meetings, Peterborough won 1, Luton won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Peterborough and Luton?: Recent form — Peterborough 0W 2D 3L; Luton 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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