Accrington ST v Gillingham result

Full-time · Accrington ST 3–1 Gillingham

League Two · · Wham Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Accrington ST 3–1 Gillingham — Accrington ST won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away shots total under 15.5.

Free pick
Away shots total under 15.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Accrington ST beat Gillingham 3–1 at Wham Stadium in League Two on Saturday 17 October. It is Accrington ST’s first win over Gillingham since 12 October 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Accrington ST led 2–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Accrington ST: Stefan Mols (11’), Josh Woods (28’, assisted by Stefan Mols; 66’, assisted by Stefan Mols) and an own goal by Devon Matthews (31’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Accrington ST 1.46, Gillingham 0.54, from 21 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Accrington ST: Devon Matthews (6’) and Donald Love (19’); Gillingham: Harry Waldock (21’), Armani Little (33’) and Ronan Hale (79’).

What it changes

Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Josh Woods (Accrington ST) 15.1, Stefan Mols (Accrington ST) 12.7 and L. Dobbs (Gillingham) 5.0 led the match.

Next up

Accrington ST next travel to York on 20 October 2026.

Gillingham next host Port Vale on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Accrington ST: York v Accrington ST, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Gillingham: Gillingham v Port Vale, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Accrington ST 3–1 Gillingham · League Two
  • Venue: Wham Stadium · Accrington, Lancashire
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Accrington ST 1 · draws 2 · Gillingham 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Accrington ST 1W 3D 1L · Gillingham 3W 1D 1L

Accrington ST 3–1 Gillingham (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3.25
Corners
against 4.63 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.13 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAccrington ST for / againstLineGillingham for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
9.38 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.13 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
3.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2 against n 8
Accrington ST
Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Walton n 871.1
36/5
1.46/3
—
S. Whalley n 867.5
2.26/5
1.26/1
—
Alex Henderson n 843
2.15/2
0.83/0
—
J. Catesby n 314
2.11/0
00/0
—
D. Tutonda n 875
26/3
0.94/1
—
Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Caton n 865.5
48/6
2.16/3
C. Stockton n 824.6
2.75/1
0.92/0
Alex Henderson n 843
2.64/3
14/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
C. Warren n 738.3
24/1
1.33/1
Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Caton n 865.5
0.93/2
00/0
C. Warren n 738.3
0.71/1
00/0
Stefan Mols n 857.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
J. Woods n 887.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
T. Walton n 871.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Catesby n 314
4.31/1
D. Tutonda n 875
2.96/5
Joseph Anderson n 890
2.48/6
Aidan Borland n 873.1
2.26/3
C. O'Brien n 885.5
27/5
Accrington ST — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Moulden n 890
2.86/5
Gillingham
Gillingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zane Albarus n 474.5
4.84/4
1.84/2
—
J. Daley n 515
3.63/0
1.21/0
—
T. Eaves n 843.8
2.86/3
1.34/1
—
L. Sillah n 753.4
2.47/2
1.23/2
—
W. Goodwin n 842.9
2.45/2
1.63/2
—
Gillingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Kendall n 812.8
6.25/1
2.61/1
W. Goodwin n 842.9
2.94/2
1.84/2
Ronan Hale n 877.4
2.37/5
1.26/2
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Z. Obiero n 869.3
1.34/3
0.63/1
Gillingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Kendall n 812.8
1.81/1
00/0
Ronan Hale n 877.4
0.63/1
0.11/0
L. Sillah n 753.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
T. Eaves n 843.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
G. McCleary n 833.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
Gillingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Luxton n 39.7
6.22/0
Zane Albarus n 474.5
4.24/4
Conor McManus n 658
4.16/5
E. King n 844.9
2.34/1
B. Dack n 837.9
2.14/2
Gillingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Oliver Wright n 890
3.27/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Accrington STGillingham
56%Possession44%
1.46Expected goals (xG)0.54
21Shots6
7Shots on target0
10Shots off target4
4Blocked shots2
12Shots inside the box6
11Corners1
1Offsides0
8Fouls15
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Saves4
337Passes282

Accrington ST player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Moulden9000000006.3
Devon Matthews90001000Y5.2
D. Love90001000Y5.9
Joseph Anderson9000200206.5
Aidan Borland9000202306.5
C. O'Brien9000310106.2
Stefan Mols9012116008.9
D. Tutonda9000003306.1
T. Walton9000102006.2
J. Woods9020751209
C. Warren7600202006.3
C. Grant1400100006.1

Gillingham player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Oliver Wright9000000006.3
O. Beckles9000200605.9
N. Freeman9000001105.3
R. McKenzie9000200106
J. Brophy9000002105.5
Ronan Hale90000001Y5.8
A. Smith7000000005.7
L. Sillah7000001006.4
A. Little55000010Y5.6
H. Waldock55001001Y6.2
L. Dobbs5400100206.5
J. Daley3600000206.1
T. Eaves3500000006.4
E. Coleman3500000105.9
B. Dack2000000005.7
G. McCleary2000000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Accrington ST v Gillingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Accrington STLDDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
GillinghamWWLDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Accrington ST 1 · 2 draws · Gillingham 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-06 Gillingham 2–0 Accrington ST
  • 2025-08-02 Accrington ST 1–1 Gillingham
  • 2025-03-15 Accrington ST 1–1 Gillingham
  • 2024-10-12 Gillingham 1–2 Accrington ST
  • 2024-01-13 Accrington ST 1–2 Gillingham
  • 2023-08-12 Gillingham 1–0 Accrington ST
League standing · 2026/27
Accrington ST#10 pos14 pts11 pl+1 GD
Gillingham#6 pos16 pts11 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Accrington ST scored1.45
Gillingham scored1.45
Accrington ST conceded1.36
Gillingham conceded1.18

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Accrington ST v Gillingham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Accrington ST v Gillingham was Away shots total under 15.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Accrington ST and Gillingham?
In their last 6 meetings, Accrington ST won 1, Gillingham won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Accrington ST and Gillingham?
Recent form — Accrington ST 1W 3D 1L; Gillingham 3W 1D 1L.

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