Accrington STCrewe

Accrington ST v Crewe result

Full-time · Accrington ST 2–0 Crewe

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Accrington ST 2–0 Crewe — Accrington ST won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Accrington ST beat Crewe 2–0 in League Two on Friday 3 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Accrington ST: F. Sass (51’, assisted by Shaun Whalley) and Séamus Conneely (56’, assisted by D. Martin).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Sass’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Accrington ST 0.00, Crewe 0.00, from 14 shots to 3 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

O. Mackey showed four yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Accrington ST: Freddie Sass (45+2’), Séamus Conneely (62’) and Donald Love (87’); Crewe: Joshua March (30’).

What it changes

Accrington ST stay 15th after this result (40 league matches played). Accrington ST have scored 47 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Accrington ST have conceded 58 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Crewe stay seventh after this result (41 league matches played). Crewe have scored 64 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Crewe have conceded 58 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Séamus Conneely (Accrington ST) 6.5, Shaun Whalley (Accrington ST) 5.8 and Freddie Sass (Accrington ST) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Crewe, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Accrington ST next travel to Port Vale on 14 November 2026.

Crewe next host Newport County on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Accrington ST: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Crewe: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Accrington ST 2–0 Crewe · League Two
  • Referee: O. Mackey
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Accrington ST 2 · draws 2 · Crewe 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Accrington ST 0W 2D 3L · Crewe 2W 1D 2L

Accrington ST 2–0 Crewe (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5
Corners
against 6.75 / 4.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2
Cards
against 0.88 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.86 yellows
Referee · O. Mackey
26.14 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAccrington ST for / againstLineCrewe for / against
Goals scored
0.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
9.25 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: O. Mackey — 3.86 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26.14 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Accrington ST

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Oliver Wright n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Devon Matthews n 885
0.74/1
1.36/3
—
I. Sinclair n 876.5
1.67/2
15/2
Calum Agius
Isaac Heath n 883.1
0.32/0
0.84/2
—
S. Conneely n 869.4
0.84/1
1.95/4
—
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Oliver Wright n 890
00/0
Devon Matthews n 885
1.35/1
I. Sinclair n 876.5
2.26/6
Isaac Heath n 883.1
0.84/2
S. Conneely n 869.4
1.65/3
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Oliver Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
Devon Matthews n 885
0.43/0
00/0
I. Sinclair n 876.5
15/2
0.74/1
Isaac Heath n 883.1
0.53/1
0.53/1
S. Conneely n 869.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Oliver Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
Devon Matthews n 885
00/0
00/0
I. Sinclair n 876.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
Isaac Heath n 883.1
00/0
0.11/0
S. Conneely n 869.4
00/0
00/0
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Crewe

Crewe Defensive

Crewe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Billington n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
T. O'Reilly n 873.9
2.15/5
2.45/5
—
R. Hutchinson n 885.3
0.84/1
0.94/1
—
Calum Agius n 874.9
0.82/1
0.95/1
I. Sinclair
J. Connolly n 876.4
1.84/4
1.56/2
—
See more players · Pro
Crewe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Billington n 890
1.67/5
T. O'Reilly n 873.9
2.38/3
R. Hutchinson n 885.3
1.78/2
Calum Agius n 874.9
28/3
J. Connolly n 876.4
1.24/3
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Crewe Attacking

Crewe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Billington n 890
0.42/1
00/0
T. O'Reilly n 873.9
1.75/4
1.14/2
R. Hutchinson n 885.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Calum Agius n 874.9
0.94/1
0.32/0
J. Connolly n 876.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Crewe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Billington n 890
00/0
0.11/0
T. O'Reilly n 873.9
00/0
0.31/1
R. Hutchinson n 885.3
0.11/0
00/0
Calum Agius n 874.9
00/0
00/0
J. Connolly n 876.4
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Accrington STCrewe
40%Possession60%
14Shots3
4Shots on target1
6Shots off target1
4Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box2
4Corners7
0Offsides3
16Fouls10
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves2
267Passes393
65%Pass accuracy74%

Accrington ST Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Oliver Wright9000000007
C. O'Brien9000000006.9
F. Rawson9000001107.7
D. Love90000001Y7
F. Sass90101111Y7.9
D. Martin9001001106.9
S. Whalley9001204207.3
I. Sinclair9000002006.6
J. Woods9000320106.3
S. Conneely78104103Y8
T. Walton7800000006.3
P. Madden sub1200000006.5
L. Coyle sub1200000106.7

Crewe Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Lawlor9000000005.9
L. Billington9000101106.9
A. Pond9000000107
M. Demetriou9000000006.3
R. Hutchinson9000000306.7
M. Sanders9000001207.5
T. O'Reilly9000001206.3
Calum Agius9000000205.9
E. Tezgel7700110006.2
M. Holíček5700000206.6
J. March57000000Y5.9
O. Bogle sub3300000006.3
J. Powell sub3300000107
A. Thibaut sub1300000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Accrington ST v Crewe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Accrington STDDLLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
CreweLLDWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Accrington ST 2 · 2 draws · Crewe 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-08-09 Crewe 2–0 Accrington ST
  • 2025-01-25 Crewe 0–1 Accrington ST
  • 2024-09-14 Accrington ST 0–1 Crewe
  • 2024-04-06 Accrington ST 0–0 Crewe
  • 2023-12-16 Crewe 3–3 Accrington ST
  • 2022-02-12 Accrington ST 4–1 Crewe
League standing · 2025/26
Accrington ST#16 pos53 pts46 pl-11 GD
Crewe#11 pos67 pts46 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Accrington ST scored1.02
Crewe scored1.39
Accrington ST conceded1.26
Crewe conceded1.26

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Accrington ST v Crewe?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Accrington ST v Crewe was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Accrington ST and Crewe?
In their last 6 meetings, Accrington ST won 2, Crewe won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Accrington ST and Crewe?
Recent form — Accrington ST 0W 2D 3L; Crewe 2W 1D 2L.

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