Accrington ST v Crawley Town result

Full-time · Accrington ST 3–3 Crawley Town

League Two · Sat, 25 Apr 2026 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Accrington ST · Crawley Town · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Accrington ST 3–3 Crawley Town — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Accrington ST and Crawley Town drew 3–3 in League Two on Saturday 25 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Crawley Town out-shot Accrington ST 14 to 6 and created the better chances, 1.94 xG to 0.80 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Accrington ST: Josh Woods (23’, assisted by Shaun Whalley; 64’) and I. Sinclair (49’); Crawley Town: H. Forster (37’, assisted by Louie Watson), T. Richards (58’, assisted by J. Russell) and Jay Williams (71’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jay Williams’s goal on 71 minutes.

Discipline

K. Dowle showed two yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Accrington ST: Tyler Walton (90’); Crawley Town: Charlie Barker (90+8’).

What it changes

Accrington ST stay 16th after this result (45 league matches played).

Crawley Town move down from 20th to 21st (45 league matches played).

Accrington ST are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Crawley Town are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Josh Woods (Accrington ST) 12.3, Johnny Russell (Crawley Town) 7.7 and H. Forster (Crawley Town) 7.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Crawley Town are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Accrington ST.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Accrington ST or Crawley Town (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Accrington ST next host Wycombe on 7 November 2026.

Crawley Town next travel to Wimborne Town on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Accrington ST: Accrington ST v Wycombe, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Crawley Town: Wimborne Town v Crawley Town, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Accrington ST 3–3 Crawley Town · League Two
Referee: K. Dowle
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Accrington ST 1 · draws 1 · Crawley Town 4 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Accrington ST 1W 1D 3L · Crawley Town 2W 1D 2L

Accrington ST 3–3 Crawley Town (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.88 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 4.63

Corners

against 7 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 3.5

Shots on target

against 5 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 2

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.8 yellows

Referee · K. Dowle

22.4 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Accrington ST for / against	Line	Crawley Town for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.38 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.88 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: K. Dowle — 2.8 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Accrington ST

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Oliver Wright n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
Devon Matthews n 8	78.3	1.3 6/3	2.3 7/6	—
I. Sinclair n 8	75.6	1.3 6/2	1.9 7/4	—
F. Rawson n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.8 4/2	C. Barker
S. Conneely n 8	59.9	1.1 4/2	1.5 3/2	—
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Oliver Wright n 8	90	0 0/0
Devon Matthews n 8	78.3	1.9 5/2
I. Sinclair n 8	75.6	0.7 4/1
F. Rawson n 8	90	0.6 4/1
S. Conneely n 8	59.9	1.9 4/3
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Oliver Wright n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Devon Matthews n 8	78.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
I. Sinclair n 8	75.6	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
F. Rawson n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
S. Conneely n 8	59.9	0.9 2/1	0.4 2/0
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Oliver Wright n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Devon Matthews n 8	78.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
I. Sinclair n 8	75.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Rawson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Conneely n 8	59.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Crawley Town

Crawley Town Defensive

Crawley Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Barker n 8	90	1 5/2	1.9 6/4	F. Rawson
J. Flint n 8	88.8	0.9 4/3	1.1 5/3	—
J. Williams n 8	83	1.6 5/4	1.5 5/3	—
H. McKirdy n 8	65.3	1.6 6/2	0.7 4/0	—
H. Forster n 8	59	1.1 5/1	2.9 8/4	—
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Crawley Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Barker n 8	90	1.9 6/5
J. Flint n 8	88.8	1.5 6/3
J. Williams n 8	83	2 6/4
H. McKirdy n 8	65.3	0.5 3/0
H. Forster n 8	59	0.8 3/1
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Crawley Town Attacking

Crawley Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Barker n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
J. Flint n 8	88.8	1.4 5/3	0.5 3/1
J. Williams n 8	83	0.9 6/1	0.1 1/0
H. McKirdy n 8	65.3	1.6 6/3	1.2 5/2
H. Forster n 8	59	1.3 5/2	0.6 3/0
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Crawley Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Barker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Flint n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Williams n 8	83	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. McKirdy n 8	65.3	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
H. Forster n 8	59	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Accrington ST		Crawley Town
48%	Possession	52%
0.80	Expected goals (xG)	1.94
6	Shots	14
3	Shots on target	5
2	Shots off target	5
1	Blocked shots	4
5	Shots inside the box	13
4	Corners	3
2	Offsides	1
11	Fouls	10
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	0
270	Passes	293
59%	Pass accuracy	71%

Accrington ST Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Oliver Wright	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
C. O'Brien	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
F. Rawson	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.2
Devon Matthews	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
S. Whalley	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	6.7
L. Coyle	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.3
D. Love	90	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	6.9
I. Sinclair	90	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.3
T. Walton	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.9
J. Woods	90	2	0	2	2	0	3	0	8.9
Luke Joseph Butterfield	89	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
S. Conneely sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Crawley Town Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Chapman	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
A. Adeyemo	90	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6
C. Barker	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.3
S. Malone	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
D. Pereira	90	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	5.9
J. Williams	90	1	0	3	1	0	0	0	6.9
H. Forster	90	1	0	2	2	0	3	0	7.9
L. Watson	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	6.6
Tobi Adeyemo	58	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.2
M. Anderson	57	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Richards	51	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Johnny Russell sub	39	0	1	0	0	1	5	0	7.7
T. Richards sub	33	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	7.3
R. Loft sub	32	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Accrington ST v Crawley Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Accrington STWLLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Crawley TownWWLLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Accrington ST 1 · 1 draw · Crawley Town 4 · 3.33 goals/game

2025-11-22 Crawley Town 1–1 Accrington ST
2024-02-24 Accrington ST 0–1 Crawley Town
2023-11-11 Crawley Town 3–1 Accrington ST
2022-11-05 Crawley Town 1–4 Accrington ST
2018-01-27 Crawley Town 2–1 Accrington ST
2017-12-23 Accrington ST 2–3 Crawley Town

League standing · 2025/26

Accrington ST#16 pos53 pts46 pl-11 GD

Crawley Town#22 pos40 pts46 pl-24 GD

Goals per game

Accrington ST scored1.02

Crawley Town scored0.96

Accrington ST conceded1.26

Crawley Town conceded1.48

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Accrington ST v Crawley Town?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Accrington ST v Crawley Town was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Accrington ST and Crawley Town?: In their last 6 meetings, Accrington ST won 1, Crawley Town won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Accrington ST and Crawley Town?: Recent form — Accrington ST 1W 1D 3L; Crawley Town 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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