Plymouth v Reading prediction

League One · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT · Home Park

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 01:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Plymouth · Reading

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Plymouth v Reading, League One on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.62 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Plymouth host Reading in League One on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Reading have scored 25 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Eight of Plymouth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Plymouth’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Plymouth have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.38. Plymouth have scored 21 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Plymouth have conceded 19 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Reading’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Reading’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Reading have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.00. Reading have conceded 13 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Plymouth (fifth) and Reading (sixth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Reading the stronger side, 38 rating points above Plymouth (Reading 1614, Plymouth 1576, after at least 150 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Reading are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Plymouth, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Reading 2–2 Plymouth.

Team news

Predicted Plymouth XI (4-4-2): M. Mahoney, A. Mitchell, W. Harding, J. Pleguezuelo, A. Hartridge, H. White, T. Bakinson, R. Curtis, O. Irow, W. Evans, A. Pepple — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Harvey White (3.9 per match over 15 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Ronan Curtis (3.5 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Plymouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Plymouth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Harvey White averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1324 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ronan Curtis averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 990 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Reading XI (4-2-3-1): J. Pereira, P. O'Connor, U. Godwin-Malife, H. Roberts, J. Dorsett, L. Wing, K. Lisbie, A. Rinomhota, P. Lane, J. Stokes, J. Reid — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Marriott (5.2 per match over eight appearances, eight goals) and Benn David Ward (4.1 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Reading’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Reading (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Marriott averages 4.5 shots per 90 over 542 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Benn David Ward averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1001 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT · League One · Home Park
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Plymouth 0 · draws 1 · Reading 2 · 5 goals/game
Recent form: Plymouth 3W 0D 2L · Reading 3W 1D 1L

Plymouth v Reading (League One): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.38 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

4.5 / 5.5

Corners

against 6.75 / 4.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Plymouth for / against	Line	Reading for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.13 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.5 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Plymouth

Plymouth Goalkeeper

Plymouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Mahoney	14	901266 min	342.4 /90	100.7 /90
M. Cooper	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	00 /90
James Storer	1	9090 min	11 /90	44 /90

Plymouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Mahoney n 8	90	3.1 7/5
M. Cooper n 3	90	1.3 1/1

Plymouth Defensive

Plymouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Harding	15	891338 min	251.7 /90	181.2 /90	40.3 /90	624.2 /90	120.8 /90	20.1 /90
A. Mitchell	14	801124 min	141.1 /90	110.9 /90	30.2 /90	735.8 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
M. Sorinola	12	59706 min	162 /90	101.3 /90	10.1 /90	486.1 /90	202.5 /90	10.1 /90
Julio Pleguezuelo	10	70695 min	101.3 /90	111.4 /90	10.1 /90	405.2 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
M. Ross	9	66594 min	132 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90	558.3 /90	152.3 /90	30.5 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Plymouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Harding n 8	88.5	0.4 2/1	0.8 5/1	—
H. White n 8	90	0.8 6/0	1.1 7/1	—
W. Evans n 8	85.6	1.4 7/4	1.1 4/3	—
M. Mahoney n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
A. Mitchell n 8	86.6	0.4 2/1	0.4 3/0	—
See more players · Pro

Plymouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
W. Harding n 8	88.5	2.4 8/4
H. White n 8	90	0.9 4/2
W. Evans n 8	85.6	1.8 5/4
A. Mitchell n 8	86.6	0.9 5/2
A. Pepple n 8	86.4	0.8 4/2
See more players · Pro

Plymouth Attacking

Plymouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Evans	15	841257 min	30.2 /90	00 /90	261.9 /90	100.7 /90	110.8 /90	50.4 /90
A. Pepple	14	791111 min	60.5 /90	00 /90	312.5 /90	121 /90	131.1 /90	90.7 /90
X. Amaechi	11	42459 min	40.8 /90	00 /90	102 /90	51 /90	81.6 /90	40.8 /90
Owen Oseni	2	2345 min	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	00 /90	12 /90	00 /90
A. Pepple	1	8484 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Plymouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Harding n 8	88.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
H. White n 8	90	1.8 6/5	0.6 4/1
W. Evans n 8	85.6	1.8 7/5	0.5 4/0
M. Mahoney n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Mitchell n 8	86.6	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Plymouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Harding n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. White n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
W. Evans n 8	85.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Mahoney n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Mitchell n 8	86.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Reading

Reading Goalkeeper

Reading — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Joel Pereira	14	901260 min	423 /90	90.6 /90	00 /90

Reading — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Joel Pereira n 8	90	3.5 7/4

Reading Defensive

Reading — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
P. O'Connor	13	891151 min	151.2 /90	201.6 /90	60.5 /90	1038.1 /90	161.3 /90	40.3 /90
U. Godwin-Malife	12	901080 min	100.8 /90	131.1 /90	20.2 /90	534.4 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
H. Roberts	11	81891 min	171.7 /90	151.5 /90	50.5 /90	484.8 /90	90.9 /90	40.4 /90
Benn David Ward	10	90900 min	131.3 /90	222.2 /90	60.6 /90	868.6 /90	161.6 /90	20.2 /90
J. Dorsett	6	90540 min	30.5 /90	40.7 /90	30.5 /90	264.3 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Reading — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joel Pereira n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
P. O'Connor n 8	88.6	1.3 7/2	1.4 5/4	—
L. Wing n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.8 5/1	—
U. Godwin-Malife n 8	90	0.8 4/2	2 7/5	—
Kyreece Lisbie n 8	84.1	1.5 6/4	1.2 5/3	—
See more players · Pro

Reading — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. O'Connor n 8	88.6	1 5/3
L. Wing n 8	90	1.9 8/4
U. Godwin-Malife n 8	90	1 7/1
Kyreece Lisbie n 8	84.1	0.8 6/0
P. Lane n 8	73.1	1.1 4/1
See more players · Pro

Reading Attacking

Reading — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Brown	10	38378 min	41 /90	10.2 /90	92.1 /90	51.2 /90	61.4 /90	10.2 /90
J. Marriott	7	74516 min	81.4 /90	00 /90	264.5 /90	162.8 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90
J. Reid	5	63317 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.4 /90	30.9 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90
L. Wing	12	901080 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	171.4 /90	50.4 /90	231.9 /90	20.2 /90
Kyreece Lisbie	12	83999 min	50.5 /90	40.4 /90	211.9 /90	111 /90	141.3 /90	121.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Reading — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Joel Pereira n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. O'Connor n 8	88.6	1.3 5/3	0.5 3/1
L. Wing n 8	90	1.8 6/5	0.6 5/0
U. Godwin-Malife n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 8	84.1	2.1 6/4	1.2 4/3
See more players · Pro

Reading — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Joel Pereira n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. O'Connor n 8	88.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
U. Godwin-Malife n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
L. Wing n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 8	84.1	0.5 2/2	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Plymouth v Reading — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PlymouthWWLLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

ReadingDWLWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Plymouth 0 · 1 draw · Reading 2 · 5 goals/game

2026-03-14 Reading 2–2 Plymouth
2025-12-26 Plymouth 1–4 Reading
2019-08-27 Plymouth 2–4 Reading

League standing · 2026/27

Plymouth#5 pos22 pts13 pl+2 GD

Reading#6 pos21 pts12 pl+12 GD

Goals per game

Plymouth scored1.62

Reading scored2.08

Plymouth conceded1.46

Reading conceded1.08

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Plymouth v Reading?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Plymouth v Reading is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Plymouth and Reading?: In their last 3 meetings, Plymouth won 0, Reading won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Plymouth and Reading?: Recent form — Plymouth 3W 0D 2L; Reading 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 01:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.