Plymouth v Blackpool result

Full-time · Plymouth 1–0 Blackpool

League One · · Home Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Plymouth 1–0 Blackpool — Plymouth won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Plymouth beat Blackpool 1–0 at Home Park in League One on Saturday 23 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Plymouth: Malachi Boateng (48’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Malachi Boateng’s goal on 48 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Plymouth 0.00, Blackpool 0.00, from 14 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Rock showed four yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Plymouth: Bradley Ibrahim (77’); Blackpool: Lee Evans (62’), Hayden Coulson (63’) and D. Taylor (90+8’).

What it changes

Plymouth move up from 23rd to 19th (five league matches played).

Blackpool move down from 18th to 20th (five league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Malachi Boateng (Plymouth) 8.2, A. Benarous (Plymouth) 5.6 and Oliver Casey (Blackpool) 3.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Plymouth next travel to Cambridge United on 24 October 2026.

Blackpool next host Mansfield Town on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Plymouth: Cambridge United v Plymouth, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Blackpool: Blackpool v Mansfield Town, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Plymouth 1–0 Blackpool · League One
  • Venue: Home Park · Plymouth
  • Referee: D. Rock
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Plymouth 1 · draws 3 · Blackpool 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Plymouth 1W 0D 4L · Blackpool 1W 0D 4L

Plymouth 1–0 Blackpool (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.88 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.57
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.88 / 3.86
Shots on target
against 5 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.25 / 0.86
Cards
against 2.88 / 1.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.1 yellows
Referee · D. Rock
1.5 home / 1.6 away
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePlymouth for / againstLineBlackpool for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.57 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
11.88 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
10.57 for · 11.86 against n 7
Shots on target
3.88 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.86 for · 4 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.57 for · 13.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
0.86 for · 1.43 against n 7

Referee: D. Rock — 3.1 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.2 fouls over 10 matches (1.5 to the home side, 1.6 to the away side).

Plymouth
Plymouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Tijani n 840
3.45/4
1.75/1
—
C. Watts n 864.1
3.38/7
2.85/5
G. Honeyman
Owen Oseni n 828.3
24/1
1.63/1
—
M. Bundu n 876.1
1.97/4
1.57/2
—
M. Talovierov n 883.8
1.77/5
0.32/0
—
Plymouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Paterson n 827.1
2.52/2
1.22/1
A. Pepple n 838.3
2.46/1
1.23/1
R. Hardie n 873.6
2.37/4
1.56/3
M. Bundu n 876.1
2.16/4
1.24/2
Owen Oseni n 828.3
22/1
1.22/1
Plymouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Owen Oseni n 828.3
1.22/1
00/0
M. Bundu n 876.1
0.63/1
0.11/0
C. Watts n 864.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Tijani n 840
0.62/0
00/0
X. Amaechi n 868.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Plymouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Galloway n 879.5
3.87/5
M. Boateng n 860
3.86/5
B. Ibrahim n 871.3
3.56/5
A. Benarous n 852.6
3.46/3
M. Sorinola n 860.5
35/4
Blackpool
Blackpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Fletcher n 862.9
2.17/4
1.66/2
—
N. Ennis n 874
1.87/4
1.43/3
—
T. Bloxham n 849.3
1.65/1
1.13/1
—
G. Honeyman n 875.5
1.36/2
2.87/5
C. Watts
H. Coulson n 879.4
14/3
2.38/5
—
Blackpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Apter n 879.1
1.77/3
1.35/2
N. Ennis n 874
1.76/4
1.15/2
F. Horsfall n 870.3
1.45/2
0.53/0
A. Morgan n 885
1.25/3
0.53/1
D. Taylor n 882.9
1.24/3
0.84/1
Blackpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Ennis n 874
0.63/1
0.21/0
R. Apter n 879.1
0.62/1
00/0
R. Finnigan n 819.3
0.61/0
00/0
L. Evans n 877.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Honeyman n 875.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
Blackpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Finnigan n 819.3
4.75/1
G. Honeyman n 875.5
38/6
Z. Ashworth n 871.8
2.87/7
R. Apter n 879.1
26/4
J. Husband n 861.3
26/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PlymouthBlackpool
59%Possession41%
14Shots9
3Shots on target2
6Shots off target3
5Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box6
4Corners4
0Offsides1
13Fouls9
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
416Passes292
78%Pass accuracy64%

Plymouth player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Ashby-Hammond9000000007.3
K. Szűcs9000000006.9
A. Mitchell9000100107.2
M. Boateng9010112108.7
B. Ibrahim90000020Y6.9
C. Watts9000101106.9
B. Mumba9000222107.2
L. Tolaj9000301006
X. Amaechi8600102007.2
B. Galloway7000000107.5
A. Benarous6301001107
M. Sorinola sub2800001206.6
B. Sarpong-Wiredu sub2100000006.9
A. Pepple sub1300000006.5

Blackpool player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Peacock-Farrell9000000006.9
M. Ihiekwe9000001007.2
O. Casey9000101106.9
T. Bloxham9000002006.3
A. Morgan9000220107.2
C. Hamilton9000001106.3
D. Taylor90001001Y5.9
G. Honeyman9000003006.5
H. Coulson76000011Y6.2
J. Brown6800000106.7
L. Evans68001001Y7
E. Hansson sub2300000006.5
Daniel Edward Peter Imray sub2300000106.9
M. Ebiowei sub1500000106.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Plymouth v Blackpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PlymouthLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
BlackpoolLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Plymouth 1 · 3 draws · Blackpool 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2021-03-27 Blackpool 2–2 Plymouth
  • 2020-09-12 Plymouth 1–0 Blackpool
  • 2019-03-30 Blackpool 2–2 Plymouth
  • 2018-09-15 Plymouth 0–1 Blackpool
  • 2017-12-30 Blackpool 2–2 Plymouth
  • 2017-09-12 Plymouth 1–3 Blackpool
League standing · 2025/26
Plymouth#8 pos73 pts46 pl+12 GD
Blackpool#13 pos60 pts46 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Plymouth scored1.63
Blackpool scored1.17
Plymouth conceded1.37
Blackpool conceded1.41

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Plymouth v Blackpool?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Plymouth v Blackpool was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Plymouth and Blackpool?
In their last 6 meetings, Plymouth won 1, Blackpool won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Plymouth and Blackpool?
Recent form — Plymouth 1W 0D 4L; Blackpool 1W 0D 4L.

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